Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. BRCB
$6.96 -0.43% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $125.4M
Strong growthWeak trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 10, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 31.0% in a year.
- Over the past year the stock returned -68.7%, behind the S&P 500 by 83.8 percentage points.
- The stock is 73% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 7%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 21%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 26%
- Gross marginBottom 43%
- Operating marginBottom 28%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 26%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Interest coverBottom 28%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 30%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 11%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 20%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 49%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 4%
- 6-month returnBottom 2%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 3%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 4%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 43%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 34%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 20%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 11%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 14%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 7%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 22.3% | 24.6% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 35.6% | 32.1% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 1.0% | 2.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -5.5% | -3.2% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 24.6% | 22.3% | ↑ | Top 7% |
| Gross margin | 32.1% | 35.6% | ↓ | Bottom 43% |
| Operating margin | 2.7% | 1.0% | ↑ | Bottom 28% |
| Net margin | 0.7% | -0.8% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -3.2% | -5.5% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 1.7% | — | Bottom 26% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -2.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -22.7 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 15.78×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -294.61%
- Shareholder yield
- -294.61%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +31.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 4
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +13.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.4%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 4
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $11.20
- Target vs current price
- +60.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 5
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 60%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | -7.7% | -5.3% | +8.2% | +30.5% | — |
| May 12, 2026 | -50.0% | -0.2% | -37.1% | -43.0% | -31.7% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | +33.3% | +7.3% | +14.3% | -11.1% | -39.2% |
| Nov 11, 2025 | +79.2% | -0.2% | -13.4% | -3.8% | -35.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.06 | $0.07 | -7.7% | $63.0M |
| May 12, 2026 | $0.02 | $0.04 | -50.0% | $55.5M |
| Mar 3, 2026 | $0.04 | $0.03 | +33.3% | $53.6M |
| Nov 11, 2025 | -$0.05 | -$0.24 | +79.2% | $51.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 103.4× | — | — | Bottom 30% |
| P/E (forward) | 32.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 29.4× | — | — | Bottom 20% |
| EV / Sales | 1.21× | — | — | Top 49% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -5.64% | — | — | Bottom 11% |
| Earnings yield | 0.97% | — | — | Bottom 30% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -10.9%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -14.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -41.8%
- RSI (14)
- 34.3
- Relative volume
- 0.66×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 73.2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.96
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.30
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -73.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -77.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | Jun 8, 2026 | -77.8% | 180 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $125.4M
- P/E (TTM)
- 103.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.07
- Revenue (TTM)
- $223.6M
- 52-week range
- $6.11 – $26.48
| FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $133.2M | $160.9M | $200.3M |
| Gross profit | $61.0M | $79.3M | $58.7M |
| Operating income | $2.0M | -$2.7M | $5.2M |
| Net income | -$8.8M | -$3.7M | -$60,000 |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.58 | -$0.25 | -$0.00 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $41.5M | $42.8M | $47.6M | $47.6M | $51.5M | $53.6M | $55.5M | $63.0M |
| Net income | -$722,000 | -$767,000 | -$972,500 | $972,500 | -$712,000 | $652,000 | $378,000 | $1.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.05 | -$0.05 | -$0.07 | $0.07 | -$0.05 | $0.04 | $0.02 | $0.06 |
| FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $5.2M | $13.3M | $2.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$16.4M | -$22.9M | -$35.3M |
| Free cash flow | -$11.2M | -$9.6M | -$33.1M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | -$474,000 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $5.9M | $0 | $68.3M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $16.0M
- Total assets
- $392.4M
- Total liabilities
- $282.8M
- Total debt
- $161.7M
- Net debt
- $145.7M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $54.6M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,837,150
- Days to cover
- 4.47
- Change vs previous report
- +15.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.