Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
Tesla, Inc. TSLA
$370.59 +4.65% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.46T
Expensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 28, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The shares trade at 343.1× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.08, down 37.5% year over year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 21%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 24%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 40%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 34%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 3%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 32%
- Gross marginBottom 17%
- Operating marginBottom 38%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 20%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 10%
- Interest coverTop 24%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 28%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 22%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 16%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 3%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 7%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 24%
- 6-month returnTop 45%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 37%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 46%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 34%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 22%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 32%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 40%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 32%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 47%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 11%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 10%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 2.3% | 11.8% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -39.1% | -37.5% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 17.5% | 18.9% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 6.1% | 4.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 6.0% | 5.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.8% | 2.3% | ↑ | Top 21% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -37.5% | -39.1% | ↑ | Bottom 24% |
| Gross margin | 18.9% | 17.5% | ↑ | Bottom 17% |
| Operating margin | 4.2% | 6.1% | ↓ | Bottom 38% |
| Net margin | 3.7% | 6.5% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 5.6% | 6.0% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 3.0% | — | Bottom 32% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 5.2% | — | Top 34% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 3.7%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -5.3 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.49×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 13.1×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- -0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.01%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.02%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 23, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -4.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.2%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $462.77
- Target vs current price
- +24.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 82
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 40%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | -34.0% | -1.3% | -18.9% | -11.1% | — |
| Apr 22, 2026 | +15.9% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +4.6% | -1.4% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | +9.9% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -3.1% | -13.3% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | -10.4% | -0.8% | +4.1% | -9.3% | -1.2% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -3.3% | -0.8% | +31.0% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | -34.7% | +4.6% | +25.7% | +50.4% | +40.4% |
| Jan 29, 2025 | -5.7% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -27.0% | -34.8% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | +24.1% | -2.0% | +19.1% | +58.7% | +94.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | $0.33 | $0.50 | -34.0% | $28.24B |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $0.41 | $0.35 | +15.9% | $22.39B |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $0.50 | $0.45 | +9.9% | $24.90B |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $0.50 | $0.56 | -10.4% | $28.09B |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.40 | $0.40 | +0.7% | $22.50B |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $0.27 | $0.41 | -34.7% | $19.34B |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $0.73 | $0.77 | -5.7% | $25.71B |
| Oct 23, 2024 | $0.72 | $0.58 | +24.1% | $25.18B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 343.1× | 139.8× | 95th | Bottom 28% |
| P/E (forward) | 221.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 121.2× | — | — | Bottom 16% |
| EV / Sales | 14.07× | — | — | Bottom 3% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.39% | — | — | Bottom 22% |
| Earnings yield | 0.29% | — | — | Bottom 28% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 40.6× – 386.0× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -19.3%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -37.5%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +67.5%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 19
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +6.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -5.7%
- RSI (14)
- 55.0
- Relative volume
- 1.44×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 50.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 37th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.80
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.51
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -24.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -53.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | Jan 3, 2023 | -73.6% | 291 days | 488 days (Dec 11, 2024) |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -53.8% | 75 days | 174 days (Dec 16, 2025) |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Jul 29, 2026 | -39.1% | 153 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Mar 8, 2021 | -36.2% | 28 days | 159 days (Oct 21, 2021) |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -15.9% | 12 days | 13 days (Nov 18, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.46T
- P/E (TTM)
- 343.1
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.08
- Revenue (TTM)
- $103.62B
- 52-week range
- $297.38 – $498.83
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $53.82B | $81.46B | $96.77B | $97.69B | $94.83B |
| Gross profit | $13.61B | $20.85B | $17.66B | $17.45B | $17.09B |
| Operating income | $6.52B | $13.66B | $8.89B | $7.08B | $4.36B |
| Net income | $5.52B | $12.58B | $15.00B | $7.13B | $3.79B |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.63 | $3.62 | $4.31 | $2.04 | $1.08 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $25.18B | $25.71B | $19.34B | $22.50B | $28.09B | $24.90B | $22.39B | $28.24B |
| Net income | $2.17B | $2.31B | $409.0M | $1.17B | $1.37B | $840.0M | $491.0M | $1.11B |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.62 | $0.66 | $0.12 | $0.33 | $0.39 | $0.24 | $0.13 | $0.32 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $11.50B | $14.72B | $13.26B | $14.92B | $14.75B |
| Capital expenditure | -$8.01B | -$7.17B | -$8.90B | -$11.34B | -$8.53B |
| Free cash flow | $3.48B | $7.55B | $4.36B | $3.58B | $6.22B |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $707.0M | $541.0M | $700.0M | $1.24B | $222.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $43.52B
- Total assets
- $148.52B
- Total liabilities
- $61.06B
- Total debt
- $9.34B
- Net debt
- -$5.88B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $86.86B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 23, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 68,862,357
- Days to cover
- 1.72
- Change vs previous report
- -7.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Aug 25, 2022
- 3-for-1
- Aug 31, 2020
- 5-for-1