Stocks · Real Estate · REIT - Residential
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. NXRT
$18.67 -1.01% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $474.4M
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Net debt is 4.3× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Over the past year the stock returned -42.0%, behind the S&P 500 by 57.1 percentage points.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 30%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 38%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 14%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 30%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 26%
- Gross marginTop 6%
- Operating marginBottom 25%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 17%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 25%
- Interest coverBottom 14%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 14%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 17%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 2%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 39%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 15%
- 6-month returnBottom 14%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 11%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 15%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 45%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 32%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 12%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 11%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 28%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 15%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 24%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 25%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.7% | 1.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 56.6% | 90.8% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 12.8% | 11.1% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 32.7% | 26.1% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 1.1% | -0.7% | ↑ | Bottom 30% |
| Gross margin | 90.8% | 56.6% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| Operating margin | 11.1% | 12.8% | ↓ | Bottom 25% |
| Net margin | -13.1% | -19.7% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 26.1% | 32.7% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 1.5% | — | Bottom 26% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -1.6% | — | Bottom 14% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -6.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 4.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -35.9 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 4.26×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 0.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 11.51%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 11.51%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +6.5%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $20.50
- Target vs current price
- +9.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 11
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 27%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +8.1% | -5.7% | -3.2% | -8.5% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +25.0% | +9.5% | +10.6% | +11.9% | -1.7% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | -18.6% | -2.6% | -4.9% | -15.3% | -3.0% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +11.4% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +2.4% | -0.1% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | +16.6% | +1.3% | -7.5% | +0.3% | -6.7% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | +6.9% | +2.0% | +4.1% | -7.5% | -7.7% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | -324.0% | +3.7% | +8.2% | -0.3% | -7.5% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -29.8% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +9.7% | -8.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | -$0.34 | -$0.37 | +8.1% | $64.6M |
| Apr 28, 2026 | -$0.27 | -$0.36 | +25.0% | $63.5M |
| Feb 24, 2026 | -$0.40 | -$0.34 | -18.6% | $62.1M |
| Oct 28, 2025 | -$0.31 | -$0.35 | +11.4% | $62.8M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | -$0.28 | -$0.34 | +16.6% | $63.1M |
| Apr 29, 2025 | -$0.27 | -$0.29 | +6.9% | $63.2M |
| Feb 25, 2025 | -$1.06 | -$0.25 | -324.0% | $63.8M |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -$0.35 | -$0.27 | -29.8% | $64.1M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 5.5× | — | — | Top 2% |
| EV / Sales | 8.04× | — | — | Top 39% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 14.01% | — | — | Top 17% |
| Earnings yield | -7.02% | — | — | Bottom 14% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 12.3× – 134.4× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -9.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -20.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -30.9%
- RSI (14)
- 23.1
- Relative volume
- 0.72×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 30.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 47th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.79
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.39
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -42.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -60.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | Oct 2, 2026 | -80.3% | 1111 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Jan 29, 2021 | -14.0% | 64 days | 30 days (Mar 15, 2021) |
| Dec 31, 2021 | Jan 27, 2022 | -10.8% | 18 days | 14 days (Feb 16, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $474.4M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.31
- Revenue (TTM)
- $255.0M
- Dividend yield
- 11.36%
- 52-week range
- $18.52 – $32.36
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $219.2M | $264.0M | $277.5M | $259.7M | $251.3M |
| Gross profit | $117.1M | $143.9M | $157.6M | $146.5M | $211.7M |
| Operating income | $64.4M | $46.3M | $113.2M | $83.6M | $27.9M |
| Net income | $23.0M | -$9.3M | $44.3M | $1.1M | -$32.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.89 | -$0.36 | $1.69 | $0.04 | -$1.26 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $64.1M | $63.8M | $63.2M | $61.2M | $62.8M | $64.0M | $63.5M | $64.6M |
| Net income | -$8.9M | -$26.9M | -$6.9M | -$7.0M | -$7.8M | -$10.3M | -$6.8M | -$8.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.35 | -$1.06 | -$0.27 | -$0.28 | -$0.31 | -$0.40 | -$0.27 | -$0.33 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $73.3M | $79.1M | $96.6M | $73.6M | $83.6M |
| Capital expenditure | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Free cash flow | $73.3M | $79.1M | $96.6M | $73.6M | $83.6M |
| Dividends paid | -$35.8M | -$40.6M | -$44.8M | -$49.3M | -$53.5M |
| Net share buybacks | $25.6M | -$7.2M | -$1.7M | -$14.6M | -$8.2M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $14.6M
- Total assets
- $1.88B
- Total liabilities
- $1.63B
- Total debt
- $1.59B
- Net debt
- $1.57B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $247.9M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | $0.53 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | $0.53 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | $0.53 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | $0.53 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | $0.51 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | $0.51 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | $0.51 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | $0.51 | Dec 31, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,441,053
- Days to cover
- 3.92
- Change vs previous report
- +29.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.