Stocks · Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
National Healthcare Properties, Inc. (NHP) NHP
$16.09 -0.19% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $271.4M
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Dec 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 117.7% in a year.
- Net debt is 6.6× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 22%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 20%
- Gross marginBottom 32%
- Operating marginBottom 14%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 30%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 41%
- Interest coverBottom 16%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 10%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 28%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 14%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 9%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 15%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 18%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 14%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 16%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 40%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 2%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 41%
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross margin | 27.5% | — | Bottom 32% | |
| Operating margin | 4.3% | — | Bottom 14% | |
| Net margin | -13.0% | — | — | |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 6.9% | — | — | |
| Return on invested capital | 0.8% | — | Bottom 20% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 0.6% | — | Bottom 22% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.1%
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 6.56×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 0.3×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.21%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -173.03%
- Shareholder yield
- -171.82%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +117.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 0 of 2
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -73.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 2
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $18.00
- Target vs current price
- +11.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 4
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 75%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | -13.0% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +3.0% | — |
| May 13, 2026 | -134.8% | -1.7% | +11.4% | +4.4% | +26.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | -$0.13 | -$0.12 | -13.0% | $87.5M |
| May 13, 2026 | -$0.27 | -$0.12 | -134.8% | $86.3M |
| Feb 20, 2026 | -$0.91 | — | — | $84.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 30.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 9.7× | — | — | Top 14% |
| EV / Sales | 2.41× | — | — | Top 9% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 8.76% | — | — | Top 28% |
| Earnings yield | -11.68% | — | — | Bottom 10% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -0.7%
- RSI (14)
- 48.6
- Relative volume
- 0.82×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 25.7%
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -5.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -10.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Jun 16, 2026 | -10.4% | 20 days | 12 days (Jul 6, 2026) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $271.4M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.88
- Revenue (TTM)
- $344.3M
- Dividend yield
- 0.93%
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $335.8M | $345.9M | $353.8M | $342.3M |
| Gross profit | $122.4M | $128.1M | $132.3M | $123.4M |
| Operating income | -$31.5M | -$4.7M | -$123.5M | $3.3M |
| Net income | -$79.5M | -$72.3M | -$189.7M | -$57.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$3.30 | -$3.04 | -$7.19 | -$2.51 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $87.7M | $86.4M | $85.3M | $86.0M | $84.5M | $86.3M | $87.5M |
| Net income | -$17.0M | -$1.6M | -$20.8M | -$12.6M | -$22.7M | -$4.3M | -$5.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.72 | -$0.18 | -$0.85 | -$0.56 | -$0.92 | -$0.27 | -$0.13 |
| FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $21.6M | -$79.8M | $7.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$22.4M | -$21.9M | -$28.7M |
| Free cash flow | -$773,000 | -$101.8M | -$21.8M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | -$5.4M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $302.4M
- Total assets
- $1.98B
- Total liabilities
- $919.0M
- Total debt
- $861.0M
- Net debt
- $558.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.05B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | $0.08 | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | $0.08 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,871,279
- Days to cover
- 10.25
- Change vs previous report
- +9.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.