Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Greif, Inc. GEF
$82.18 +0.76% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $3.80B
Strong trendLow risk
Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $17.49, up 394.1% year over year.
- The shares trade at 4.7× trailing earnings, lower than 86% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.38B, down 25.1% from a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 3%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 3%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 3%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 5%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 31%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 27%
- Gross marginBottom 26%
- Operating marginBottom 40%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 3%
- Interest coverTop 12%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 2%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 10%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 14%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 47%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 23%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 15%
- 6-month returnTop 25%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 16%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 10%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 34%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 17%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 48%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 9%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 14%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 11%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 28%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -26.3% | -25.1% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 302.8% | 394.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 21.5% | 22.8% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 6.7% | 4.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 7.4% | -6.7% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -25.1% | -26.3% | ↑ | Bottom 3% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 394.1% | 302.8% | ↑ | Top 3% |
| Gross margin | 22.8% | 21.5% | ↑ | Bottom 26% |
| Operating margin | 4.5% | 6.7% | ↓ | Bottom 40% |
| Net margin | 29.1% | 3.7% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -6.7% | 7.4% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 2.1% | — | Bottom 27% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -12.2% | — | Bottom 5% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- -0.08×
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.0%
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 41.9×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 2.75%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 3.97%
- Shareholder yield
- 6.72%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -1.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.2%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -20.3%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $85.50
- Target vs current price
- +4.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 13
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 23%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +45.0% | +3.8% | +7.9% | +7.0% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +2.8% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -3.1% | +15.7% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | -30.4% | +1.2% | -0.7% | +2.1% | -7.6% |
| Dec 3, 2025 | -98.6% | +1.5% | -0.7% | +3.8% | +12.2% |
| Aug 27, 2025 | +27.2% | -0.8% | -8.1% | -10.4% | -8.1% |
| Jun 4, 2025 | +5.3% | -1.2% | +15.1% | +24.9% | +20.2% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -45.8% | -0.3% | -9.8% | -9.1% | -8.4% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | +3.7% | +0.4% | -3.8% | -15.0% | -23.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.61 | $1.11 | +45.0% | $1.17B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $1.10 | $1.07 | +2.8% | $1.07B |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $0.48 | $0.69 | -30.4% | $994.8M |
| Dec 3, 2025 | $0.01 | $0.71 | -98.6% | $701.3M |
| Aug 27, 2025 | $1.03 | $0.81 | +27.2% | $1.13B |
| Jun 4, 2025 | $1.19 | $1.13 | +5.3% | $1.39B |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.39 | $0.72 | -45.8% | $1.27B |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $1.13 | $1.09 | +3.7% | $1.42B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 4.7× | 8.9× | 14th | Top 2% |
| P/E (forward) | 19.1× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.3× | — | — | Top 14% |
| EV / Sales | 1.12× | — | — | Top 47% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -6.01% | — | — | Bottom 10% |
| Earnings yield | 21.28% | — | — | Top 2% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 3.8× – 18.9× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +36.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +394.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -73.6%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 79
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +4.1%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -3.0%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +12.1%
- RSI (14)
- 47.2
- Relative volume
- 0.77×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 25.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 35th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.78
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.38
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -8.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -32.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2023 | Apr 8, 2025 | -35.0% | 419 days | 207 days (Feb 4, 2026) |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Mar 1, 2022 | -23.5% | 74 days | 105 days (Aug 1, 2022) |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Mar 17, 2023 | -21.1% | 78 days | 88 days (Jul 25, 2023) |
| Feb 13, 2026 | May 19, 2026 | -20.2% | 65 days | 45 days (Jul 24, 2026) |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | -19.5% | 33 days | 38 days (Nov 22, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.80B
- P/E (TTM)
- 4.7
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $17.49
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.38B
- Dividend yield
- 2.87%
- 52-week range
- $55.75 – $90.57
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.56B | $6.35B | $5.22B | $4.33B | $4.29B |
| Gross profit | $1.09B | $1.29B | $1.15B | $892.1M | $950.7M |
| Operating income | $585.2M | $621.2M | $605.5M | $341.6M | $294.1M |
| Net income | $390.7M | $376.7M | $359.2M | $266.0M | $840.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.03 | $7.75 | $7.57 | $4.64 | $15.00 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $724.9M | $1.27B | $1.39B | $1.13B | $146.9M | $994.8M | $1.07B | $1.17B |
| Net income | $45.1M | $8.6M | $47.3M | $64.0M | $720.1M | $174.6M | $12.6M | $77.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.47 | $0.15 | $0.82 | $1.10 | $12.93 | $2.99 | $0.22 | $1.35 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $396.0M | $657.5M | $649.5M | $356.0M | $58.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$147.3M | -$183.0M | -$213.6M | -$186.5M | -$143.8M |
| Free cash flow | $248.7M | $474.5M | $435.9M | $169.5M | -$85.2M |
| Dividends paid | -$105.8M | -$111.3M | -$116.5M | -$121.0M | -$101.1M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | -$71.1M | -$63.9M | -$10.6M | -$8.1M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $288.5M
- Total assets
- $5.70B
- Total liabilities
- $2.57B
- Total debt
- $1.23B
- Net debt
- $945.1M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.00B
As of May 11, 2026 (filed May 14, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | $0.62 | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | $0.62 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $0.56 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | $0.56 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Sep 16, 2025 | $0.56 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Jun 17, 2025 | $0.54 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | $0.54 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | $0.54 | Jan 1, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,599,369
- Days to cover
- 4.38
- Change vs previous report
- +42.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Apr 12, 2007
- 2-for-1
- Apr 3, 1995
- 2-for-1
- Nov 30, 1979
- 2-for-1
- Dec 4, 1978
- 2-for-1