Stocks · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Cogent Biosciences, Inc. COGT

$31.02 -1.80% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $5.30B

Next earnings report: Nov 6, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. The diluted share count rose 50.1% in a year.
  2. Over the past year the stock returned +119.5%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 104.5 percentage points.
  3. The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Healthcare sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth—Not enough data

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

Quality20Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 25%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 40%
  • Interest coverBottom 15%
Value49Neutral

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 49%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 47%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 45%
Momentum55Neutral

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 11%
  • 6-month returnBottom 30%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 11%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 45%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 14%
Revisions54Neutral

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 45%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 49%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 38%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 48%
Stability68Positive

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 32%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 45%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 42%

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Return on invested capital-50.1%—Bottom 25%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-8.3%
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
-75.1×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-14.01%
Shareholder yield
-14.01%
Share count change, 1 year
+50.1%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+31.8%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
1
Beats in the last 8 reports
4 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+1.5%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-3.2%
Positive 20 days after report
2 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$51.75
Target vs current price
+66.8%
Analysts with a rating
12
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
83%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 10, 2026+6.3%-2.0%-10.5%-18.0%—
May 5, 2026+0.0%+0.7%-7.2%-10.8%+12.6%
Feb 17, 2026-7.8%+3.0%+1.5%-2.3%-5.5%
Nov 7, 2025+7.4%+0.7%+129.8%+163.4%+150.3%
Aug 5, 2025+3.6%-5.7%-9.3%-0.4%+33.5%
May 6, 2025+7.1%-15.6%-7.9%+3.9%+105.0%
Feb 25, 2025-3.4%-6.3%-6.2%-0.8%-28.8%
Nov 12, 2024-16.4%-0.2%-13.6%-8.7%-15.8%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 10, 2026-$0.52-$0.55+6.3%—
May 5, 2026-$0.53-$0.53+0.0%—
Feb 17, 2026-$0.55-$0.51-7.8%—
Nov 7, 2025-$0.50-$0.54+7.4%—
Aug 5, 2025-$0.53-$0.55+3.6%—
May 6, 2025-$0.52-$0.56+7.1%—
Feb 25, 2025-$0.61-$0.59-3.4%—
Nov 12, 2024-$0.64-$0.55-16.4%—

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
Free-cash-flow yield-5.83%——Bottom 47%
Earnings yield-7.45%——Top 49%

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✓ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-6.6%
200-day average slope (20 days)
-1.6%
Distance from 50-day average
-13.9%
Distance from 200-day average
-14.7%
RSI (14)
35.1
Relative volume
0.56×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
46.1%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
10th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.97
Correlation with S&P 500
0.13
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-27.6%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-67.3%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Sep 1, 2022Apr 10, 2025-76.3%653 days147 days (Nov 10, 2025)
Dec 17, 2020May 12, 2022-69.9%352 days61 days (Aug 10, 2022)
Aug 4, 2026Oct 2, 2026-27.6%42 daysNot yet recovered
Oct 27, 2020Nov 24, 2020-26.8%20 days7 days (Dec 4, 2020)
Dec 12, 2025Jun 5, 2026-26.3%119 days40 days (Aug 4, 2026)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$5.30B
EPS, diluted (TTM)
-$2.31
Revenue (TTM)
$0
52-week range
$13.78 – $43.73
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0
Gross profit$0$0$0$0-$4.6M
Operating income-$75.6M-$147.8M-$208.1M-$275.9M-$333.4M
Net income-$72.3M-$140.2M-$192.4M-$255.9M-$328.9M
EPS (diluted)-$1.85-$2.26-$2.42-$2.32-$2.04
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$0$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Net income-$70.6M-$67.9M-$72.0M-$73.5M-$80.9M-$102.5M-$97.4M-$96.4M
EPS (diluted)-$0.64-$0.61-$0.63-$0.65-$0.58-$0.64-$0.57-$0.52
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow-$58.8M-$118.6M-$153.6M-$207.8M-$264.4M
Capital expenditure-$1.7M-$6.9M-$2.8M-$573,000-$1.6M
Free cash flow-$60.5M-$125.5M-$156.4M-$208.4M-$266.0M
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks$38.0M$161.9M$161.8M$213.3M$712.0M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$792.3M
Total assets
$834.5M
Total liabilities
$302.2M
Total debt
$244.3M
Net debt
$63.1M
Shareholders’ equity
$532.4M

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).

Short interest

Shares sold short
18,126,492
Days to cover
11.84
Change vs previous report
-3.3%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Nov 9, 2020
1-for-4