Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation VAC
$104.20 +1.05% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $3.58B
Strong trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-9.76, down 246.7% year over year.
- Operating margin narrowed to 11.1% from 26.4% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count fell 8.4% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 13%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 7%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 36%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 47%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 38%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 49%
- Gross marginBottom 22%
- Operating marginTop 31%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 44%
- Interest coverBottom 41%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 16%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 30%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 12%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 34%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 11%
- 6-month returnTop 9%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 9%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 36%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 20%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 30%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 33%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 24%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 15%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 17%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 46%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 11%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -6.7% | -7.2% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -270.8% | -246.7% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 52.0% | 20.9% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 26.4% | 11.1% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 1.4% | 2.1% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -7.2% | -6.7% | ↓ | Bottom 13% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -246.7% | -270.8% | ↑ | Bottom 7% |
| Gross margin | 20.9% | 52.0% | ↓ | Bottom 22% |
| Operating margin | 11.1% | 26.4% | ↓ | Top 31% |
| Net margin | -7.1% | 5.1% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 2.1% | 1.4% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 6.3% | — | Top 49% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 2.6% | — | Top 47% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -5.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +12.5 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 3.05%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.70%
- Shareholder yield
- 3.74%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -8.4%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +0.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +5.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $110.75
- Target vs current price
- +6.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 18
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 67%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +17.3% | +22.6% | +17.3% | -1.7% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | -25.7% | +5.0% | +7.1% | +27.7% | +39.0% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | +8.1% | +3.2% | +20.9% | +24.7% | +31.5% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | +3.0% | +1.4% | -29.5% | -16.6% | -18.0% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | +14.0% | +1.1% | -3.6% | +6.3% | -4.0% |
| May 7, 2025 | +6.4% | +0.3% | +24.6% | +13.0% | +26.7% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | +23.2% | +0.1% | -16.7% | -21.4% | -22.0% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | +14.6% | +6.9% | +18.4% | +22.7% | +6.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $2.31 | $1.97 | +17.3% | $1.32B |
| May 5, 2026 | $1.24 | $1.67 | -25.7% | $1.26B |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $1.86 | $1.72 | +8.1% | $1.32B |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $1.69 | $1.64 | +3.0% | $812.0M |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $1.96 | $1.72 | +14.0% | $1.25B |
| May 7, 2025 | $1.66 | $1.56 | +6.4% | $1.20B |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $1.86 | $1.51 | +23.2% | $1.33B |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $1.80 | $1.57 | +14.6% | $1.30B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 12.1× | — | — | — |
| EV / Sales | 1.87× | — | — | Bottom 34% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.77% | — | — | Bottom 30% |
| Earnings yield | -9.36% | — | — | Bottom 16% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 10.8× – 141.1× since Dec 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +57.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -246.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -39.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 124
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.5%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +6.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -2.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +28.0%
- RSI (14)
- 50.6
- Relative volume
- 0.63×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 61.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 88th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.83
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.53
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -16.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -57.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | Nov 14, 2025 | -75.8% | 1176 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -15.7% | 14 days | 11 days (Feb 11, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.58B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$9.76
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.71B
- Dividend yield
- 3.07%
- 52-week range
- $44.58 – $131.34
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.89B | $4.66B | $4.73B | $4.97B | $5.03B |
| Gross profit | $1.45B | $1.99B | $1.82B | $1.85B | $760.0M |
| Operating income | $463.0M | $797.0M | $587.0M | $547.0M | $554.0M |
| Net income | $49.0M | $391.0M | $254.0M | $218.0M | -$308.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.13 | $8.65 | $6.28 | $5.61 | -$8.83 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.30B | $1.33B | $1.20B | $1.25B | $812.0M | $1.32B | $1.26B | $1.32B |
| Net income | $84.0M | $50.0M | $56.0M | $69.0M | -$2.0M | -$431.0M | $22.0M | $77.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.12 | $1.31 | $1.45 | $1.77 | -$0.06 | -$12.35 | $0.63 | $2.02 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $343.0M | $522.0M | $232.0M | $205.0M | $28.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$47.0M | -$65.0M | -$118.0M | -$57.0M | -$57.0M |
| Free cash flow | $296.0M | $457.0M | $114.0M | $148.0M | -$29.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$23.0M | -$99.0M | -$106.0M | -$107.0M | -$110.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$78.0M | -$701.0M | -$286.0M | -$56.0M | -$61.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $211.0M
- Total assets
- $9.48B
- Total liabilities
- $7.42B
- Total debt
- $5.45B
- Net debt
- $5.24B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.06B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | $0.80 | Sep 30, 2026 |
| May 27, 2026 | $0.80 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | $0.80 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Dec 24, 2025 | $0.80 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | $0.79 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| May 23, 2025 | $0.79 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | $0.79 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | $0.79 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,932,009
- Days to cover
- 3.72
- Change vs previous report
- -5.5%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.