Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
Lithia Motors, Inc. LAD
$307.77 +0.56% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $6.77B
Next earnings report: Oct 21, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count fell 14.8% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- Net debt is 11.5× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $37.94B, up 2.1% from a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 41%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 38%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 18%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 40%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 30%
- Gross marginBottom 5%
- Operating marginBottom 25%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 2%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 7%
- Interest coverBottom 26%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 11%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 10%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 33%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 20%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 25%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 31%
- 6-month returnTop 26%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 46%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 44%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 38%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 48%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 19%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 48%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 30%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 22%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 46%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 7%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 2.5% | 2.1% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -10.2% | -10.6% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 15.3% | 11.0% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 4.5% | 2.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 0.9% | -1.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 2.1% | 2.5% | ↓ | Bottom 41% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -10.6% | -10.2% | ↓ | Bottom 38% |
| Gross margin | 11.0% | 15.3% | ↓ | Bottom 5% |
| Operating margin | 2.2% | 4.5% | ↓ | Bottom 25% |
| Net margin | 1.9% | 2.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -1.3% | 0.9% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 2.6% | — | Bottom 30% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 10.1% | — | Top 18% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- -0.21×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 3.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -11.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 11.49×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.78%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 17.79%
- Shareholder yield
- 18.57%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -14.8%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -6.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +4.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +3.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $409.29
- Target vs current price
- +33.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 27
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 70%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | +14.9% | +19.3% | +3.5% | +3.8% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +6.7% | +5.0% | +3.3% | +5.6% | +23.0% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | -16.7% | -1.9% | -6.6% | -19.2% | -10.9% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | +11.4% | -1.1% | +2.1% | -5.7% | +6.5% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | +10.8% | -5.6% | -7.4% | +5.3% | +1.6% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | -2.5% | -5.8% | -1.0% | +8.0% | +4.2% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | +6.3% | +4.6% | -1.2% | -19.0% | -17.6% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | +8.0% | +10.1% | +12.0% | +21.7% | +16.2% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $10.03 | $8.73 | +14.9% | $9.79B |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $7.34 | $6.88 | +6.7% | $9.27B |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $6.74 | $8.09 | -16.7% | $9.20B |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $9.50 | $8.53 | +11.4% | $9.68B |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $10.24 | $9.24 | +10.8% | $9.58B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $7.66 | $7.86 | -2.5% | $9.18B |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $7.79 | $7.33 | +6.3% | $9.17B |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $8.21 | $7.60 | +8.0% | $9.22B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 10.2× | 8.7× | 76th | Top 11% |
| P/E (forward) | 8.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 16.3× | — | — | Bottom 33% |
| EV / Sales | 0.61× | — | — | Top 20% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -7.45% | — | — | Bottom 10% |
| Earnings yield | 9.80% | — | — | Top 11% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.6× – 14.2× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -4.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -10.6%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +67.2%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -13.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -1.4%
- RSI (14)
- 37.5
- Relative volume
- 1.43×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 52.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 99th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.00
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.42
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -28.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -38.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | Oct 20, 2022 | -55.8% | 403 days | 944 days (Jul 29, 2026) |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sep 29, 2026 | -32.3% | 43 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -19.1% | 17 days | 16 days (Nov 23, 2020) |
| Nov 24, 2020 | Dec 14, 2020 | -12.7% | 13 days | 15 days (Jan 6, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $6.77B
- P/E (TTM)
- 10.2
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $30.15
- Revenue (TTM)
- $37.94B
- Dividend yield
- 0.77%
- 52-week range
- $239.78 – $439.49
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $22.83B | $28.19B | $31.04B | $36.19B | $37.63B |
| Gross profit | $4.26B | $5.15B | $5.23B | $5.56B | $5.73B |
| Operating income | $1.66B | $1.94B | $1.69B | $1.58B | $1.43B |
| Net income | $1.06B | $1.25B | $1.00B | $802.0M | $819.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $36.56 | $44.20 | $36.29 | $29.65 | $32.32 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.22B | $9.17B | $9.18B | $9.58B | $9.68B | $9.20B | $9.27B | $9.79B |
| Net income | $209.1M | $216.2M | $209.5M | $256.1M | $217.1M | $136.9M | $100.4M | $260.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $7.80 | $8.12 | $7.94 | $9.87 | $8.61 | $5.72 | $4.28 | $11.54 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.80B | -$610.1M | -$472.4M | $425.1M | $356.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$260.4M | -$303.1M | -$230.2M | -$351.4M | -$350.9M |
| Free cash flow | $1.54B | -$913.2M | -$702.6M | $73.7M | $5.8M |
| Dividends paid | -$38.8M | -$45.2M | -$52.8M | -$56.5M | -$55.3M |
| Net share buybacks | $905.5M | -$652.2M | -$19.2M | -$338.6M | -$933.4M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $363.9M
- Total assets
- $26.25B
- Total liabilities
- $19.82B
- Total debt
- $16.56B
- Net debt
- $16.20B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $6.43B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | $0.70 | Aug 21, 2026 |
| May 8, 2026 | $0.57 | May 22, 2026 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | $0.55 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | $0.55 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | $0.55 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| May 9, 2025 | $0.55 | May 23, 2025 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | $0.53 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $0.53 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,879,597
- Days to cover
- 9.13
- Change vs previous report
- -4.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.