Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
Rivian Automotive, Inc. RIVN
$14.30 -3.12% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $17.36B
Strong growthExpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to -60.1% from -69.9% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 11.4% in a year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 16%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 12%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 3%
- Gross marginBottom 3%
- Operating marginBottom 3%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 23%
- Interest coverBottom 7%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 13%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 5%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 5%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 14%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 40%
- 6-month returnBottom 38%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 44%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 34%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 36%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 28%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 45%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 30%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 44%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 32%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 49%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.4% | 14.2% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | -4.3% | 7.5% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -69.9% | -60.1% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -23.7% | -59.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 14.2% | 10.4% | ↑ | Top 16% |
| Gross margin | 7.5% | -4.3% | ↑ | Bottom 3% |
| Operating margin | -60.1% | -69.9% | ↑ | Bottom 3% |
| Net margin | -55.0% | -68.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -59.3% | -23.7% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -30.4% | — | Bottom 3% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 48.1% | — | Top 1% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -9.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 13.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +31.5 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -13.3×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.37%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.37%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +11.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +11.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +17.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $16.89
- Target vs current price
- +18.1%
- Analysts with a rating
- 29
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 48%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | +29.1% | +3.1% | -4.7% | +0.0% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +13.0% | +2.1% | -9.8% | -5.4% | +2.6% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | +23.8% | -5.1% | +5.6% | +3.7% | -3.7% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | +5.3% | -5.2% | +24.4% | +30.6% | +11.8% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | -23.7% | -2.1% | -3.9% | +11.8% | +8.8% |
| May 6, 2025 | +46.8% | -0.4% | +8.0% | +6.1% | -5.0% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | +24.6% | -2.3% | -18.2% | -18.4% | +9.8% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -7.7% | +3.5% | +23.9% | +27.1% | +31.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | -$0.47 | -$0.66 | +29.1% | $1.66B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | -$0.55 | -$0.63 | +13.0% | $1.38B |
| Feb 12, 2026 | -$0.54 | -$0.71 | +23.8% | $1.29B |
| Nov 4, 2025 | -$0.70 | -$0.74 | +5.3% | $1.56B |
| Aug 5, 2025 | -$0.80 | -$0.65 | -23.7% | $1.30B |
| May 6, 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.77 | +46.8% | $1.24B |
| Feb 20, 2025 | -$0.52 | -$0.69 | +24.6% | $1.73B |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -$1.03 | -$0.96 | -7.7% | $874.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 3.25× | — | — | Bottom 14% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -20.10% | — | — | Bottom 5% |
| Earnings yield | -18.04% | — | — | Bottom 13% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -9.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -11.5%
- RSI (14)
- 35.9
- Relative volume
- 2.75×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 45.2%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 7th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.03
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.28
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -36.3%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -65.5%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Apr 15, 2024 | -95.1% | 604 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $17.36B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$2.58
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.88B
- 52-week range
- $12.39 – $22.69
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $55.0M | $1.66B | $4.43B | $4.97B | $5.39B |
| Gross profit | -$465.0M | -$3.12B | -$2.03B | -$1.20B | $144.0M |
| Operating income | -$4.22B | -$6.86B | -$5.74B | -$4.69B | -$3.58B |
| Net income | -$4.69B | -$6.75B | -$5.43B | -$4.75B | -$3.65B |
| EPS (diluted) | -$22.98 | -$7.40 | -$5.74 | -$4.69 | -$3.07 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $874.0M | $1.73B | $1.24B | $1.30B | $1.56B | $1.29B | $1.38B | $1.66B |
| Net income | -$1.10B | -$743.0M | -$545.0M | -$1.12B | -$1.17B | -$811.0M | -$416.0M | -$833.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.08 | -$0.70 | -$0.48 | -$0.97 | -$0.96 | -$0.66 | -$0.33 | -$0.63 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$2.62B | -$5.05B | -$4.87B | -$1.72B | -$779.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.79B | -$1.37B | -$1.03B | -$1.14B | -$1.71B |
| Free cash flow | -$4.42B | -$6.42B | -$5.89B | -$2.86B | -$2.49B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $16.19B | $102.0M | $61.0M | $64.0M | $923.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $5.31B
- Total assets
- $15.14B
- Total liabilities
- $10.01B
- Total debt
- $5.35B
- Net debt
- $1.76B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $5.13B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 154,207,256
- Days to cover
- 9.13
- Change vs previous report
- -3.5%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.