Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK
$79.12 -0.57% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $10.77B
High qualityInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 11.2× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 9 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +15.2%).
- The diluted share count fell 7.4% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 33%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 44%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 39%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 12%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 21%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 2%
- Gross marginTop 12%
- Operating marginTop 6%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 21%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 41%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 7%
- Interest coverTop 3%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 13%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 21%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 12%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 38%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 8%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 32%
- 6-month returnBottom 22%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 34%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 35%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 40%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 41%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 30%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 32%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 33%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 27%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 7%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.8% | 7.9% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 11.1% | 8.1% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 57.6% | 57.8% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 23.6% | 22.7% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 17.2% | 21.8% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 7.9% | 9.8% | ↓ | Top 33% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 8.1% | 11.1% | ↓ | Top 44% |
| Gross margin | 57.8% | 57.6% | ↑ | Top 12% |
| Operating margin | 22.7% | 23.6% | ↓ | Top 6% |
| Net margin | 18.4% | 19.3% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 21.8% | 17.2% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 33.7% | — | Top 2% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 14.7% | — | Top 12% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.18×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.6%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -10.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.81×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 327.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 11.37%
- Shareholder yield
- 11.37%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -7.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 9
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +15.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $117.13
- Target vs current price
- +48.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 56
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 46%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | +6.8% | -6.1% | +1.0% | -10.6% | — |
| May 21, 2026 | +18.5% | +4.5% | +16.4% | +11.1% | -8.3% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | +20.2% | +2.3% | +15.0% | +22.3% | +11.2% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | +15.2% | +1.6% | -16.9% | -17.7% | -2.9% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | +36.2% | -2.9% | +2.3% | -3.7% | -8.4% |
| May 22, 2025 | +65.6% | +2.2% | -13.0% | -17.6% | -14.4% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | +21.0% | +1.9% | -21.2% | -36.7% | -50.1% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | +28.2% | +0.7% | +12.3% | +16.8% | +42.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.94 | $0.88 | +6.8% | $1.02B |
| May 21, 2026 | $0.96 | $0.81 | +18.5% | $1.02B |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $3.33 | $2.77 | +20.2% | $1.96B |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $1.82 | $1.58 | +15.2% | $1.43B |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.93 | $0.68 | +36.2% | $964.5M |
| May 22, 2025 | $1.00 | $0.60 | +65.6% | $1.02B |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $3.00 | $2.48 | +21.0% | $1.83B |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $1.59 | $1.24 | +28.2% | $1.31B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 11.2× | 22.6× | 0th | Top 13% |
| P/E (forward) | 10.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.9× | — | — | Top 12% |
| EV / Sales | 1.74× | — | — | Bottom 38% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 11.16% | — | — | Top 21% |
| Earnings yield | 8.90% | — | — | Top 13% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 12.1× – 35.3× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -21.8%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +8.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -13.2%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -10.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -9.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -21.9%
- RSI (14)
- 40.0
- Relative volume
- 0.78×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 35.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 19th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.33
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.44
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -34.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -65.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | Sep 15, 2026 | -65.3% | 407 days | Not yet recovered |
| Sep 16, 2021 | May 19, 2022 | -48.4% | 170 days | 211 days (Mar 23, 2023) |
| May 31, 2024 | Jul 25, 2024 | -23.1% | 37 days | 85 days (Nov 22, 2024) |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -16.2% | 10 days | 32 days (Mar 15, 2021) |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | -16.0% | 20 days | 25 days (May 24, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $10.77B
- P/E (TTM)
- 11.2
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $7.04
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.53B
- 52-week range
- $77.20 – $122.29
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.15B | $3.63B | $4.29B | $4.99B | $5.47B |
| Gross profit | $1.61B | $1.83B | $2.39B | $2.89B | $3.16B |
| Operating income | $564.7M | $652.8M | $927.5M | $1.18B | $1.26B |
| Net income | $451.9M | $516.8M | $759.6M | $966.1M | $1.02B |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.71 | $3.23 | $4.86 | $6.33 | $7.02 |
| Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | Q1 2027 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.31B | $1.83B | $1.02B | $964.5M | $1.43B | $1.96B | $1.12B | $1.02B |
| Net income | $242.3M | $456.7M | $151.4M | $139.2M | $268.2M | $481.1M | $135.6M | $130.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.59 | $3.00 | $0.99 | $0.93 | $1.81 | $3.33 | $0.96 | $0.94 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $172.4M | $537.4M | $1.03B | $1.04B | $1.18B |
| Capital expenditure | -$51.0M | -$81.0M | -$89.4M | -$86.2M | -$84.6M |
| Free cash flow | $121.3M | $456.4M | $943.8M | $958.4M | $1.10B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$368.7M | -$311.9M | -$422.5M | -$563.2M | -$1.07B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.60B
- Total assets
- $3.87B
- Total liabilities
- $1.57B
- Total debt
- $472.3M
- Net debt
- -$1.13B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.30B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 9,457,002
- Days to cover
- 2.95
- Change vs previous report
- +6.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Sep 17, 2024
- 6-for-1
- Jul 6, 2010
- 3-for-1