Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. BLMN
$8.48 +1.19% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $726.0M
Strong growthInexpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 6 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +32.9%).
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 104 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.98B, up 11.8% from a year earlier, accelerating from 7.9% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 20%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 14%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 39%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 12%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 27%
- Gross marginTop 40%
- Operating marginBottom 20%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Interest coverBottom 25%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 44%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 6%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 1%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 1%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 48%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 16%
- 6-month returnTop 9%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 25%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 39%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 20%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 27%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 20%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 39%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 45%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 11%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 15%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.9% | 11.8% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 29.9% | 40.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 2.7% | 1.3% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 1.9% | 3.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.8% | 7.9% | ↑ | Top 20% |
| Gross margin | 40.1% | 29.9% | ↑ | Top 40% |
| Operating margin | 1.3% | 2.7% | ↓ | Bottom 20% |
| Net margin | 0.7% | -0.1% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.9% | 1.9% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 2.1% | — | Bottom 27% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -0.4% | — | Bottom 39% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.3%
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- -3.51%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.01%
- Shareholder yield
- -3.53%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +1.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 6
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +32.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.7%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $10.81
- Target vs current price
- +27.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 29
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 45%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +35.2% | +32.8% | +24.7% | +9.2% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +17.5% | +41.0% | +44.4% | +30.0% | +50.3% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | +4.0% | -2.7% | +8.2% | -2.4% | +33.9% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | +75.0% | -11.5% | -10.2% | -6.6% | -14.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +17.9% | -30.6% | -25.4% | -21.9% | -17.3% |
| May 7, 2025 | +3.5% | -8.4% | +6.3% | -0.6% | +10.1% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | +0.0% | -16.8% | -30.8% | -31.3% | -36.0% |
| Nov 8, 2024 | +10.5% | -9.7% | -20.0% | -23.2% | -25.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.39 | $0.29 | +35.2% | $1.02B |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.67 | $0.57 | +17.5% | $1.06B |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.26 | $0.25 | +4.0% | $975.2M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | -$0.03 | -$0.12 | +75.0% | $928.8M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.33 | $0.28 | +17.9% | $1.00B |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.59 | $0.57 | +3.5% | $1.05B |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.38 | $0.38 | +0.0% | $972.0M |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $0.21 | $0.19 | +10.5% | $1.04B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 27.4× | 25.3× | 56th | Bottom 44% |
| P/E (forward) | 8.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 3.1× | — | — | Top 1% |
| EV / Sales | 0.18× | — | — | Top 1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 21.35% | — | — | Top 6% |
| Earnings yield | 3.66% | — | — | Bottom 44% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.8× – 65.2× since Jun 27, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 104
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.1%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -10.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +11.3%
- RSI (14)
- 46.2
- Relative volume
- 1.07×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 82.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 85th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.60
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.34
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -28.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -82.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | Mar 27, 2026 | -83.4% | 1232 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -21.1% | 6 days | 17 days (Nov 24, 2020) |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -11.1% | 5 days | 6 days (Feb 4, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $726.0M
- P/E (TTM)
- 27.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.31
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.98B
- 52-week range
- $5.19 – $12.63
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.12B | $4.01B | $4.17B | $3.95B | $3.96B |
| Gross profit | $731.7M | $674.9M | $719.2M | $2.80B | $351.9M |
| Operating income | $309.0M | $306.1M | $282.8M | $139.8M | $162.6M |
| Net income | $215.6M | $101.9M | $247.4M | -$128.0M | $5.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.00 | $1.03 | $2.56 | -$1.49 | $0.06 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $910.0M | $597.5M | $1.05B | $1.00B | $928.8M | $975.2M | $1.06B | $1.02B |
| Net income | $6.9M | -$79.5M | $42.2M | $25.4M | -$45.9M | -$13.5M | $55.7M | $31.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.08 | -$0.94 | $0.50 | $0.30 | -$0.54 | -$0.16 | $0.65 | $0.36 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $402.5M | $390.9M | $532.4M | $228.1M | $276.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$122.8M | -$219.7M | -$282.2M | -$220.7M | -$179.9M |
| Free cash flow | $279.6M | $171.2M | $250.2M | $7.4M | $96.8M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | -$49.7M | -$83.7M | -$82.6M | -$38.3M |
| Net share buybacks | $9.8M | -$96.2M | -$45.5M | -$149.2M | -$399,000 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $66.6M
- Total assets
- $3.12B
- Total liabilities
- $2.68B
- Total debt
- $1.91B
- Net debt
- $1.85B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $431.8M
As of Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2025 | $0.15 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| May 20, 2025 | $0.15 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | $0.15 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | $0.24 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | $0.24 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| May 17, 2024 | $0.24 | May 31, 2024 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | $0.24 | Mar 20, 2024 |
| Nov 13, 2023 | $0.24 | Nov 29, 2023 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 9,160,702
- Days to cover
- 4.74
- Change vs previous report
- +7.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.