Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. PAG
$204.03 +0.59% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $13.40B
Strong trendLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 15.0× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Net debt is 5.3× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 91 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth48Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 44%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 42%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 32%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 36%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 43%
Quality12Very weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 47%
- Gross marginBottom 13%
- Operating marginBottom 35%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 14%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 11%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 25%
- Interest coverTop 47%
Value49Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 27%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 41%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 48%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 25%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 7%
Momentum83Strong
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 23%
- 6-month returnTop 18%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 27%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 11%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 34%
Revisions11Very weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 26%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 48%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 32%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 13%
Stability86Strong
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 11%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 4%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 15%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 25%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 4.8% | 5.2% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -5.6% | -5.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 16.5% | 16.1% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 4.3% | 3.8% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 2.1% | 1.8% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 5.2% | 4.8% | ↑ | Top 44% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -5.4% | -5.6% | ↑ | Bottom 42% |
| Gross margin | 16.1% | 16.5% | ↓ | Bottom 13% |
| Operating margin | 3.8% | 4.3% | ↓ | Bottom 35% |
| Net margin | 2.8% | 3.2% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 1.8% | 2.1% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 5.6% | — | Bottom 47% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 4.6% | — | Top 36% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 0.96×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 0.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -3.4 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 5.34×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.6×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 2.72%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.67%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.40%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.2%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -1.3%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +2.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $208.75
- Target vs current price
- +2.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 27
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 41%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | +5.8% | +1.6% | -0.4% | -0.1% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +4.8% | +6.3% | +4.5% | +4.6% | +34.5% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | -8.8% | +5.4% | +2.3% | -8.5% | +4.4% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | -7.2% | -1.4% | -3.9% | +0.1% | -1.7% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | — | +0.4% | +6.8% | +12.9% | -0.6% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | +3.4% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +3.5% | +11.1% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | +5.0% | +6.8% | +2.0% | -9.5% | -3.3% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -3.4% | -1.7% | -2.5% | +9.5% | +5.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | $3.62 | $3.42 | +5.8% | $8.51B |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $3.05 | $2.91 | +4.8% | $7.86B |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $2.91 | $3.19 | -8.8% | $7.77B |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $3.23 | $3.48 | -7.2% | $7.70B |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $3.78 | — | — | $7.66B |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $3.39 | $3.28 | +3.4% | $7.60B |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $3.54 | $3.37 | +5.0% | $7.72B |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $3.36 | $3.48 | -3.4% | $7.59B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 15.0× | 9.6× | 95th | Top 27% |
| P/E (forward) | 15.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.1× | — | — | Bottom 48% |
| EV / Sales | 0.69× | — | — | Top 25% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.42% | — | — | Bottom 41% |
| Earnings yield | 6.66% | — | — | Top 27% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 5.9× – 16.3× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +15.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -5.4%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +39.4%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 91
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +3.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -5.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +14.3%
- RSI (14)
- 36.0
- Relative volume
- 1.12×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 26.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 24th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.60
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.34
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -8.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -25.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2025 | Mar 20, 2026 | -25.3% | 141 days | 75 days (Jul 9, 2026) |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Oct 20, 2022 | -22.6% | 46 days | 17 days (Nov 14, 2022) |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Apr 8, 2025 | -21.9% | 432 days | 58 days (Jul 2, 2025) |
| May 17, 2021 | Jun 18, 2021 | -21.5% | 23 days | 62 days (Sep 16, 2021) |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Feb 23, 2022 | -19.1% | 83 days | 49 days (May 4, 2022) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $13.40B
- P/E (TTM)
- 15.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $13.58
- Revenue (TTM)
- $32.92B
- Dividend yield
- 2.76%
- 52-week range
- $140.12 – $227.00
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $25.55B | $27.81B | $30.92B | $31.86B | $31.81B |
| Gross profit | $4.44B | $4.84B | $5.15B | $5.22B | $5.22B |
| Operating income | $1.36B | $1.49B | $1.45B | $1.37B | $1.28B |
| Net income | $1.19B | $1.38B | $1.11B | $968.9M | $935.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $14.89 | $18.55 | $15.50 | $14.49 | $14.13 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.59B | $7.72B | $7.95B | $8.03B | $7.70B | $8.85B | $7.86B | $8.51B |
| Net income | $226.1M | $236.4M | $257.7M | $266.6M | $213.0M | $228.1M | $234.5M | $260.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.39 | $3.53 | $3.66 | $3.78 | $3.23 | $2.83 | $3.56 | $3.96 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.29B | $1.46B | $1.09B | $1.18B | $975.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$248.9M | -$282.5M | -$375.3M | -$368.7M | -$324.6M |
| Free cash flow | $1.04B | $1.18B | $718.3M | $811.1M | $650.5M |
| Dividends paid | -$142.5M | -$154.1M | -$189.1M | -$274.4M | -$343.8M |
| Net share buybacks | -$280.6M | -$869.3M | -$358.7M | -$58.7M | -$159.1M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $69.5M
- Total assets
- $18.49B
- Total liabilities
- $12.65B
- Total debt
- $9.25B
- Net debt
- $9.18B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $5.83B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | $1.44 | Sep 1, 2026 |
| May 26, 2026 | $1.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.40 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | $1.38 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | $1.32 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| May 27, 2025 | $1.26 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $1.22 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | $1.19 | Dec 3, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,050,819
- Days to cover
- 7.03
- Change vs previous report
- +4.4%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 2, 2006
- 2-for-1