Stocks · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
StubHub Holdings, Inc. STUB
$5.41 -3.22% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $1.90B
Strong growthWeak trendHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 12, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin narrowed to -65.6% from 10.9% a year earlier.
- Over the past year the stock returned -68.4%, behind the S&P 500 by 83.5 percentage points.
- The stock is 73% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Communication Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 44%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 7%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 21%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 10%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 3%
- Gross marginTop 13%
- Operating marginBottom 3%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 4%
- Interest coverBottom 6%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 8%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 6%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 1%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 19%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 9%
- 6-month returnBottom 28%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 7%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 7%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 22%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 18%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 45%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 13%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 27%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 20%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -0.8% | 7.9% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 80.1% | 80.5% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 10.9% | -65.6% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 9.0% | 32.7% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 7.9% | -0.8% | ↑ | Top 44% |
| Gross margin | 80.5% | 80.1% | ↑ | Top 13% |
| Operating margin | -65.6% | 10.9% | ↓ | Bottom 3% |
| Net margin | -91.3% | -3.1% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 32.7% | 9.0% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -33.0% | — | Bottom 3% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 19.0% | — | Top 21% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -43.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 72.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -31.7 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -15.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -49.37%
- Shareholder yield
- -49.37%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +3.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +1.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 13, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 1 of 4
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +44.4%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 4
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $10.75
- Target vs current price
- +98.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 10
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 50%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | -63.9% | +4.3% | -12.9% | -26.6% | — |
| May 13, 2026 | +375.4% | +2.7% | +30.3% | +38.8% | +22.3% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | -100.0% | +0.0% | -22.0% | -38.6% | -3.6% |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -34.1% | -1.2% | -42.8% | -23.7% | -45.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | $0.04 | $0.11 | -63.9% | $573.1M |
| May 13, 2026 | $0.06 | $0.01 | +375.4% | $446.0M |
| Mar 4, 2026 | -$0.06 | -$0.03 | -100.0% | $449.2M |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -$3.85 | -$2.87 | -34.1% | $468.1M |
| Aug 26, 2025 | -$0.21 | — | — | $430.3M |
| Mar 31, 2025 | -$0.06 | — | — | $397.6M |
| Dec 31, 2024 | $0.15 | — | — | $533.4M |
| Sep 30, 2024 | -$0.09 | — | — | $433.8M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 16.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / Sales | 0.83× | — | — | Top 19% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 33.42% | — | — | Top 6% |
| Earnings yield | -99.32% | — | — | Bottom 8% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 21.3× – 32.5× since Dec 31, 2023. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -23.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -6.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -21.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -41.6%
- RSI (14)
- 33.2
- Relative volume
- 0.55×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 63.2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.92
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.28
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -73.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -75.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Sep 28, 2026 | -75.9% | 258 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.90B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$5.37
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.94B
- 52-week range
- $5.22 – $21.49
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $672.8M | $1.04B | $1.37B | $1.77B | $1.75B |
| Gross profit | $583.8M | $851.1M | $1.14B | $1.44B | $1.41B |
| Operating income | -$383.9M | -$217.4M | $253.2M | $138.1M | -$1.28B |
| Net income | -$630.0M | -$261.0M | $405.2M | -$2.8M | -$1.91B |
| EPS (diluted) | -$2.17 | -$0.97 | $1.07 | -$0.15 | -$5.76 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $433.8M | $533.4M | $397.6M | $430.3M | $468.1M | $449.2M | $446.0M | $573.1M |
| Net income | -$33.0M | $54.2M | -$22.2M | -$53.8M | -$1.29B | -$535.3M | $48.0M | $14.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.09 | $0.15 | -$0.10 | -$0.21 | -$3.87 | -$1.59 | $0.09 | -$0.00 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$136.1M | -$47.5M | $307.4M | $261.5M | $192.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$3.6M | -$2.3M | -$5.4M | -$6.4M | -$1.4M |
| Free cash flow | -$139.6M | -$49.8M | $302.0M | $255.1M | $191.2M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $98.2M | -$1.8M | -$1.1M | $1.1M | $1.05B |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.69B
- Total assets
- $5.56B
- Total liabilities
- $3.48B
- Total debt
- $1.40B
- Net debt
- -$296.8M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.08B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 13, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 26,381,423
- Days to cover
- 4.68
- Change vs previous report
- +4.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.