Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
Valvoline Inc. VVV
$30.58 -0.65% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $3.90B
Strong growthHigh quality
Next earnings report: Nov 18, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.74, down 65.1% year over year.
- Operating margin narrowed to 17.9% from 26.0% a year earlier.
- Net debt is 3.6× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 12%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 16%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 11%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 17%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 9%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 47%
- Gross marginTop 45%
- Operating marginTop 12%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 12%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 26%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 38%
- Interest coverTop 39%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 35%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 34%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 38%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 18%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 18%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 40%
- 6-month returnBottom 37%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 39%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 46%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 49%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 44%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 34%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 37%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 31%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 13%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 38%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 11.0% | 16.1% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -67.0% | -65.1% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 38.5% | 38.3% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 26.0% | 17.9% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 2.7% | 6.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 16.1% | 11.0% | ↑ | Top 12% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -65.1% | -67.0% | ↑ | Bottom 16% |
| Gross margin | 38.3% | 38.5% | ↓ | Top 45% |
| Operating margin | 17.9% | 26.0% | ↓ | Top 12% |
| Net margin | 5.2% | 16.4% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 6.9% | 2.7% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 6.6% | — | Top 47% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 11.4% | — | Top 17% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -8.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +1.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.56×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 5.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.00%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -7.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +8.9%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $44.00
- Target vs current price
- +43.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 24
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 54%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +13.5% | -5.9% | -15.9% | -18.9% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | +17.1% | +5.0% | -6.1% | +3.2% | +13.5% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | +8.8% | +6.9% | +14.1% | +11.0% | -0.2% |
| Nov 19, 2025 | -3.8% | -2.5% | +0.6% | -4.4% | +22.8% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +2.2% | +4.6% | +6.8% | +5.8% | -9.8% |
| May 8, 2025 | -5.6% | -1.9% | +1.0% | +5.7% | +2.3% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | +3.2% | +7.4% | +7.6% | -4.4% | -7.7% |
| Nov 19, 2024 | +9.5% | -8.7% | -6.7% | -10.7% | -9.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.57 | $0.50 | +13.5% | $544.6M |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.41 | $0.35 | +17.1% | $503.8M |
| Feb 4, 2026 | $0.37 | $0.34 | +8.8% | $461.8M |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $0.45 | $0.47 | -3.8% | $453.8M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.47 | $0.46 | +2.2% | $439.0M |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.34 | $0.36 | -5.6% | $403.2M |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.32 | $0.31 | +3.2% | $414.3M |
| Nov 19, 2024 | $0.46 | $0.42 | +9.5% | $435.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 41.3× | 15.8× | 86th | Bottom 35% |
| P/E (forward) | 17.4× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.9× | — | — | Top 38% |
| EV / Sales | 2.95× | — | — | Bottom 18% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.47% | — | — | Bottom 34% |
| Earnings yield | 2.42% | — | — | Bottom 35% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.0× – 53.5× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -14.6%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -65.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +179.5%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -10.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -6.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -10.7%
- RSI (14)
- 51.8
- Relative volume
- 0.99×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 36.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 94th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.57
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.26
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -24.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -44.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | Sep 21, 2026 | -44.1% | 547 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Oct 12, 2022 | -33.0% | 198 days | 144 days (May 10, 2023) |
| Jul 26, 2023 | Oct 30, 2023 | -25.6% | 67 days | 70 days (Feb 9, 2024) |
| Jun 11, 2021 | Aug 19, 2021 | -13.6% | 48 days | 37 days (Oct 12, 2021) |
| Mar 21, 2024 | May 29, 2024 | -12.1% | 47 days | 30 days (Jul 12, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.90B
- P/E (TTM)
- 41.3
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.74
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.96B
- 52-week range
- $26.21 – $41.08
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.04B | $1.24B | $1.44B | $1.62B | $1.71B |
| Gross profit | $432.3M | $476.4M | $544.5M | $618.8M | $658.5M |
| Operating income | $240.1M | $220.3M | $247.2M | $367.2M | $389.9M |
| Net income | $420.3M | $424.3M | $1.42B | $211.5M | $210.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.29 | $2.35 | $8.73 | $1.61 | $1.64 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $435.5M | $414.3M | $403.2M | $439.0M | $453.8M | $461.8M | $503.8M | $544.6M |
| Net income | $92.3M | $91.6M | $37.6M | $56.5M | $25.0M | -$32.8M | $44.8M | $64.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.68 | $0.71 | $0.29 | $0.44 | $0.20 | -$0.26 | $0.29 | $0.51 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $403.9M | $284.2M | -$40.8M | $265.1M | $297.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$103.1M | -$132.0M | -$180.5M | -$224.4M | -$259.2M |
| Free cash flow | $300.8M | $152.2M | -$221.3M | $40.7M | $38.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$90.9M | -$89.2M | -$21.8M | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$126.9M | -$142.6M | -$1.52B | -$226.8M | -$76.8M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $84.2M
- Total assets
- $3.48B
- Total liabilities
- $3.06B
- Total debt
- $1.98B
- Net debt
- $1.90B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $416.7M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | $0.13 | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Aug 30, 2022 | $0.13 | Sep 15, 2022 |
| May 27, 2022 | $0.13 | Jun 15, 2022 |
| Feb 25, 2022 | $0.13 | Mar 15, 2022 |
| Nov 26, 2021 | $0.13 | Dec 15, 2021 |
| Aug 27, 2021 | $0.13 | Sep 15, 2021 |
| May 27, 2021 | $0.13 | Jun 15, 2021 |
| Feb 25, 2021 | $0.13 | Mar 15, 2021 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 13,088,199
- Days to cover
- 5.86
- Change vs previous report
- -0.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.