Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. HLT
$319.36 +1.24% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $71.89B
Strong trendExpensive vs sectorLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 11 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +1.9%).
- Net debt is 4.2× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $12.48B, up 8.7% from a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 29%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 48%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 34%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 17%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 49%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 16%
- Gross marginTop 34%
- Operating marginTop 6%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 30%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 27%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 32%
- Interest coverTop 49%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 34%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 30%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 21%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 5%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 37%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 25%
- 6-month returnTop 42%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 21%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 12%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 7%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 32%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 8%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 40%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 18%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 5%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 32%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 32%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.7% | 8.7% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 3.5% | 4.8% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 27.1% | 44.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 21.1% | 23.3% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 19.1% | 16.1% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 8.7% | 8.7% | ↑ | Top 29% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 4.8% | 3.5% | ↑ | Top 48% |
| Gross margin | 44.1% | 27.1% | ↑ | Top 34% |
| Operating margin | 23.3% | 21.1% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| Net margin | 12.7% | 13.8% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 16.1% | 19.1% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 16.5% | — | Top 16% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 11.1% | — | Top 17% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.33×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -3.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -1.9 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 4.21×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.19%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 4.50%
- Shareholder yield
- 4.70%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -4.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 28, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 11
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +1.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $348.11
- Target vs current price
- +9.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 49
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 57%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +0.9% | -2.5% | -5.0% | -0.2% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +1.5% | -2.7% | -6.3% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | +3.0% | +0.4% | -2.4% | -8.3% | -1.1% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | +2.4% | +3.4% | -1.9% | +0.7% | +13.1% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | +7.3% | -2.6% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -3.2% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | +6.8% | +2.2% | +7.8% | +14.2% | +20.7% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | +5.4% | +4.9% | +6.1% | -2.6% | -6.6% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | +4.3% | -1.9% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +3.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $2.29 | $2.27 | +0.9% | $3.34B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $2.01 | $1.98 | +1.5% | $2.94B |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $2.08 | $2.02 | +3.0% | $3.09B |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $2.11 | $2.06 | +2.4% | $3.12B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $2.20 | $2.05 | +7.3% | $3.14B |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.72 | $1.61 | +6.8% | $2.69B |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.76 | $1.67 | +5.4% | $2.78B |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $1.92 | $1.84 | +4.3% | $2.87B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 46.9× | 43.6× | 65th | Bottom 34% |
| P/E (forward) | 35.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 27.5× | — | — | Bottom 21% |
| EV / Sales | 6.80× | — | — | Bottom 5% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.79% | — | — | Bottom 30% |
| Earnings yield | 2.13% | — | — | Bottom 34% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 30.3× – 107.8× since Dec 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +24.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +4.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +15.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 1
- Days above the 200-day average
- 1
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +0.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +1.0%
- RSI (14)
- 55.2
- Relative volume
- 0.66×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 22.6%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 42th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.82
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.55
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -8.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -26.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | Jul 6, 2022 | -32.7% | 53 days | 343 days (Nov 14, 2023) |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -26.4% | 38 days | 63 days (Jul 10, 2025) |
| Feb 15, 2022 | Mar 7, 2022 | -18.3% | 13 days | 30 days (Apr 19, 2022) |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Dec 1, 2021 | -14.4% | 17 days | 15 days (Dec 22, 2021) |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Sep 17, 2026 | -13.6% | 64 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $71.89B
- P/E (TTM)
- 46.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $6.81
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.48B
- Dividend yield
- 0.19%
- 52-week range
- $253.54 – $358.00
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.79B | $8.77B | $10.23B | $11.17B | $12.04B |
| Gross profit | $1.66B | $2.70B | $2.93B | $3.06B | $4.95B |
| Operating income | $1.01B | $2.09B | $2.23B | $2.37B | $2.69B |
| Net income | $410.0M | $1.25B | $1.14B | $1.53B | $1.46B |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.46 | $4.53 | $4.32 | $6.14 | $6.12 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.87B | $2.78B | $2.69B | $3.14B | $3.12B | $3.09B | $2.94B | $3.34B |
| Net income | $344.0M | $505.0M | $300.0M | $440.0M | $420.0M | $297.0M | $385.0M | $482.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.38 | $2.05 | $1.23 | $1.84 | $1.77 | $1.28 | $1.66 | $2.10 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $109.0M | $1.68B | $1.95B | $2.01B | $2.13B |
| Capital expenditure | -$79.0M | -$102.0M | -$247.0M | -$198.0M | -$185.0M |
| Free cash flow | $30.0M | $1.58B | $1.70B | $1.81B | $1.94B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | -$123.0M | -$158.0M | -$150.0M | -$143.0M |
| Net share buybacks | $52.0M | -$1.59B | -$2.34B | -$2.89B | -$3.25B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.01B
- Total assets
- $16.93B
- Total liabilities
- $23.20B
- Total debt
- $14.02B
- Net debt
- $13.01B
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$6.30B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 28, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | $0.15 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| May 22, 2026 | $0.15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $0.15 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | $0.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | $0.15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| May 23, 2025 | $0.15 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $0.15 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | $0.15 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 5,161,369
- Days to cover
- 3.41
- Change vs previous report
- +1.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jan 4, 2017
- 250-for-513