Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. SDHC
$10.08 -0.59% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $84.1M
Weak trendInexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.72, down 55.7% year over year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- The stock is 55% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 26%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 19%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 21%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 10%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 21%
- Gross marginBottom 19%
- Operating marginBottom 41%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 27%
- Interest coverTop 23%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 23%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 2%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 1%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 1%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 46%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 10%
- 6-month returnBottom 16%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 12%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 12%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 9%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 1%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 29%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 46%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 19%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 42%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 27%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -5.8% | -1.2% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -33.6% | -55.7% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 24.9% | 19.5% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 10.6% | 4.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -3.9% | 3.4% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -1.2% | -5.8% | ↑ | Bottom 26% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -55.7% | -33.6% | ↓ | Bottom 19% |
| Gross margin | 19.5% | 24.9% | ↓ | Bottom 19% |
| Operating margin | 4.5% | 10.6% | ↓ | Bottom 41% |
| Net margin | 0.6% | 1.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.4% | -3.9% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 13.2% | — | Top 21% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 8.7% | — | Top 21% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -5.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.3%
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 1.14×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 13.9×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 49.60%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 12.02%
- Shareholder yield
- 61.62%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -43.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -91.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -4.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 2 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $15.00
- Target vs current price
- +48.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 5
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 0%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -73.2% | -9.6% | -8.1% | -28.6% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | +20.0% | -3.1% | -5.3% | -10.0% | +10.9% |
| Mar 11, 2026 | -166.7% | -11.5% | -2.5% | +6.7% | -3.3% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -145.9% | +2.9% | +2.3% | +23.4% | +3.0% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -152.0% | -3.7% | -6.8% | -6.0% | -12.5% |
| May 14, 2025 | -150.0% | -2.8% | -18.1% | -7.3% | -11.5% |
| Mar 12, 2025 | +0.0% | -2.0% | -7.7% | -15.8% | -6.0% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | +20.8% | -7.2% | -16.9% | -7.8% | -34.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.03 | $0.11 | -73.2% | $273.0M |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $0.06 | $0.05 | +20.0% | $206.4M |
| Mar 11, 2026 | -$0.08 | $0.12 | -166.7% | $260.4M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -$0.12 | $0.26 | -145.9% | $262.0M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | -$0.13 | $0.25 | -152.0% | $223.9M |
| May 14, 2025 | -$0.15 | $0.30 | -150.0% | $224.7M |
| Mar 12, 2025 | $0.46 | $0.46 | +0.0% | $287.5M |
| Nov 12, 2024 | $0.58 | $0.48 | +20.8% | $73.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 14.1× | 14.1× | 47th | Top 23% |
| P/E (forward) | 36.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 2.9× | — | — | Top 1% |
| EV / Sales | 0.14× | — | — | Top 1% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 40.23% | — | — | Top 2% |
| Earnings yield | 7.12% | — | — | Top 23% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 7.3× – 25.5× since Dec 31, 2022. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -44.0%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -55.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +63.9%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -13.5%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.9%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -18.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -30.3%
- RSI (14)
- 31.9
- Relative volume
- 1.06×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 44.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 8th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.11
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.34
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -54.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -74.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2024 | Sep 21, 2026 | -74.4% | 501 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Jul 3, 2024 | -34.7% | 84 days | 17 days (Jul 29, 2024) |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Sep 9, 2024 | -10.5% | 9 days | 6 days (Sep 17, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $84.1M
- P/E (TTM)
- 14.1
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.72
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.00B
- 52-week range
- $9.75 – $23.49
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $518.9M | $755.4M | $764.6M | $975.5M | $971.1M |
| Gross profit | $122.9M | $222.8M | $216.3M | $255.5M | $212.2M |
| Operating income | $58.7M | $139.7M | $123.9M | $119.2M | $72.4M |
| Net income | $62.5M | $140.4M | $123.2M | $16.1M | $10.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.43 | $3.22 | $2.40 | $1.81 | $1.16 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $277.8M | $287.5M | $224.7M | $223.9M | $262.0M | $260.4M | $206.4M | $273.0M |
| Net income | $5.3M | $4.1M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.1M | $3.5M | $565,000 | $246,000 |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.60 | $0.46 | $0.30 | $0.26 | $0.24 | $0.39 | $0.06 | $0.03 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $30.9M | $132.1M | $76.3M | $19.1M | -$31.3M |
| Capital expenditure | -$730,000 | -$1.0M | -$1.3M | -$3.9M | -$5.5M |
| Free cash flow | $30.1M | $131.1M | $74.9M | $15.2M | -$36.9M |
| Dividends paid | -$41.0M | -$71.4M | -$78.8M | -$40.0M | -$28.4M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | $0 | $170.2M | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $14.2M
- Total assets
- $592.1M
- Total liabilities
- $159.1M
- Total debt
- $68.7M
- Net debt
- $54.5M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $79.5M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 971,821
- Days to cover
- 16.72
- Change vs previous report
- -2.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.