Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. CVGI
$2.96 -0.67% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $100.5M
High risk
Next earnings report: Nov 9, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Net debt is 10.9× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- The stock is 49% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 30%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 14%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 7%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 21%
- Gross marginBottom 6%
- Operating marginBottom 18%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 35%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 7%
- Interest coverBottom 16%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 11%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 19%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 26%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 4%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 6%
- 6-month returnBottom 25%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 8%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 17%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 11%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 26%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 8%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 24%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 5%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 42%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 7%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -6.8% | -0.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 10.7% | 11.2% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -0.6% | -0.1% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -3.3% | -0.1% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -0.4% | -6.8% | ↑ | Bottom 30% |
| Gross margin | 11.2% | 10.7% | ↑ | Bottom 6% |
| Operating margin | -0.1% | -0.6% | ↑ | Bottom 18% |
| Net margin | -3.4% | -5.7% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -0.1% | -3.3% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -0.2% | — | Bottom 21% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -6.0% | — | Bottom 14% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -7.4%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.7%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +7.9 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 10.92×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -0.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -11.53%
- Shareholder yield
- -11.53%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +2.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +1.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -46.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $6.00
- Target vs current price
- +102.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 8
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 38%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | -178.6% | +1.3% | -19.9% | -31.1% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +28.6% | -0.9% | +22.3% | +30.0% | +1.9% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -20.0% | -3.0% | +116.8% | +147.9% | +246.1% |
| Nov 10, 2025 | -16.7% | +11.9% | +14.2% | +20.9% | +10.4% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | -28.6% | +10.1% | +4.8% | +4.8% | -1.8% |
| May 6, 2025 | +46.7% | -1.2% | +58.1% | +61.4% | +85.6% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | -114.3% | -8.4% | -22.7% | -46.3% | -27.6% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | -609.2% | +2.3% | -15.9% | -19.6% | -30.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | -$0.13 | -$0.05 | -178.6% | $195.2M |
| May 5, 2026 | -$0.10 | -$0.14 | +28.6% | $171.5M |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -$0.18 | -$0.15 | -20.0% | $154.8M |
| Nov 10, 2025 | -$0.14 | -$0.12 | -16.7% | $152.5M |
| Aug 4, 2025 | -$0.09 | -$0.07 | -28.6% | $172.0M |
| May 6, 2025 | -$0.08 | -$0.15 | +46.7% | $169.8M |
| Mar 10, 2025 | -$0.15 | -$0.07 | -114.3% | $163.3M |
| Nov 4, 2024 | -$0.01 | -$0.00 | -609.2% | $171.8M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 20.8× | — | — | Bottom 26% |
| EV / Sales | 0.31× | — | — | Top 4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.39% | — | — | Bottom 19% |
| Earnings yield | -21.28% | — | — | Bottom 11% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 3.0× – 20.8× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -16.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +4.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -11.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -12.4%
- RSI (14)
- 39.8
- Relative volume
- 0.54×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 56.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 56th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.94
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.15
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -48.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -89.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | Apr 21, 2025 | -93.8% | 992 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Oct 27, 2020 | -20.0% | 10 days | 8 days (Nov 6, 2020) |
| Mar 22, 2021 | Apr 20, 2021 | -14.1% | 20 days | 7 days (Apr 29, 2021) |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Jan 29, 2021 | -13.4% | 30 days | 6 days (Feb 8, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $100.5M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.63
- Revenue (TTM)
- $674.0M
- 52-week range
- $1.29 – $5.88
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $971.6M | $782.6M | $835.5M | $723.4M | $649.0M |
| Gross profit | $119.0M | $85.0M | $121.9M | $82.3M | $68.4M |
| Operating income | $49.6M | $24.8M | $39.9M | -$758,000 | -$656,000 |
| Net income | $23.7M | -$22.0M | $49.4M | -$27.9M | -$22.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.72 | -$0.68 | $1.47 | -$0.83 | -$0.68 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $171.8M | $163.3M | $169.8M | $172.0M | $152.5M | $154.8M | $171.5M | $195.2M |
| Net income | $9.5M | -$38.7M | -$4.3M | -$4.8M | -$7.1M | -$6.6M | $902,000 | -$10.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.28 | -$1.15 | -$0.12 | -$0.12 | -$0.21 | -$0.20 | $0.03 | -$0.25 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$29.8M | $68.9M | $38.3M | -$33.5M | $44.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$17.7M | -$19.7M | -$19.7M | -$18.5M | -$10.7M |
| Free cash flow | -$47.5M | $49.2M | $18.6M | -$52.0M | $34.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.3M | -$1.3M | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $36.0M
- Total assets
- $454.5M
- Total liabilities
- $318.4M
- Total debt
- $146.5M
- Net debt
- $110.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $136.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,219,866
- Days to cover
- 5.61
- Change vs previous report
- -18.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.