Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. ASO

$48.73 +1.84% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $3.02B

Inexpensive vs sector

Next earnings report: Dec 8, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
  2. The diluted share count fell 6.1% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
  3. Revenue over the last four quarters was $6.19B, up 3.7% from a year earlier.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth50Neutral

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 49%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 37%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 38%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 31%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 47%
Quality57Neutral

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 30%
  • Gross marginBottom 50%
  • Operating marginTop 37%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 34%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 25%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 44%
  • Interest coverTop 20%
Value93Exceptional

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 6%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 22%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 10%
  • Sales / enterprise valueTop 29%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 48%
Momentum43Weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 33%
  • 6-month returnBottom 27%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 49%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 39%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Revisions34Weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 40%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 48%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 49%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 34%
Stability44Weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 37%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 49%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 39%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 44%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)3.8%3.7%↓
EPS growth (YoY)5.6%13.6%↑
Gross margin34.0%35.8%↑
Operating margin8.2%9.6%↑
FCF margin4.0%5.3%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)3.7%3.8%↓Bottom 49%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)13.6%5.6%↑Top 37%
Gross margin35.8%34.0%↑Bottom 50%
Operating margin9.6%8.2%↑Top 37%
Net margin6.4%6.2%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin5.3%4.0%↑—
Return on invested capital10.4%—Top 30%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR-1.8%—Bottom 31%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.38×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-2.8%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.3%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+16.0 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
2.31×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
16.8×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
1.20%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
9.02%
Shareholder yield
10.22%
Share count change, 1 year
-6.1%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-6.6%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Aug 1, 2026 (filed Sep 9, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
2
Beats in the last 8 reports
4 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+4.5%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+0.7%
Positive 20 days after report
4 of 7

Analysts

Consensus price target
$58.89
Target vs current price
+20.8%
Analysts with a rating
22
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
50%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Sep 9, 2026+11.6%+14.4%+12.8%——
Jun 9, 2026+2.0%-2.5%-4.7%-14.0%-15.6%
Mar 17, 2026-3.0%-11.7%-6.8%+3.6%-11.7%
Dec 9, 2025+7.5%+8.6%+12.1%+16.5%+23.3%
Sep 2, 2025-8.5%-7.6%-5.8%-5.3%-15.7%
Jun 10, 2025-12.2%+0.5%+5.2%+13.1%+12.8%
Mar 20, 2025+7.7%-0.3%+3.0%-23.0%-8.5%
Dec 10, 2024-24.6%+4.3%+9.1%+16.8%+0.3%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Sep 9, 2026$2.31$2.07+11.6%$1.65B
Jun 9, 2026$0.93$0.91+2.0%$1.44B
Mar 17, 2026$1.97$2.03-3.0%$1.72B
Dec 9, 2025$1.14$1.06+7.5%$1.38B
Sep 2, 2025$1.94$2.12-8.5%$1.60B
Jun 10, 2025$0.76$0.87-12.2%$1.35B
Mar 20, 2025$1.96$1.82+7.7%$1.68B
Dec 10, 2024$0.98$1.30-24.6%$1.34B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)8.1×8.3×48thTop 6%
P/E (forward)7.3×———
EV / EBITDA6.5×——Top 10%
EV / Sales0.76×——Top 29%
Free-cash-flow yield10.95%——Top 22%
Earnings yield12.31%——Top 6%

P/E over the past five years

Range 5.5× – 9.8× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-6.8%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+13.6%
Change in P/E multiple
-9.1%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✓ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✗ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
18
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
+1.9%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+0.1%
Distance from 50-day average
+1.9%
Distance from 200-day average
-7.1%
RSI (14)
51.6
Relative volume
0.69×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
47.6%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
69th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
1.14
Correlation with S&P 500
0.40
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-20.4%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-54.6%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Mar 1, 2024Apr 8, 2025-54.6%276 daysNot yet recovered
Nov 19, 2021May 24, 2022-44.9%127 days75 days (Sep 12, 2022)
Apr 24, 2023Oct 13, 2023-36.6%120 days82 days (Feb 12, 2024)
Jun 25, 2021Aug 9, 2021-19.9%30 days13 days (Aug 26, 2021)
Sep 12, 2022Nov 3, 2022-17.8%38 days13 days (Nov 22, 2022)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$3.02B
P/E (TTM)
8.1
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$6.00
Revenue (TTM)
$6.19B
Dividend yield
1.19%
52-week range
$41.29 – $62.45
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$6.77B$6.40B$6.16B$5.93B$6.05B
Gross profit$2.35B$2.21B$2.11B$2.01B$2.11B
Operating income$907.9M$846.5M$677.9M$538.6M$512.2M
Net income$671.4M$628.0M$519.2M$418.4M$376.8M
EPS (diluted)$7.12$7.49$6.70$5.73$5.54
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$1.34B$1.68B$1.35B$1.60B$1.38B$1.72B$1.44B$1.65B
Net income$65.8M$133.6M$46.1M$125.4M$71.6M$133.7M$52.7M$137.9M
EPS (diluted)$0.92$1.83$0.68$1.85$1.05$1.98$0.80$2.17
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$673.3M$552.0M$535.8M$528.1M$434.8M
Capital expenditure-$76.0M-$108.8M-$208.3M-$199.6M-$212.7M
Free cash flow$597.2M$443.2M$327.5M$328.5M$222.1M
Dividends paid$0-$24.6M-$27.2M-$31.5M-$34.7M
Net share buybacks-$411.4M-$489.5M-$202.8M-$364.9M-$189.4M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$298.2M
Total assets
$5.51B
Total liabilities
$3.33B
Total debt
$1.97B
Net debt
$1.67B
Shareholders’ equity
$2.18B

As of Aug 1, 2026 (filed Sep 9, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Sep 16, 2026$0.15Oct 14, 2026
Jun 18, 2026$0.15Jul 16, 2026
Mar 20, 2026$0.15Apr 10, 2026
Dec 18, 2025$0.13Jan 15, 2026
Sep 11, 2025$0.13Oct 9, 2025
Jun 18, 2025$0.13Jul 17, 2025
Mar 25, 2025$0.13Apr 17, 2025
Dec 18, 2024$0.11Jan 15, 2025

Short interest

Shares sold short
8,197,155
Days to cover
3.13
Change vs previous report
-13.2%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.