Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
CAVA Group, Inc. CAVA
$54.41 +0.02% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $6.34B
Strong growthExpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 10, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.55, down 53.6% year over year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $1.37B, up 26.8% from a year earlier, accelerating from 24.1% a quarter earlier.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 6%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 20%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 41%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 3%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 18%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 46%
- Gross marginBottom 21%
- Operating marginTop 50%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 18%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 28%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 30%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 24%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 18%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 7%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 42%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 46%
- 6-month returnBottom 9%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 44%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 23%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 45%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 11%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 19%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 23%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 24%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 14%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 28%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 24.1% | 26.8% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -56.5% | -53.6% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 21.7% | 20.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 6.0% | 6.8% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 4.4% | 3.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 26.8% | 24.1% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -53.6% | -56.5% | ↑ | Bottom 20% |
| Gross margin | 20.2% | 21.7% | ↓ | Bottom 21% |
| Operating margin | 6.8% | 6.0% | ↑ | Top 50% |
| Net margin | 4.8% | 13.0% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.6% | 4.4% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 5.2% | — | Bottom 46% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 27.9% | — | Top 3% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -2.4 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 1.17×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.02%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.02%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +55.8%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jul 12, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +11.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -1.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $88.89
- Target vs current price
- +63.4%
- Analysts with a rating
- 27
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 78%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | +3.5% | -1.3% | +15.3% | -2.3% | — |
| May 19, 2026 | +17.6% | -2.2% | +0.5% | +9.3% | -9.7% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | +33.3% | -0.8% | +14.8% | +27.4% | +14.3% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | -7.7% | -1.7% | -5.6% | +0.2% | +15.2% |
| Aug 12, 2025 | +23.1% | +2.7% | -15.2% | -20.7% | -37.2% |
| May 15, 2025 | +57.1% | -0.5% | -15.9% | -21.4% | -17.3% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | -16.7% | -4.7% | -15.9% | -13.3% | -14.2% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | +36.4% | -1.9% | -7.1% | -13.8% | -4.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.19 | $0.18 | +3.5% | $368.4M |
| May 19, 2026 | $0.20 | $0.17 | +17.6% | $438.3M |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.04 | $0.03 | +33.3% | $275.0M |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.12 | $0.13 | -7.7% | $292.2M |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $0.16 | $0.13 | +23.1% | $280.6M |
| May 15, 2025 | $0.22 | $0.14 | +57.1% | $331.8M |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $0.05 | $0.06 | -16.7% | $227.4M |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.15 | $0.11 | +36.4% | $243.8M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 98.6× | 140.1× | 40th | Bottom 30% |
| P/E (forward) | 99.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 38.5× | — | — | Bottom 18% |
| EV / Sales | 4.76× | — | — | Bottom 7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.77% | — | — | Bottom 24% |
| Earnings yield | 1.01% | — | — | Bottom 30% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 43.4× – 331.5× since Apr 21, 2024. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -11.8%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -53.6%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +112.7%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -10.5%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -11.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -24.7%
- RSI (14)
- 43.1
- Relative volume
- 0.74×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 57.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 58th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.64
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.42
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -44.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -71.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | Nov 20, 2025 | -71.1% | 239 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Oct 3, 2023 | -47.5% | 45 days | 102 days (Feb 29, 2024) |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Jul 24, 2024 | -18.3% | 24 days | 15 days (Aug 14, 2024) |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Jul 5, 2023 | -16.5% | 5 days | 5 days (Jul 12, 2023) |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Apr 22, 2024 | -14.9% | 16 days | 5 days (Apr 29, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $6.34B
- P/E (TTM)
- 98.6
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.55
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.37B
- 52-week range
- $43.41 – $98.79
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $500.1M | $564.1M | $728.7M | $963.7M | $1.18B |
| Gross profit | $82.2M | $98.0M | $180.3M | $241.8M | $216.8M |
| Operating income | -$52.8M | -$59.8M | $4.7M | $43.1M | $79.3M |
| Net income | -$37.4M | -$59.0M | $13.3M | $130.3M | $63.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$51.08 | -$44.42 | $0.21 | $1.10 | $0.54 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $243.8M | $227.4M | $331.8M | $280.6M | $292.2M | $275.0M | $438.3M | $368.4M |
| Net income | $18.0M | $78.6M | $25.7M | $18.4M | $14.7M | $4.9M | $23.6M | $23.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.15 | $0.66 | $0.22 | $0.16 | $0.12 | $0.04 | $0.20 | $0.19 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $3.4M | $6.0M | $97.1M | $161.0M | $184.8M |
| Capital expenditure | -$56.4M | -$104.3M | -$138.8M | -$108.1M | -$158.7M |
| Free cash flow | -$53.0M | -$98.3M | -$41.7M | $52.9M | $26.1M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$7.7M | -$911,000 | $344.0M | $5.5M | $5.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $435.6M
- Total assets
- $1.50B
- Total liabilities
- $658.5M
- Total debt
- $520.7M
- Net debt
- $198.0M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $841.3M
As of Jul 12, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 14,689,351
- Days to cover
- 4.20
- Change vs previous report
- +11.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.