Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. ORLY
$84.90 -0.15% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $70.36B
Strong growthHigh qualityExpensive vs sectorLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $18.57B, up 8.5% from a year earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $3.14, up 12.3% year over year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 30%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 38%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 47%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 27%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 40%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 2%
- Gross marginTop 20%
- Operating marginTop 9%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 24%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 31%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 44%
- Interest coverTop 23%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 44%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 32%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 27%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 8%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 40%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 31%
- 6-month returnBottom 38%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 36%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 33%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 30%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 36%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 40%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 12%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 2%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 44%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 7.9% | 8.5% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 11.0% | 12.3% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 51.4% | 51.6% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 19.2% | 19.6% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 10.3% | 11.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 8.5% | 7.9% | ↑ | Top 30% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 12.3% | 11.0% | ↑ | Top 38% |
| Gross margin | 51.6% | 51.4% | ↑ | Top 20% |
| Operating margin | 19.6% | 19.2% | ↑ | Top 9% |
| Net margin | 14.3% | 14.2% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 11.6% | 10.3% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 34.3% | — | Top 2% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 7.3% | — | Top 27% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.24×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -3.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.2%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -25.6 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.31×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 14.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 4.67%
- Shareholder yield
- 4.67%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -3.8%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +0.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.2%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $106.09
- Target vs current price
- +25.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 47
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 60%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | -0.2% | -0.6% | +0.7% | -0.9% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +3.6% | +0.1% | +3.7% | -2.8% | -4.6% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | -2.2% | -0.4% | -3.8% | -2.9% | +2.4% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | +2.0% | -0.1% | -4.9% | -2.9% | -6.5% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | -0.1% | +0.1% | +3.7% | +8.1% | +7.1% |
| Apr 23, 2025 | -5.6% | -0.9% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | -93.2% | +1.0% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +5.5% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | -1.3% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -0.4% | +3.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $0.86 | $0.86 | -0.2% | $4.89B |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.72 | $0.70 | +3.6% | $4.56B |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $0.71 | $0.73 | -2.2% | $4.41B |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $0.85 | $0.83 | +2.0% | $4.71B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.78 | $0.78 | -0.1% | $4.53B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $0.62 | $0.66 | -5.6% | $4.14B |
| Feb 5, 2025 | $0.66 | $9.73 | -93.2% | $4.10B |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $0.76 | $0.77 | -1.3% | $4.36B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 27.0× | 25.2× | 62th | Bottom 44% |
| P/E (forward) | 25.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.7× | — | — | Bottom 27% |
| EV / Sales | 4.29× | — | — | Bottom 8% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.06% | — | — | Bottom 32% |
| Earnings yield | 3.70% | — | — | Bottom 44% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 18.7× – 36.9× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -19.7%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +12.3%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -19.4%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -3.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -6.7%
- RSI (14)
- 42.9
- Relative volume
- 0.61×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 26.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 82th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.22
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.17
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -19.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -23.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2025 | Jul 15, 2026 | -23.3% | 210 days | Not yet recovered |
| Apr 20, 2022 | May 20, 2022 | -23.0% | 22 days | 106 days (Oct 21, 2022) |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Jun 3, 2024 | -18.1% | 49 days | 88 days (Oct 8, 2024) |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 29, 2021 | -14.1% | 12 days | 38 days (Mar 25, 2021) |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Jan 26, 2022 | -10.9% | 19 days | 50 days (Apr 7, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $70.36B
- P/E (TTM)
- 27.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $3.14
- Revenue (TTM)
- $18.57B
- 52-week range
- $82.59 – $105.39
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.33B | $14.41B | $15.81B | $16.71B | $17.78B |
| Gross profit | $7.02B | $7.38B | $8.10B | $8.55B | $9.17B |
| Operating income | $2.93B | $2.96B | $3.19B | $3.25B | $3.46B |
| Net income | $2.16B | $2.17B | $2.35B | $2.39B | $2.54B |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.18 | $2.34 | $2.69 | $2.71 | $2.97 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.36B | $4.10B | $4.14B | $4.53B | $4.71B | $4.41B | $4.56B | $4.89B |
| Net income | $665.5M | $551.1M | $538.5M | $668.6M | $725.9M | $605.2M | $604.2M | $715.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.76 | $0.63 | $0.62 | $0.78 | $0.85 | $0.71 | $0.72 | $0.86 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $3.21B | $3.15B | $3.03B | $3.05B | $2.76B |
| Capital expenditure | -$442.9M | -$563.3M | -$1.01B | -$1.02B | -$1.17B |
| Free cash flow | $2.76B | $2.58B | $2.03B | $2.03B | $1.59B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$2.39B | -$3.20B | -$3.06B | -$1.95B | -$2.02B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $262.2M
- Total assets
- $17.39B
- Total liabilities
- $19.22B
- Total debt
- $9.59B
- Net debt
- $9.33B
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$1.84B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 25,741,427
- Days to cover
- 4.67
- Change vs previous report
- -2.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 10, 2025
- 15-for-1
- Jun 16, 2005
- 2-for-1
- Dec 1, 1999
- 2-for-1
- Sep 2, 1997
- 2-for-1