Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Nathan's Famous, Inc. NATH
$101.49 +0.09% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $415.9M
Low risk
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 21.0× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Operating margin narrowed to 17.7% from 23.6% a year earlier.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $169.1M, up 12.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from 9.4% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 20%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 34%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 36%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 26%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 16%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 1%
- Gross marginBottom 37%
- Operating marginTop 12%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 14%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 10%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 23%
- Interest coverTop 28%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 47%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 42%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 42%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 21%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 7%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 38%
- 6-month returnTop 50%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 48%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 13%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 20%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 9%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 23%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.4% | 12.4% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -17.5% | -16.3% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 33.9% | 28.9% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 23.6% | 17.7% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 13.1% | 11.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 12.4% | 9.4% | ↑ | Top 20% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -16.3% | -17.5% | ↑ | Bottom 34% |
| Gross margin | 28.9% | 33.9% | ↓ | Bottom 37% |
| Operating margin | 17.7% | 23.6% | ↓ | Top 12% |
| Net margin | 11.8% | 15.7% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 11.3% | 13.1% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 47.1% | — | Top 1% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 7.4% | — | Top 26% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.97×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 0.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.7%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +5.9 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.83×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 10.7×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 4.43%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 4.43%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | — | -0.3% | -1.5% | -0.2% | — |
| Jun 9, 2026 | — | -0.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -4.3% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | — | -0.3% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | — | -3.8% | -9.9% | -15.7% | -8.3% |
| Aug 8, 2025 | — | -2.0% | +4.6% | +5.8% | +6.6% |
| Jun 10, 2025 | — | +5.3% | +0.6% | +4.4% | -3.9% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | — | +2.7% | +4.9% | +15.7% | +17.3% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | — | -1.7% | -1.6% | -1.5% | -6.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | $2.14 | — | — | $54.1M |
| Jun 9, 2026 | $0.68 | — | — | $35.1M |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.75 | — | — | $34.3M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $1.26 | — | — | $45.7M |
| Aug 8, 2025 | $2.16 | — | — | $47.0M |
| Jun 10, 2025 | $1.03 | — | — | $30.8M |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.10 | — | — | $31.5M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $1.47 | — | — | $41.1M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 21.0× | 16.4× | 95th | Top 47% |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.9× | — | — | Bottom 42% |
| EV / Sales | 2.61× | — | — | Bottom 21% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.59% | — | — | Bottom 42% |
| Earnings yield | 4.76% | — | — | Top 47% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 13.4× – 21.1× since Jun 27, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -8.7%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -16.3%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +20.4%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 6
- Days above the 200-day average
- 6
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +3.3%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +2.2%
- RSI (14)
- 62.2
- Relative volume
- 0.98×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 20.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 13th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.50
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.28
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -9.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -22.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2021 | May 24, 2022 | -36.5% | 241 days | 172 days (Jan 31, 2023) |
| Jun 8, 2023 | Oct 24, 2023 | -23.6% | 95 days | 239 days (Oct 7, 2024) |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Dec 8, 2025 | -22.4% | 103 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Dec 22, 2020 | -18.3% | 24 days | 49 days (Mar 5, 2021) |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Jan 10, 2025 | -18.0% | 40 days | 23 days (Feb 13, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $415.9M
- P/E (TTM)
- 21.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $4.83
- Revenue (TTM)
- $169.1M
- Dividend yield
- 3.94%
- 52-week range
- $88.67 – $113.86
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $114.9M | $130.8M | $138.6M | $148.2M | $162.1M |
| Gross profit | $44.1M | $49.6M | $49.3M | $52.0M | $48.9M |
| Operating income | $29.9M | $34.4M | $32.5M | $36.5M | $30.1M |
| Net income | $13.6M | $19.6M | $19.6M | $24.0M | $20.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.30 | $4.80 | $4.80 | $5.87 | $4.85 |
| Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $41.1M | $31.5M | $30.8M | $47.0M | $45.7M | $34.3M | $35.1M | $54.1M |
| Net income | $6.0M | $4.5M | $4.2M | $8.9M | $5.2M | $3.1M | $2.8M | $8.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.47 | $1.10 | $1.04 | $2.16 | $1.26 | $0.75 | $0.68 | $2.14 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $16.5M | $19.8M | $20.0M | $25.2M | $18.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$636,000 | -$626,000 | -$313,000 | -$225,000 | -$370,000 |
| Free cash flow | $15.8M | $19.2M | $19.7M | $25.0M | $17.9M |
| Dividends paid | -$6.2M | -$7.6M | -$8.2M | -$8.2M | -$18.4M |
| Net share buybacks | -$7,000 | -$1.9M | -$362,000 | $0 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $24.7M
- Total assets
- $64.8M
- Total liabilities
- $71.9M
- Total debt
- $51.0M
- Net debt
- $26.3M
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$7.2M
As of Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | $0.50 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | $3.00 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | $0.50 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | $0.50 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $0.50 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | $0.50 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | $0.50 | Sep 6, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 132,677
- Days to cover
- 6.60
- Change vs previous report
- +20.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.