Stocks · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Five Point Holdings, LLC FPH
$4.54 -0.87% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $322.8M
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to -3.2% from 15.8% a year earlier.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 10 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +100.0%).
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $116.9M, down 40.8% from a year earlier, accelerating from -54.2% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 2%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 29%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 20%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 5%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 7%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 16%
- Gross marginBottom 42%
- Operating marginBottom 9%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 30%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 20%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 6%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 16%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 11%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 1%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 18%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 18%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 22%
- 6-month returnBottom 39%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 25%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 29%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 6%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 2%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 38%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 36%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 33%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 6%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -54.2% | -40.8% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -51.4% | -34.9% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 44.5% | 41.4% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 15.8% | -3.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 76.3% | 55.8% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -40.8% | -54.2% | ↑ | Bottom 2% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -34.9% | -51.4% | ↑ | Bottom 29% |
| Gross margin | 41.4% | 44.5% | ↓ | Bottom 42% |
| Operating margin | -3.2% | 15.8% | ↓ | Bottom 9% |
| Net margin | 45.3% | 39.4% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 55.8% | 76.3% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -0.1% | — | Bottom 16% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 37.1% | — | Top 5% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.24×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -0.4%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 7.3%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -59.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.93×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.96%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.96%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 24, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 10
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Analysts with a rating
- 5
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 40%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | +475.0% | -1.6% | +5.1% | +1.4% | — |
| Apr 23, 2026 | +25.0% | +0.6% | -2.4% | -3.2% | +2.6% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | +875.0% | +1.8% | -6.6% | +0.5% | -6.9% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | +566.7% | -2.0% | -0.3% | +4.9% | -5.4% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | +183.3% | -0.5% | -18.3% | -15.2% | -8.2% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | +540.0% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +6.5% | +20.0% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | +1200.0% | +0.0% | +48.8% | +38.7% | +21.9% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | +240.0% | -0.7% | -7.8% | -11.3% | -12.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.15 | -$0.04 | +475.0% | $13.9M |
| Apr 23, 2026 | -$0.03 | -$0.04 | +25.0% | $13.6M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $0.31 | -$0.04 | +875.0% | $17.0M |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.28 | -$0.06 | +566.7% | $15.4M |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.05 | -$0.06 | +183.3% | $5.4M |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.32 | $0.05 | +540.0% | $4.9M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $0.65 | $0.05 | +1200.0% | $182.2M |
| Oct 17, 2024 | $0.07 | -$0.05 | +240.0% | $20.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 13.0× | 10.7× | 71th | Top 16% |
| EV / EBITDA | 4.1× | — | — | Top 1% |
| EV / Sales | 3.58× | — | — | Top 18% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 20.20% | — | — | Top 11% |
| Earnings yield | 7.67% | — | — | Top 16% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 7.1× – 68.3× since Dec 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -25.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -34.9%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +46.9%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -10.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -12.2%
- RSI (14)
- 27.1
- Relative volume
- 0.74×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 24.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 0th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.71
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.25
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -27.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -30.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2021 | Dec 28, 2022 | -77.3% | 369 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 22, 2021 | May 12, 2021 | -20.2% | 36 days | 13 days (Jun 1, 2021) |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Oct 27, 2020 | -15.0% | 17 days | 10 days (Nov 10, 2020) |
| Nov 23, 2020 | Dec 22, 2020 | -14.5% | 20 days | 13 days (Jan 12, 2021) |
| Feb 8, 2021 | Feb 18, 2021 | -10.4% | 7 days | 16 days (Mar 12, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $322.8M
- P/E (TTM)
- 13.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.35
- Revenue (TTM)
- $116.9M
- 52-week range
- $4.53 – $6.47
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $224.4M | $42.7M | $211.7M | $237.9M | $110.0M |
| Gross profit | $80.1M | $15.2M | $77.7M | $118.8M | $44.5M |
| Operating income | $3.3M | -$39.1M | $26.2M | $67.5M | -$7.4M |
| Net income | $6.6M | -$15.4M | $55.4M | $68.3M | $71.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.09 | -$0.10 | $0.76 | $0.96 | $0.48 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.0M | $159.8M | $13.2M | $7.5M | $13.5M | $75.9M | $13.6M | $13.9M |
| Net income | $4.8M | $46.5M | $23.3M | $3.3M | $21.1M | $23.3M | -$2.2M | $10.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.03 | $0.32 | $0.16 | $0.02 | $0.14 | $0.15 | -$0.01 | $0.07 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$81.4M | -$188.3M | $154.1M | $116.0M | $105.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$154,000 | -$75,000 | -$23,000 | -$808,000 | -$217,000 |
| Free cash flow | -$81.6M | -$188.4M | $154.1M | $115.2M | $105.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$2.0M | -$2.7M | -$202,000 | -$823,000 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $348.4M
- Total assets
- $3.22B
- Total liabilities
- $814.9M
- Total debt
- $444.0M
- Net debt
- $95.7M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $849.0M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 24, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 624,323
- Days to cover
- 4.78
- Change vs previous report
- +21.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.