Stocks · Communication Services · Advertising Agencies
Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock PTRN
$17.33 -0.40% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $2.69B
Strong growthHigh quality
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-0.80, down 321.0% year over year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $3.01B, up 43.9% from a year earlier.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 4 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +37.8%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Communication Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 6%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 14%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 7%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 25%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 37%
- Gross marginBottom 35%
- Operating marginBottom 33%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 13%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 2%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 32%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 40%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 28%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 17%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 17%
- 6-month returnTop 15%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 25%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 36%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 32%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 26%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 19%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 5%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 25%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 40%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 35%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 8%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 2%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 42.0% | 43.9% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -357.2% | -321.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 42.8% | 43.4% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 4.8% | 1.4% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 43.9% | 42.0% | ↑ | Top 6% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -321.0% | -357.2% | ↑ | Bottom 14% |
| Gross margin | 43.4% | 42.8% | ↑ | Bottom 35% |
| Operating margin | 1.4% | 4.8% | ↓ | Bottom 33% |
| Net margin | -4.6% | 3.8% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.5% | — | — | |
| Return on invested capital | 5.8% | — | Top 37% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 36.2% | — | Top 7% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -25.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +30.3 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -8.81×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -4.88%
- Shareholder yield
- -4.88%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +2.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 4
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +37.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +2.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 4
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $29.00
- Target vs current price
- +67.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 8
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 88%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +26.5% | -0.2% | -5.5% | -15.4% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +60.0% | +1.7% | +18.0% | +41.9% | +64.3% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | +45.5% | +1.4% | +8.2% | +6.6% | +63.7% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | +19.2% | +7.3% | +9.5% | -8.7% | -17.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.15 | $0.12 | +26.5% | $876.8M |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.16 | $0.10 | +60.0% | $773.7M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $0.16 | $0.11 | +45.5% | $723.1M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -$2.19 | -$2.71 | +19.2% | $639.7M |
| Aug 22, 2025 | $0.21 | — | — | $598.1M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 28.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 71.6× | — | — | Bottom 28% |
| EV / Sales | 0.79× | — | — | Top 17% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.95% | — | — | Bottom 40% |
| Earnings yield | -4.62% | — | — | Bottom 32% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 43.2× – 54.9× since Sep 30, 2024. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 3
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -13.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.9%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -16.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +1.7%
- RSI (14)
- 33.5
- Relative volume
- 0.64×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 50.7%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.83
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.33
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -41.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -47.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | Feb 24, 2026 | -47.9% | 70 days | 63 days (May 26, 2026) |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Sep 28, 2026 | -43.0% | 56 days | Not yet recovered |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Sep 25, 2025 | -17.9% | 4 days | 20 days (Oct 23, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $2.69B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.80
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.01B
- 52-week range
- $8.92 – $29.80
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $990.5M | $1.37B | $1.80B | $2.50B |
| Gross profit | $428.9M | $601.2M | $781.3M | $1.07B |
| Operating income | $4.1M | $52.8M | $87.2M | $25.4M |
| Net income | -$3.0M | $41.3M | $67.9M | $16.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.12 | $0.12 | -$1.23 | -$0.89 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $439.4M | $515.5M | $540.4M | $598.1M | $639.7M | $723.1M | $773.7M | $876.8M |
| Net income | $14.2M | $18.2M | $22.8M | $23.8M | -$223.0M | $28.7M | $29.2M | $27.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.08 | $0.10 | $0.09 | $0.09 | -$1.27 | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.15 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $14.2M | $41.5M | $70.3M | $99.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$16.2M | -$14.5M | -$20.4M | -$20.5M |
| Free cash flow | -$2.0M | $27.0M | $49.9M | $78.9M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | -$2.9M | $135.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $345.8M
- Total assets
- $1.07B
- Total liabilities
- $427.0M
- Total debt
- $51.3M
- Net debt
- -$294.5M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $645.6M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 6,616,252
- Days to cover
- 5.61
- Change vs previous report
- +5.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.