Stocks · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. ORC
$5.11 -2.29% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $886.6M
Strong growthWeak trendInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $531.8M, up 2092.2% from a year earlier, accelerating from 548.9% a quarter earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.48, up 641.1% year over year.
- Operating margin widened to 32.4% from 0.0% a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 1%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 3%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 3%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 1%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 25%
- Gross marginTop 36%
- Operating marginTop 38%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 22%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 18%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 17%
- Interest coverBottom 20%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 1%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 9%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 35%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 6%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 9%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 31%
- 6-month returnBottom 10%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 22%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 17%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 32%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 18%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 1%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 20%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 50%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 42%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 17%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 548.9% | 2092.2% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 85.9% | 641.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 100.0% | 61.9% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 0.0% | 32.4% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 193.4% | 38.8% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 2092.2% | 548.9% | ↑ | Top 1% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 641.1% | 85.9% | ↑ | Top 3% |
| Gross margin | 61.9% | 100.0% | ↓ | Top 36% |
| Operating margin | 32.4% | 0.0% | ↑ | Top 38% |
| Net margin | 46.0% | 26.4% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 38.8% | 193.4% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 1.3% | — | Bottom 25% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.84×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 0.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -2040.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 17.23×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 0.5×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 19.14%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -31.56%
- Shareholder yield
- -12.42%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +75.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +71.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 24, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 3 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -10.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $7.50
- Target vs current price
- +46.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 5
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 0%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | -7.1% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +1.3% | — |
| Apr 23, 2026 | -3.7% | -1.6% | +1.2% | -2.4% | -3.5% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | -18.6% | -0.6% | -7.9% | -8.7% | -15.3% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | -11.1% | -0.4% | -0.9% | -4.3% | +9.2% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | +6.7% | -0.5% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -0.5% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | -11.1% | +0.6% | +3.8% | +0.1% | +2.5% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | +266.7% | +1.9% | +5.3% | +10.8% | -7.6% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | +16.7% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.26 | $0.28 | -7.1% | $60.0M |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $0.26 | $0.27 | -3.7% | $57.1M |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $0.19 | $0.23 | -18.6% | $38.5M |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $0.16 | $0.18 | -11.1% | $77.5M |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.16 | $0.15 | +6.7% | $84.3M |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.16 | $0.18 | -11.1% | $21.3M |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $0.05 | -$0.03 | +266.7% | -$144.7M |
| Oct 24, 2024 | -$0.05 | -$0.06 | +16.7% | $68.2M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 3.5× | 14.8× | 0th | Top 1% |
| P/E (forward) | 4.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 18.7× | — | — | Bottom 35% |
| EV / Sales | 21.92× | — | — | Bottom 6% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 23.29% | — | — | Top 9% |
| Earnings yield | 28.96% | — | — | Top 1% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.4× – 37.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -28.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +641.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -88.1%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.1%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -19.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -26.7%
- RSI (14)
- 15.0
- Relative volume
- 1.96×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 23.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 39th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.59
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.35
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -38.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -43.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | Oct 2, 2026 | -83.4% | 1375 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $886.6M
- P/E (TTM)
- 3.5
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.48
- Revenue (TTM)
- $531.8M
- Dividend yield
- 25.83%
- 52-week range
- $4.99 – $8.40
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -$49.9M | -$241.0M | -$20.7M | $54.4M | $179.5M |
| Gross profit | -$49.9M | -$243.9M | -$20.7M | $54.4M | $175.5M |
| Operating income | $0 | -$258.5M | $0 | $0 | $159.0M |
| Net income | -$64.8M | -$258.5M | -$39.2M | $37.7M | $159.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$2.67 | -$6.90 | -$0.88 | $0.58 | $1.24 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $21.6M | $9.9M | $21.3M | -$28.6M | $77.5M | $132.2M | $157.9M | $164.2M |
| Net income | $17.3M | $5.5M | $17.1M | -$33.6M | $72.1M | $103.4M | -$20.0M | $89.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.24 | $0.07 | $0.18 | -$0.29 | $0.53 | $0.62 | -$0.11 | $0.44 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $96.4M | $289.4M | $8.0M | $67.0M | $120.4M |
| Capital expenditure | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Free cash flow | $96.4M | $289.4M | $8.0M | $67.0M | $120.4M |
| Dividends paid | -$91.0M | -$93.5M | -$80.8M | -$92.5M | -$178.9M |
| Net share buybacks | $513.8M | $15.7M | $149.7M | $255.9M | $734.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $813.6M
- Total assets
- $13.10B
- Total liabilities
- $11.66B
- Total debt
- $11.58B
- Net debt
- $10.77B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.44B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 24, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $0.10 | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | $0.10 | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | $0.10 | Aug 28, 2026 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $0.10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| May 29, 2026 | $0.10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.10 | May 28, 2026 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $0.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $0.12 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 16,200,116
- Days to cover
- 3.62
- Change vs previous report
- -20.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Aug 31, 2022
- 1-for-5