Stocks · Communication Services · Entertainment
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. TKO
$175.58 -0.26% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $13.16B
Strong growthHigh qualityLow risk
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $2.90, up 25.0% year over year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $5.30B, up 11.4% from a year earlier, accelerating from 9.0% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Communication Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth89Strong
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 36%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 38%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 12%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 2%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 24%
Quality89Strong
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 29%
- Gross marginTop 48%
- Operating marginTop 18%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 17%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 41%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 47%
- Interest coverTop 18%
Value57Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 45%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 24%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 37%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 28%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 34%
Momentum40Weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 44%
- 6-month returnBottom 31%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 46%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 36%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 18%
Revisions37Weak
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 27%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 18%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 4%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 40%
Stability88Strong
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 19%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 42%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 47%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 9.0% | 11.4% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 46.0% | 25.0% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 46.0% | 54.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 17.0% | 20.0% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 14.7% | 31.5% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.4% | 9.0% | ↑ | Top 36% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 25.0% | 46.0% | ↓ | Top 38% |
| Gross margin | 54.1% | 46.0% | ↑ | Top 48% |
| Operating margin | 20.0% | 17.0% | ↑ | Top 18% |
| Net margin | 4.3% | 4.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 31.5% | 14.7% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 6.7% | — | Top 29% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 60.7% | — | Top 2% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -9.6%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 2.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +65.4 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.23×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 8.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 4.02%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 13.94%
- Shareholder yield
- 17.96%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -2.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +35.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -38.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $227.00
- Target vs current price
- +29.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 19
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 89%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | -5.0% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +1.6% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +0.9% | +1.9% | -1.9% | +6.2% | -2.7% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -133.7% | -1.0% | +5.0% | -7.6% | -7.2% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -14.7% | -0.1% | -4.1% | +4.0% | +7.0% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +0.9% | -4.8% | +13.8% | +14.2% | +14.2% |
| May 8, 2025 | +13.3% | -0.4% | -4.4% | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | +118.7% | +2.3% | -6.0% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | -45.8% | +1.1% | -2.1% | +16.1% | +32.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | $1.34 | $1.41 | -5.0% | $1.55B |
| May 6, 2026 | $1.12 | $1.11 | +0.9% | $1.60B |
| Feb 25, 2026 | -$0.08 | $0.24 | -133.7% | $1.04B |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.50 | $0.59 | -14.7% | $1.12B |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $1.17 | $1.16 | +0.9% | $1.31B |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.69 | $0.61 | +13.3% | $1.27B |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.35 | $0.16 | +118.7% | $642.2M |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.28 | $0.52 | -45.8% | $681.2M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 60.6× | 44.9× | 53th | Top 45% |
| P/E (forward) | 37.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.8× | — | — | Top 37% |
| EV / Sales | 3.12× | — | — | Bottom 28% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 12.71% | — | — | Top 24% |
| Earnings yield | 1.65% | — | — | Top 45% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 17.5× – 90.3× since Dec 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -11.7%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +25.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -5.4%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -6.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -10.7%
- RSI (14)
- 34.6
- Relative volume
- 0.76×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 28.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 40th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.77
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.35
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -22.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -22.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2023 | Dec 7, 2023 | -37.2% | 71 days | 167 days (Aug 8, 2024) |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Aug 19, 2021 | -27.2% | 49 days | 194 days (May 26, 2022) |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Oct 2, 2026 | -21.9% | 149 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -21.3% | 38 days | 52 days (Jun 24, 2025) |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Feb 12, 2021 | -19.4% | 9 days | 18 days (Mar 11, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $13.16B
- P/E (TTM)
- 60.6
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.90
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.30B
- Dividend yield
- 1.79%
- 52-week range
- $171.19 – $226.94
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.10B | $1.14B | $1.67B | $2.80B | $4.74B |
| Gross profit | $446.1M | $754.5M | $995.8M | $1.51B | $2.35B |
| Operating income | $256.0M | $545.1M | $586.2M | $775.0M | $961.3M |
| Net income | $177.4M | $387.3M | -$35.2M | $9.4M | $195.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.09 | $4.66 | -$0.43 | $0.05 | $2.26 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.54B | $642.2M | $1.27B | $1.31B | $1.12B | $1.04B | $1.60B | $1.55B |
| Net income | $23.1M | $31.0M | $58.4M | $98.4M | $41.0M | -$2.4M | $89.4M | $101.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.28 | $0.18 | $0.69 | $1.17 | $0.47 | -$0.03 | $1.12 | $1.34 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $441.2M | $501.7M | $266.2M | $586.1M | $1.29B |
| Capital expenditure | -$11.1M | -$12.4M | -$93.8M | -$118.8M | -$127.0M |
| Free cash flow | $430.1M | $489.3M | $172.4M | $467.3M | $1.16B |
| Dividends paid | -$269.1M | -$1.10B | $0 | $0 | -$640.7M |
| Net share buybacks | $53.1M | $0 | -$100.0M | -$146.3M | -$866.8M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.55B
- Total assets
- $16.26B
- Total liabilities
- $7.90B
- Total debt
- $4.95B
- Net debt
- $3.40B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.40B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | $0.79 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | $0.79 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | $0.78 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | $0.78 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | $0.76 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | $0.38 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | $0.38 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | $3.86 | Sep 29, 2023 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 8,332,380
- Days to cover
- 7.51
- Change vs previous report
- +12.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.