Stocks · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
AGNC Investment Corp. AGNC
$8.79 -1.79% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $10.09B
Strong growth
Next earnings report: Oct 19, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.09B, up 1170.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from 266.6% a quarter earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.96, up 439.5% year over year.
- Operating margin narrowed to 112.8% from 1061.3% a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 1%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 4%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 10%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 3%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 1%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 43%
- Gross marginTop 20%
- Operating marginTop 1%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 17%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 11%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 13%
- Interest coverBottom 46%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 3%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 28%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 24%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 3%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 9%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 36%
- 6-month returnBottom 29%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 42%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 32%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 50%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 32%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 19%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 31%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 41%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 26%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 43%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 13%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 266.6% | 1170.4% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 196.5% | 439.5% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | -204.9% | 75.7% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 1061.3% | 112.8% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 188.5% | 28.7% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 1170.4% | 266.6% | ↑ | Top 1% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 439.5% | 196.5% | ↑ | Top 4% |
| Gross margin | 75.7% | -204.9% | ↑ | Top 20% |
| Operating margin | 112.8% | 1061.3% | ↓ | Top 1% |
| Net margin | 72.0% | 155.6% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 28.7% | 188.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 3.4% | — | Bottom 43% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -16.7% | — | Bottom 3% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.40×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 1.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.0%
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 22.83×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 17.37%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -22.72%
- Shareholder yield
- -5.35%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +14.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +24.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 31, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 3 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +2.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $11.67
- Target vs current price
- +32.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 35
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 31%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | +5.1% | -2.7% | -5.6% | -2.3% | — |
| Apr 20, 2026 | +16.6% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -5.1% | +3.9% |
| Jan 26, 2026 | -5.4% | -0.4% | -3.8% | -4.9% | -7.9% |
| Oct 20, 2025 | -7.9% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +15.8% |
| Jul 21, 2025 | -9.5% | -0.2% | +5.0% | +4.1% | +8.0% |
| Apr 21, 2025 | +7.3% | -2.2% | +6.1% | +10.1% | +11.2% |
| Jan 27, 2025 | -11.9% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +8.4% | -12.7% |
| Oct 21, 2024 | +0.0% | -2.1% | -6.3% | -9.6% | -9.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | $0.40 | $0.38 | +5.1% | $1.01B |
| Apr 20, 2026 | $0.42 | $0.36 | +16.6% | $1.05B |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $0.35 | $0.37 | -5.4% | $944.0M |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $0.35 | $0.38 | -7.9% | $903.0M |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $0.38 | $0.42 | -9.5% | -$112.0M |
| Apr 21, 2025 | $0.44 | $0.41 | +7.3% | $78.0M |
| Jan 27, 2025 | $0.37 | $0.42 | -11.9% | $154.0M |
| Oct 21, 2024 | $0.43 | $0.43 | +0.0% | $376.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 4.5× | 10.5× | 0th | Top 3% |
| P/E (forward) | 5.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 25.4× | — | — | Bottom 24% |
| EV / Sales | 32.21× | — | — | Bottom 3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.78% | — | — | Top 28% |
| Earnings yield | 22.30% | — | — | Top 3% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.6× – 26.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -11.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +439.5%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -79.1%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -15.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -18.0%
- RSI (14)
- 15.3
- Relative volume
- 0.95×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 21.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 50th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.63
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.43
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -27.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -27.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2021 | Oct 30, 2023 | -62.9% | 603 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $10.09B
- P/E (TTM)
- 4.5
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.96
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.09B
- Dividend yield
- 16.38%
- 52-week range
- $8.77 – $12.19
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.41B | $3.30B | $1.01B | $4.88B | $1.91B |
| Gross profit | $2.41B | $3.30B | $1.01B | $4.88B | $1.91B |
| Operating income | $824.0M | -$565.0M | $2.59B | $3.88B | $4.52B |
| Net income | $749.0M | -$1.19B | $155.0M | $863.0M | $1.67B |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.22 | -$2.41 | $0.05 | $0.93 | $1.47 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -$534.0M | $895.0M | -$407.0M | $289.0M | $779.0M | $1.26B | $1.05B | $0 |
| Net income | $346.0M | $122.0M | $50.0M | -$140.0M | $806.0M | $954.0M | -$148.0M | $610.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.39 | $0.10 | $0.02 | -$0.14 | $0.72 | $0.89 | -$0.17 | $0.52 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.54B | $1.01B | -$118.0M | $86.0M | $653.0M |
| Capital expenditure | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Free cash flow | $1.54B | $1.01B | -$118.0M | $86.0M | $653.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$860.0M | -$869.0M | -$1.00B | -$1.24B | -$1.60B |
| Net share buybacks | -$281.0M | $475.0M | $1.08B | $1.97B | $1.97B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $457.0M
- Total assets
- $121.76B
- Total liabilities
- $109.22B
- Total debt
- $89.81B
- Net debt
- $89.35B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $12.54B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 31, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $0.12 | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | $0.12 | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | $0.12 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $0.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| May 29, 2026 | $0.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.12 | May 11, 2026 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $0.12 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $0.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 108,524,898
- Days to cover
- 4.29
- Change vs previous report
- +2.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.