Stocks · Real Estate · REIT - Diversified
Rithm Capital Corp. RITM
$8.71 -0.46% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $4.86B
Expensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to 25.6% from 52.1% a year earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.60, down 53.8% year over year.
- The shares trade at 14.5× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth66Positive
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 48%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 22%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 3%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 42%
Quality14Very weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 29%
- Gross marginTop 14%
- Operating marginTop 49%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 4%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 6%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 8%
- Interest coverBottom 29%
Value18Very weak
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 18%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 6%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 17%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 37%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 1%
Momentum24Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 28%
- 6-month returnBottom 33%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 27%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 31%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Revisions93Exceptional
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 39%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 48%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 3%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 18%
Stability32Weak
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 45%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 38%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 34%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 8%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.7% | 7.3% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -9.1% | -53.8% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 93.3% | 79.7% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 52.1% | 25.6% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -2.4% | -30.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 7.3% | 6.7% | ↑ | Top 48% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -53.8% | -9.1% | ↓ | Bottom 22% |
| Gross margin | 79.7% | 93.3% | ↓ | Top 14% |
| Operating margin | 25.6% | 52.1% | ↓ | Top 49% |
| Net margin | 8.3% | 14.9% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -30.6% | -2.4% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 1.9% | — | Bottom 29% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 50.5% | — | Top 3% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- -2.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 4.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 7.3%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -88.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 30.46×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 0.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 13.86%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -10.95%
- Shareholder yield
- 2.90%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +5.8%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +5.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +12.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $13.00
- Target vs current price
- +49.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 19
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 95%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +20.7% | +6.0% | +9.0% | +11.1% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | -3.8% | -2.7% | -4.7% | -8.4% | -11.3% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | +34.5% | +1.4% | -1.4% | -7.9% | -10.6% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | +0.0% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +5.4% | +10.3% |
| Jul 28, 2025 | +5.9% | +0.3% | -1.1% | +3.0% | -10.5% |
| Apr 25, 2025 | +15.6% | +1.3% | +7.5% | +7.4% | +17.2% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | +36.4% | +3.7% | +3.7% | +2.0% | -1.8% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | +25.6% | +2.2% | -0.6% | +6.5% | +8.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.60 | $0.50 | +20.7% | $1.28B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.51 | $0.53 | -3.8% | $1.38B |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.74 | $0.55 | +34.5% | $1.29B |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $0.54 | $0.54 | +0.0% | $1.33B |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $0.54 | $0.51 | +5.9% | $419.8M |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $0.52 | $0.45 | +15.6% | $493.0M |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.60 | $0.44 | +36.4% | $1.09B |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.54 | $0.43 | +25.6% | -$254.2M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 14.5× | 7.7× | 95th | Top 18% |
| P/E (forward) | 3.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 34.3× | — | — | Bottom 17% |
| EV / Sales | 7.67× | — | — | Top 37% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -35.57% | — | — | Bottom 6% |
| Earnings yield | 6.89% | — | — | Top 18% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 3.8× – 17.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -22.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -53.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +84.1%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -11.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -12.4%
- RSI (14)
- 25.6
- Relative volume
- 1.02×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 24.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 57th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.70
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.47
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -27.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -31.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2022 | Oct 10, 2022 | -39.2% | 109 days | 474 days (Aug 29, 2024) |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Oct 2, 2026 | -31.0% | 270 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Apr 10, 2025 | -21.2% | 29 days | 69 days (Jul 22, 2025) |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Jul 19, 2021 | -17.8% | 85 days | 62 days (Oct 14, 2021) |
| Oct 23, 2020 | Oct 28, 2020 | -15.2% | 3 days | 17 days (Nov 20, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $4.86B
- P/E (TTM)
- 14.5
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.60
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.66B
- Dividend yield
- 11.48%
- 52-week range
- $8.43 – $12.15
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.90B | $1.67B | $3.76B | $4.74B | $5.69B |
| Gross profit | $2.55B | $1.03B | $3.58B | $4.47B | $5.14B |
| Operating income | $1.41B | $2.04B | $2.15B | $3.10B | $2.53B |
| Net income | $772.2M | $954.5M | $622.3M | $931.5M | $681.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.51 | $1.80 | $1.10 | $1.67 | $1.04 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.63B | $1.09B | $1.32B | $1.23B | $1.33B | $1.66B | $1.38B | $1.28B |
| Net income | $121.7M | $290.2M | $63.2M | $311.7M | $221.5M | $85.0M | $109.5M | $56.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.20 | $0.50 | $0.07 | $0.53 | $0.35 | $0.09 | $0.12 | $0.04 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $2.88B | $5.75B | $693.6M | -$2.19B | -$762.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$23.0M | -$542,000 | -$693.6M | -$131.2M | $0 |
| Free cash flow | $2.86B | $5.75B | $693.6M | -$2.32B | -$762.6M |
| Dividends paid | -$375.9M | -$558.3M | -$570.9M | -$588.1M | -$643.2M |
| Net share buybacks | $962.9M | -$5.2M | $0 | $410.0M | $761.6M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $6.55B
- Total assets
- $54.11B
- Total liabilities
- $44.66B
- Total debt
- $40.23B
- Net debt
- $38.56B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $8.52B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | $0.25 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | $0.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | $0.25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $0.25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | $0.25 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $0.25 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | $0.25 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | $0.25 | Jan 31, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 28,847,094
- Days to cover
- 5.52
- Change vs previous report
- -4.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Oct 20, 2014
- 1-for-2