Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. RRR
$50.31 +2.82% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $2.94B
High quality
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count fell 42.8% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- Net debt is 4.5× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 5 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +59.9%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth60Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 35%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 29%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 18%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 28%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 15%
Quality94Exceptional
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 24%
- Gross marginTop 13%
- Operating marginTop 3%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 18%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 31%
- Interest coverBottom 39%
Value71Positive
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 37%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 8%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 21%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 15%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 43%
Momentum36Weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 45%
- 6-month returnBottom 36%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 38%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 49%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Revisions97Exceptional
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 17%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 23%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 15%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 35%
Stability68Positive
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 19%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 25%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 36%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 31%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.7% | 0.9% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 34.2% | 26.9% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 61.9% | 56.7% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 29.9% | 27.7% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 13.2% | 26.8% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 0.9% | 3.7% | ↓ | Bottom 35% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 26.9% | 34.2% | ↓ | Top 29% |
| Gross margin | 56.7% | 61.9% | ↓ | Top 13% |
| Operating margin | 27.7% | 29.9% | ↓ | Top 3% |
| Net margin | 8.4% | 8.9% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 26.8% | 13.2% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 12.2% | — | Top 24% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 6.5% | — | Top 28% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.4%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.3%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -3.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 4.47×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 2.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.10%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.11%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -42.8%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -17.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +59.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $71.40
- Target vs current price
- +41.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 30
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 73%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +32.4% | -2.0% | -6.6% | -14.4% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +35.2% | +1.0% | -4.7% | +3.6% | +15.1% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | +82.9% | +2.0% | -3.6% | -11.2% | -19.2% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +88.9% | +1.4% | -7.5% | -5.2% | +4.8% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | +137.5% | +0.5% | +8.2% | +13.2% | +9.9% |
| May 1, 2025 | -21.3% | -1.0% | +3.0% | +14.4% | +28.1% |
| Feb 11, 2025 | +81.0% | +1.0% | +5.0% | -14.4% | -12.7% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +29.7% | -1.7% | -9.4% | -11.0% | -13.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.67 | $0.51 | +32.4% | $510.3M |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.73 | $0.54 | +35.2% | $507.3M |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $0.75 | $0.41 | +82.9% | $511.8M |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.68 | $0.36 | +88.9% | $475.6M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $0.95 | $0.40 | +137.5% | $526.3M |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.43 | $0.55 | -21.3% | $497.9M |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $0.76 | $0.42 | +81.0% | $495.7M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.48 | $0.37 | +29.7% | $468.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 17.8× | 19.8× | 43th | Top 37% |
| P/E (forward) | 18.6× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.2× | — | — | Top 21% |
| EV / Sales | 3.21× | — | — | Bottom 15% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 18.28% | — | — | Top 8% |
| Earnings yield | 5.63% | — | — | Top 37% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.6× – 35.7× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -17.2%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +26.9%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -13.8%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -8.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.9%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -13.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -15.2%
- RSI (14)
- 37.6
- Relative volume
- 1.35×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 30.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 17th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.86
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.39
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -25.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -39.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | Jul 11, 2022 | -45.0% | 177 days | 398 days (Feb 8, 2024) |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -39.8% | 254 days | 96 days (Aug 26, 2025) |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Sep 22, 2026 | -27.5% | 60 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 10, 2026 | May 13, 2026 | -23.6% | 64 days | 30 days (Jun 26, 2026) |
| Jun 1, 2021 | Jul 19, 2021 | -17.1% | 33 days | 29 days (Aug 27, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $2.94B
- P/E (TTM)
- 17.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.83
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.00B
- Dividend yield
- 4.05%
- 52-week range
- $47.50 – $68.99
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.62B | $1.66B | $1.72B | $1.94B | $2.01B |
| Gross profit | $1.07B | $1.08B | $1.10B | $1.19B | $1.06B |
| Operating income | $401.5M | $561.3M | $558.7M | $568.7M | $597.4M |
| Net income | $241.8M | $205.5M | $176.0M | $154.1M | $188.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.84 | $3.36 | $2.94 | $2.53 | $3.12 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $468.0M | $495.7M | $497.9M | $526.3M | $475.6M | $511.8M | $507.3M | $510.3M |
| Net income | $29.0M | $46.6M | $44.7M | $56.4M | $42.3M | $44.7M | $42.9M | $39.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.48 | $0.45 | $0.75 | $0.55 | $0.68 | $0.75 | $0.73 | $0.67 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $610.0M | $542.2M | $494.3M | $548.3M | $609.5M |
| Capital expenditure | -$65.9M | -$561.3M | -$701.6M | -$298.8M | -$320.6M |
| Free cash flow | $544.0M | -$19.1M | -$207.3M | $249.4M | $288.9M |
| Dividends paid | -$203.8M | -$116.7M | -$58.6M | -$59.2M | -$120.8M |
| Net share buybacks | -$500.2M | -$141.5M | -$14.7M | -$17.8M | -$79.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $136.5M
- Total assets
- $4.37B
- Total liabilities
- $4.07B
- Total debt
- $3.63B
- Net debt
- $3.49B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $171.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | $0.26 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | $0.26 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $0.26 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | $1.00 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | $0.26 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | $0.25 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | $0.25 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| May 14, 2025 | $1.00 | May 21, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 4,774,076
- Days to cover
- 5.05
- Change vs previous report
- +36.5%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.