Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
NVR, Inc. NVR
$5,993.85 -2.16% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $16.18B
Low risk
Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count fell 7.9% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $9.43B, down 10.6% from a year earlier, slowing from -8.1% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth11Very weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 8%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 34%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 30%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 37%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 17%
Quality67Positive
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 6%
- Gross marginBottom 24%
- Operating marginTop 19%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 13%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 9%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 14%
- Interest coverTop 1%
Value62Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 30%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 44%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 37%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 39%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 48%
Momentum30Weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 25%
- 6-month returnBottom 34%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 30%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 49%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Revisions7Very weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 28%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 37%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 18%
Stability97Exceptional
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 10%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 31%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 6%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 14%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -8.1% | -10.6% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -15.7% | -18.7% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 24.0% | 22.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 17.5% | 14.9% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 11.5% | 11.1% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -10.6% | -8.1% | ↓ | Bottom 8% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -18.7% | -15.7% | ↓ | Bottom 34% |
| Gross margin | 22.2% | 24.0% | ↓ | Bottom 24% |
| Operating margin | 14.9% | 17.5% | ↓ | Top 19% |
| Net margin | 12.1% | 14.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 11.1% | 11.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 24.3% | — | Top 6% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -0.7% | — | Bottom 37% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.93×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 1.4%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.7%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +30.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.10×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 2717.7×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 10.36%
- Shareholder yield
- 10.36%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -7.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -6.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -0.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -1.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $6,545.75
- Target vs current price
- +9.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 25
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 44%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | -6.7% | -3.1% | +0.5% | +1.1% | — |
| Apr 22, 2026 | -12.4% | -4.7% | -7.1% | -16.7% | -6.4% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | +14.8% | +1.7% | +3.6% | -2.9% | -11.1% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | +2.7% | -1.2% | -4.2% | -8.3% | -3.0% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | +2.2% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +4.3% | -3.3% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | -10.6% | +0.5% | -1.3% | +2.5% | +4.3% |
| Jan 28, 2025 | +9.4% | -3.8% | -7.7% | -12.5% | -15.5% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | -0.4% | -2.3% | -3.6% | -8.2% | -13.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.84 | $0.90 | -6.7% | $2.33B |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $0.68 | $0.77 | -12.4% | $1.88B |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $1.22 | $1.06 | +14.8% | $2.71B |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $112.33 | $109.36 | +2.7% | $2.51B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $108.54 | $106.20 | +2.2% | $2.60B |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $94.83 | $106.07 | -10.6% | $2.35B |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $139.93 | $127.85 | +9.4% | $2.85B |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $130.50 | $131.00 | -0.4% | $2.74B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 15.6× | 15.8× | 48th | Top 30% |
| P/E (forward) | 16.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.6× | — | — | Top 37% |
| EV / Sales | 1.70× | — | — | Bottom 39% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.47% | — | — | Top 44% |
| Earnings yield | 6.42% | — | — | Top 30% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 9.3× – 19.3× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -25.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -18.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -0.5%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -4.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -10.4%
- RSI (14)
- 37.4
- Relative volume
- 0.99×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 25.6%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 48th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.37
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.24
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -26.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -43.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | May 15, 2026 | -43.9% | 393 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Jun 16, 2022 | -38.4% | 117 days | 213 days (Apr 24, 2023) |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Oct 25, 2023 | -17.4% | 37 days | 31 days (Dec 8, 2023) |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Dec 2, 2020 | -12.3% | 35 days | 33 days (Jan 21, 2021) |
| May 10, 2021 | Jun 10, 2021 | -11.8% | 22 days | 34 days (Jul 29, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $16.18B
- P/E (TTM)
- 15.6
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $385.05
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.43B
- 52-week range
- $5,501.01 – $8,200.00
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.96B | $10.54B | $9.53B | $10.54B | $10.32B |
| Gross profit | $2.20B | $2.88B | $2.48B | $2.69B | $2.37B |
| Operating income | $1.47B | $2.17B | $1.82B | $1.99B | $1.67B |
| Net income | $1.24B | $1.73B | $1.59B | $1.68B | $1.34B |
| EPS (diluted) | $320.48 | $491.82 | $463.31 | $506.69 | $436.55 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.74B | $2.85B | $2.35B | $2.60B | $2.51B | $2.71B | $1.88B | $2.33B |
| Net income | $429.3M | $457.4M | $299.6M | $333.7M | $342.7M | $363.8M | $198.4M | $236.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $130.50 | $139.93 | $94.83 | $108.37 | $112.13 | $121.54 | $67.76 | $83.62 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.24B | $1.87B | $1.50B | $1.37B | $1.12B |
| Capital expenditure | -$17.9M | -$18.4M | -$24.9M | -$29.2M | -$24.5M |
| Free cash flow | $1.22B | $1.85B | $1.47B | $1.35B | $1.10B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.40B | -$1.30B | -$831.3M | -$1.90B | -$1.75B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.20B
- Total assets
- $5.47B
- Total liabilities
- $2.08B
- Total debt
- $1.05B
- Net debt
- -$146.6M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.39B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 1990 | $0.17 | — |
| Oct 26, 1989 | $0.23 | — |
| Jul 26, 1989 | $0.22 | — |
| Apr 19, 1989 | $0.20 | — |
| Feb 16, 1989 | $0.19 | — |
| Nov 8, 1988 | $0.13 | — |
| Jul 26, 1988 | $0.13 | — |
| Mar 25, 1988 | $0.08 | — |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 130,731
- Days to cover
- 3.40
- Change vs previous report
- +20.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Oct 1, 1993
- 1-for-30