Stocks · Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
STAG Industrial, Inc. STAG
$36.05 +0.92% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $6.95B
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Net debt is 4.8× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 4 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +35.6%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Real Estate sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 41%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 42%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 33%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 35%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 37%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 44%
- Gross marginTop 36%
- Operating marginTop 32%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 44%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 35%
- Interest coverTop 28%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 44%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 41%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 41%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 29%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 36%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 41%
- 6-month returnTop 49%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 35%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 26%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 27%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 12%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 50%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 26%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 32%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 23%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 32%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 35%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.0% | 9.6% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -3.0% | 2.4% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 79.8% | 62.0% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 36.8% | 37.6% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 47.9% | 50.5% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 9.6% | 10.0% | ↓ | Top 41% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 2.4% | -3.0% | ↑ | Bottom 42% |
| Gross margin | 62.0% | 79.8% | ↓ | Top 36% |
| Operating margin | 37.6% | 36.8% | ↑ | Top 32% |
| Net margin | 28.0% | 29.2% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 50.5% | 47.9% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 4.6% | — | Top 44% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 8.7% | — | Top 35% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.93×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -3.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +6.3 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 4.80×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 2.3×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 3.48%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -3.12%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.36%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +2.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +2.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 28, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +35.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $41.80
- Target vs current price
- +16.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 21
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 48%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +3.6% | +0.2% | -5.1% | -8.8% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +41.2% | +0.2% | -4.4% | -2.4% | +2.6% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | +96.1% | -0.5% | -3.1% | -2.8% | -1.9% |
| Oct 29, 2025 | +1.4% | -1.3% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -3.6% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | -57.1% | +2.9% | +0.3% | +4.7% | +10.9% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | -18.3% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +6.3% | +8.3% |
| Feb 12, 2025 | +55.6% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +2.7% | -3.8% |
| Oct 29, 2024 | +37.8% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -0.9% | -7.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.28 | $0.27 | +3.6% | $223.5M |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.32 | $0.23 | +41.2% | $223.8M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.44 | $0.22 | +96.1% | $220.2M |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $0.26 | $0.26 | +1.4% | $210.0M |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $0.27 | $0.63 | -57.1% | $207.4M |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.49 | $0.60 | -18.3% | $205.4M |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $0.28 | $0.18 | +55.6% | $198.7M |
| Oct 29, 2024 | $0.23 | $0.17 | +37.8% | $190.3M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 27.7× | 31.8× | 19th | Top 44% |
| P/E (forward) | 32.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 14.6× | — | — | Top 41% |
| EV / Sales | 11.77× | — | — | Bottom 29% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.39% | — | — | Top 41% |
| Earnings yield | 3.61% | — | — | Top 44% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 24.7× – 52.5× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +0.8%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +2.4%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +11.2%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -3.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -5.1%
- RSI (14)
- 38.1
- Relative volume
- 1.07×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 20.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 38th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.44
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.31
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -14.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -26.6%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | Oct 10, 2022 | -44.0% | 194 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 12, 2020 | Dec 7, 2020 | -11.7% | 39 days | 65 days (Mar 12, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $6.95B
- P/E (TTM)
- 27.7
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.30
- Revenue (TTM)
- $880.6M
- Dividend yield
- 4.26%
- 52-week range
- $35.20 – $42.61
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $562.2M | $657.3M | $707.8M | $767.4M | $845.2M |
| Gross profit | $454.2M | $531.6M | $568.2M | $612.6M | $518.4M |
| Operating income | $166.8M | $209.6M | $242.3M | $270.3M | $318.3M |
| Net income | $192.3M | $178.3M | $192.8M | $189.2M | $273.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.15 | $1.00 | $1.07 | $1.04 | $1.46 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $190.7M | $199.3M | $205.6M | $207.6M | $211.1M | $220.9M | $224.2M | $224.4M |
| Net income | $41.9M | $51.0M | $91.4M | $50.0M | $48.6M | $83.5M | $62.0M | $52.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.23 | $0.28 | $0.49 | $0.27 | $0.26 | $0.44 | $0.32 | $0.28 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $336.2M | $387.9M | $391.1M | $460.3M | $463.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$160.4M | -$52.7M | -$18.5M | -$85.2M | -$61.6M |
| Free cash flow | $175.8M | $335.2M | $372.6M | $375.1M | $401.8M |
| Dividends paid | -$245.7M | -$266.8M | -$267.6M | -$274.9M | -$284.0M |
| Net share buybacks | $707.0M | $54.8M | $69.5M | $167.3M | $156.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $65.9M
- Total assets
- $7.48B
- Total liabilities
- $3.77B
- Total debt
- $3.48B
- Net debt
- $3.41B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.63B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 28, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $0.39 | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $0.39 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $0.39 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $0.12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | $0.12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $0.12 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $0.12 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | $0.12 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 7,696,179
- Days to cover
- 5.41
- Change vs previous report
- +19.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.