Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. GPI
$249.84 -2.67% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $2.98B
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count fell 8.1% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- Net debt is 7.1× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth18Very weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 35%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 27%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 12%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 16%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 7%
Quality16Very weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 45%
- Gross marginBottom 12%
- Operating marginBottom 37%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 36%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 17%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 17%
- Interest coverBottom 46%
Value77Positive
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 12%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 43%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 37%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 7%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 35%
Momentum11Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 11%
- 6-month returnBottom 16%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 12%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 22%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Revisions20Very weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 21%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 37%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 27%
Stability42Weak
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 19%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 43%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 14%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 17%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.2% | 0.8% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -26.2% | -33.3% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 15.9% | 15.7% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 4.2% | 4.0% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 3.1% | 0.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 0.8% | 7.2% | ↓ | Bottom 35% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -33.3% | -26.2% | ↓ | Bottom 27% |
| Gross margin | 15.7% | 15.9% | ↓ | Bottom 12% |
| Operating margin | 4.0% | 4.2% | ↓ | Bottom 37% |
| Net margin | 1.3% | 2.2% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 0.6% | 3.1% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 7.0% | — | Top 45% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 11.6% | — | Top 16% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.42×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -1.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +4.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 7.06×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.6×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.86%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 14.48%
- Shareholder yield
- 15.34%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -8.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -5.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -5.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -2.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $380.00
- Target vs current price
- +52.1%
- Analysts with a rating
- 25
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 44%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | -9.3% | -17.1% | -22.5% | -26.6% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | -1.8% | +2.2% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -3.4% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | -9.3% | -8.4% | -9.7% | -15.6% | -13.9% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | -1.8% | -6.4% | -6.3% | -4.8% | -6.7% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | +11.7% | -0.3% | -1.1% | +7.0% | +3.2% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | +4.6% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +8.2% | +3.3% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | +14.3% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -11.3% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | +0.3% | +6.4% | +6.0% | +21.7% | +29.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $9.61 | $10.60 | -9.3% | $5.39B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $8.66 | $8.82 | -1.8% | $5.41B |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $8.49 | $9.36 | -9.3% | $5.58B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $10.45 | $10.64 | -1.8% | $5.78B |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $11.52 | $10.31 | +11.7% | $5.70B |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $10.17 | $9.72 | +4.6% | $5.51B |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $10.02 | $8.77 | +14.3% | $5.55B |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $9.90 | $9.87 | +0.3% | $5.22B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 10.4× | 6.5× | 67th | Top 12% |
| P/E (forward) | 6.4× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.7× | — | — | Top 37% |
| EV / Sales | 0.40× | — | — | Top 7% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.64% | — | — | Bottom 43% |
| Earnings yield | 9.62% | — | — | Top 12% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.3× – 13.8× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -44.3%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -33.3%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +6.9%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -6.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -8.3%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -22.6%
- RSI (14)
- 43.7
- Relative volume
- 0.86×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 59.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 100th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.60
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.25
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -44.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -50.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2025 | Sep 30, 2026 | -50.7% | 264 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Sep 29, 2022 | -33.1% | 218 days | 84 days (Jan 31, 2023) |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Apr 3, 2025 | -23.1% | 34 days | 110 days (Sep 11, 2025) |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -21.4% | 7 days | 45 days (Jan 6, 2021) |
| May 6, 2021 | Jun 18, 2021 | -17.6% | 30 days | 22 days (Jul 21, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $2.98B
- P/E (TTM)
- 10.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $24.04
- Revenue (TTM)
- $22.15B
- Dividend yield
- 0.86%
- 52-week range
- $234.05 – $461.27
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.48B | $16.22B | $17.87B | $19.93B | $22.57B |
| Gross profit | $2.44B | $2.97B | $3.02B | $3.24B | $3.50B |
| Operating income | $884.4M | $1.09B | $968.6M | $909.1M | $948.7M |
| Net income | $552.1M | $751.5M | $601.6M | $498.2M | $323.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $30.11 | $47.14 | $42.73 | $36.73 | $25.12 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.22B | $5.55B | $5.51B | $5.70B | $5.78B | $5.58B | $5.41B | $5.39B |
| Net income | $117.3M | $94.8M | $127.7M | $139.8M | $13.1M | $43.0M | $130.2M | $103.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.64 | $7.00 | $9.64 | $10.77 | $1.02 | $3.53 | $10.85 | $8.64 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.35B | $578.4M | $63.5M | $466.7M | $644.9M |
| Capital expenditure | -$143.6M | -$155.5M | -$185.4M | -$245.1M | -$270.0M |
| Free cash flow | $1.21B | $422.9M | -$121.9M | $221.6M | $374.9M |
| Dividends paid | -$23.9M | -$23.7M | -$25.2M | -$25.2M | -$25.6M |
| Net share buybacks | -$195.4M | -$501.7M | -$151.5M | -$137.2M | -$525.2M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $164.5M
- Total assets
- $10.29B
- Total liabilities
- $7.33B
- Total debt
- $5.98B
- Net debt
- $5.82B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.95B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | $0.55 | Sep 15, 2026 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | $0.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $0.55 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | $0.50 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Sep 2, 2025 | $0.50 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Jun 2, 2025 | $0.50 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | $0.50 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Dec 2, 2024 | $0.47 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,278,436
- Days to cover
- 5.07
- Change vs previous report
- +6.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.