Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Wayfair Inc. W
$101.25 -0.12% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $13.87B
Strong growthStrong trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Net debt is 22.1× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 44 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $12.90B, up 7.5% from a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 35%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 12%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 44%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 38%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 3%
- Gross marginBottom 39%
- Operating marginBottom 22%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 1%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 2%
- Interest coverBottom 29%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 22%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 35%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 15%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 49%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 37%
- 6-month returnTop 16%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 26%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 24%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 20%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 32%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 33%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 43%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 22%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 10%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 30%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 2%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 2%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.8% | 7.5% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 30.3% | 30.1% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -2.5% | 1.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 1.5% | 3.8% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 7.5% | 6.8% | ↑ | Top 35% |
| Gross margin | 30.1% | 30.3% | ↓ | Bottom 39% |
| Operating margin | 1.7% | -2.5% | ↑ | Bottom 22% |
| Net margin | -2.5% | -2.5% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.8% | 1.5% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 31.5% | — | Top 3% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 0.6% | — | Bottom 44% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -33.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 2.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +59.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 22.13×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.5×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.00%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +2.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +5.6%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +22.5%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +4.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $114.06
- Target vs current price
- +12.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 57
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 54%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +5.1% | +30.1% | +15.7% | +11.2% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +0.0% | -12.7% | -9.9% | -0.7% | +29.0% |
| Feb 19, 2026 | +32.8% | -13.0% | -17.2% | -16.1% | -32.3% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +52.2% | +23.2% | +19.5% | +21.7% | +27.0% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | +141.7% | +12.7% | +11.0% | +14.4% | +32.6% |
| May 1, 2025 | +155.6% | +3.5% | +1.0% | +41.8% | +125.0% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | -600.0% | -0.6% | -8.0% | -31.6% | -16.4% |
| Nov 1, 2024 | +46.7% | -6.3% | -7.1% | +8.0% | +17.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $0.95 | $0.90 | +5.1% | $3.52B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.26 | $0.26 | +0.0% | $2.93B |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $0.85 | $0.64 | +32.8% | $3.34B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.70 | $0.46 | +52.2% | $3.12B |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $0.87 | $0.36 | +141.7% | $3.27B |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.10 | -$0.18 | +155.6% | $2.73B |
| Feb 20, 2025 | -$0.25 | $0.05 | -600.0% | $3.12B |
| Nov 1, 2024 | $0.22 | $0.15 | +46.7% | $2.88B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 35.4× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 149.4× | — | — | Bottom 15% |
| EV / Sales | 1.26× | — | — | Bottom 49% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.57% | — | — | Bottom 35% |
| Earnings yield | -2.43% | — | — | Bottom 22% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 4
- Days above the 200-day average
- 44
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +4.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +0.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +14.7%
- RSI (14)
- 50.9
- Relative volume
- 0.91×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 75.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 67th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.41
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.55
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -15.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -66.9%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2021 | Apr 8, 2025 | -93.0% | 1017 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | -28.8% | 63 days | 9 days (Jan 14, 2021) |
| Jan 14, 2021 | Feb 25, 2021 | -21.8% | 28 days | 2 days (Mar 1, 2021) |
| Mar 1, 2021 | Mar 4, 2021 | -14.5% | 3 days | 12 days (Mar 22, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $13.87B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$2.46
- Revenue (TTM)
- $12.90B
- 52-week range
- $55.60 – $119.98
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.71B | $12.22B | $12.00B | $11.85B | $12.46B |
| Gross profit | $3.90B | $3.42B | $3.67B | $3.57B | $3.77B |
| Operating income | -$94.0M | -$1.38B | -$813.0M | -$461.0M | $17.0M |
| Net income | -$131.0M | -$1.33B | -$738.0M | -$492.0M | -$313.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.26 | -$12.56 | -$6.47 | -$4.00 | -$2.42 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.88B | $3.12B | $2.73B | $3.27B | $3.12B | $3.34B | $2.93B | $3.52B |
| Net income | -$74.0M | -$128.0M | -$113.0M | $15.0M | -$99.0M | -$116.0M | -$105.0M | -$1.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.60 | -$1.02 | -$0.89 | $0.12 | -$0.76 | -$0.89 | -$0.80 | -$0.01 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $410.0M | -$674.0M | $349.0M | $317.0M | $534.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$280.0M | -$458.0M | -$351.0M | -$234.0M | -$205.0M |
| Free cash flow | $130.0M | -$1.13B | -$2.0M | $83.0M | $329.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$300.0M | -$75.0M | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $1.14B
- Total assets
- $2.98B
- Total liabilities
- $5.77B
- Total debt
- $3.48B
- Net debt
- $2.41B
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$2.79B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 10,986,299
- Days to cover
- 4.58
- Change vs previous report
- +13.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.