Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Portillo's Inc. PTLO
$3.51 -0.57% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $254.1M
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.19, down 58.5% year over year.
- The shares trade at 18.8× trailing earnings, lower than 88% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Net debt is 10.2× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 45%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 18%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 25%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 41%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 31%
- Gross marginBottom 29%
- Operating marginBottom 47%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 34%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 9%
- Interest coverBottom 31%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 41%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 14%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 42%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 50%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 20%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 19%
- 6-month returnBottom 6%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 11%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 19%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 12%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 33%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 12%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 16%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 39%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 13%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 24%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 9%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 2.4% | 2.9% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -49.6% | -58.5% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 40.3% | 24.1% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 7.9% | 5.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -0.3% | -1.1% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 2.9% | 2.4% | ↑ | Bottom 45% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -58.5% | -49.6% | ↓ | Bottom 18% |
| Gross margin | 24.1% | 40.3% | ↓ | Bottom 29% |
| Operating margin | 5.5% | 7.9% | ↓ | Bottom 47% |
| Net margin | 1.9% | 4.2% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -1.1% | -0.3% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 2.7% | — | Bottom 31% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 7.6% | — | Top 25% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -39.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 10.24×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.24%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.24%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +4.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +7.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -45.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -5.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $6.08
- Target vs current price
- +73.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 12
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 25%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +9.6% | +3.1% | -0.4% | -2.6% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | -200.0% | -16.3% | -28.0% | -29.7% | -19.2% |
| Feb 24, 2026 | +60.0% | -7.9% | -9.7% | -6.7% | -31.3% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | -50.0% | -7.3% | -9.7% | -5.5% | +7.8% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | +0.0% | -23.3% | -17.3% | -27.3% | -41.1% |
| May 6, 2025 | +25.0% | +0.7% | +16.9% | +14.9% | -4.2% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | +142.9% | +9.8% | +2.9% | -6.0% | -11.2% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | +100.0% | -1.2% | -9.2% | -19.8% | +0.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.09 | $0.08 | +9.6% | $199.0M |
| May 5, 2026 | -$0.01 | $0.01 | -200.0% | $182.6M |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.08 | $0.05 | +60.0% | $185.7M |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.02 | $0.04 | -50.0% | $181.4M |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.12 | $0.12 | +0.0% | $188.5M |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.05 | $0.04 | +25.0% | $176.4M |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $0.17 | $0.07 | +142.9% | $184.6M |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.12 | $0.06 | +100.0% | $178.3M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 18.8× | 32.5× | 12th | Top 41% |
| P/E (forward) | 19.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 14.1× | — | — | Bottom 42% |
| EV / Sales | 1.23× | — | — | Top 50% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -3.11% | — | — | Bottom 14% |
| Earnings yield | 5.32% | — | — | Top 41% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 13.6× – 190.9× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -45.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -58.5%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +54.5%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -7.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -18.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -27.9%
- RSI (14)
- 27.2
- Relative volume
- 1.15×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 47.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 39th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.70
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.18
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -48.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -79.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2021 | Sep 25, 2026 | -93.5% | 1217 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 4, 2021 | Nov 10, 2021 | -14.1% | 4 days | 4 days (Nov 16, 2021) |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Oct 28, 2021 | -11.2% | 3 days | 3 days (Nov 2, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $254.1M
- P/E (TTM)
- 18.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.19
- Revenue (TTM)
- $748.8M
- 52-week range
- $3.29 – $6.83
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $535.0M | $587.1M | $679.9M | $710.6M | $732.1M |
| Gross profit | $229.4M | $228.5M | $275.2M | $287.8M | $288.7M |
| Operating income | $30.0M | $41.3M | $55.4M | $58.0M | $51.2M |
| Net income | $6.0M | $10.9M | $18.4M | $29.5M | $19.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.42 | $0.25 | $0.32 | $0.46 | $0.27 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $178.3M | $184.6M | $176.4M | $188.5M | $181.4M | $185.7M | $182.6M | $199.0M |
| Net income | $7.2M | $11.3M | $3.3M | $8.7M | $1.2M | $6.1M | -$402,000 | $6.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.11 | $0.17 | $0.05 | $0.12 | $0.02 | $0.09 | -$0.01 | $0.09 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $42.9M | $56.9M | $70.8M | $98.0M | $71.9M |
| Capital expenditure | -$36.2M | -$47.1M | -$87.9M | -$88.2M | -$90.4M |
| Free cash flow | $6.7M | $9.8M | -$17.1M | $9.8M | -$18.5M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $380.2M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3.2M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $21.3M
- Total assets
- $1.62B
- Total liabilities
- $1.11B
- Total debt
- $691.4M
- Net debt
- $670.1M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $480.1M
As of Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 10,507,241
- Days to cover
- 8.21
- Change vs previous report
- +7.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.