Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Xponential Fitness, Inc. XPOF
$4.70 +0.86% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $175.4M
High qualityWeak trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to 21.7% from -10.7% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 20.2% in a year.
- Net debt is 95.1× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 10%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 3%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 21%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 15%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 4%
- Gross marginTop 1%
- Operating marginTop 7%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 16%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 1%
- Interest coverBottom 25%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 7%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 12%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 16%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 25%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 13%
- 6-month returnBottom 13%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 16%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 17%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 5%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 13%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 31%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 38%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 12%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 27%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 1%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -6.1% | -9.1% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 71.2% | 79.5% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -10.7% | 21.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 3.1% | -3.1% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -9.1% | -6.1% | ↓ | Bottom 10% |
| Gross margin | 79.5% | 71.2% | ↑ | Top 1% |
| Operating margin | 21.7% | -10.7% | ↑ | Top 7% |
| Net margin | -13.5% | -18.1% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -3.1% | 3.1% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 27.6% | — | Top 4% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 9.0% | — | Top 21% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 3.7%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -52.2 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 95.05×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 73.18%
- Shareholder yield
- 73.18%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +20.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -1.7%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $5.80
- Target vs current price
- +23.4%
- Analysts with a rating
- 15
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 40%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -84.1% | -5.4% | -26.8% | -24.6% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | -136.4% | -1.4% | -23.1% | -17.3% | +0.3% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | -2560.8% | -2.2% | -32.8% | -27.8% | -32.2% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | +142.9% | -3.8% | -2.7% | +6.0% | +31.0% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | +36.8% | -6.7% | -17.4% | -16.7% | -36.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | -233.3% | +3.0% | +16.3% | +12.3% | +25.4% |
| Mar 13, 2025 | -140.9% | -0.1% | -29.4% | -36.1% | -21.8% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -122.2% | +2.6% | +25.2% | +23.2% | +41.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.02 | $0.13 | -84.1% | $66.0M |
| May 7, 2026 | -$0.04 | $0.11 | -136.4% | $60.7M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | -$0.91 | -$0.03 | -2560.8% | $83.0M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.34 | $0.14 | +142.9% | $78.8M |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.26 | $0.19 | +36.8% | $76.2M |
| May 8, 2025 | -$0.20 | $0.15 | -233.3% | $76.9M |
| Mar 13, 2025 | -$0.18 | $0.44 | -140.9% | $83.2M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -$0.04 | $0.18 | -122.2% | $80.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 20.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 128.7× | — | — | Bottom 16% |
| EV / Sales | 2.32× | — | — | Bottom 25% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -5.07% | — | — | Bottom 12% |
| Earnings yield | -31.26% | — | — | Bottom 7% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 102.7× – 286.8× since Dec 31, 2022. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -17.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.9%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -6.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -26.5%
- RSI (14)
- 56.3
- Relative volume
- 1.62×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 80.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 59th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.33
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.22
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -47.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -80.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Sep 18, 2026 | -89.0% | 850 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 28, 2022 | Jun 22, 2022 | -54.8% | 59 days | 138 days (Jan 9, 2023) |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Jan 18, 2022 | -43.4% | 27 days | 40 days (Mar 16, 2022) |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Dec 1, 2021 | -20.5% | 12 days | 5 days (Dec 8, 2021) |
| Jul 26, 2021 | Sep 20, 2021 | -17.5% | 39 days | 6 days (Sep 28, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $175.4M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.47
- Revenue (TTM)
- $288.5M
- 52-week range
- $3.57 – $9.25
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $155.1M | $243.2M | $317.9M | $320.3M | $314.9M |
| Gross profit | $100.8M | $161.0M | $219.3M | $260.9M | $238.1M |
| Operating income | -$30.8M | $13.3M | $34.9M | -$53.6M | $79.5M |
| Net income | -$18.8M | $1.2M | -$4.0M | -$64.9M | -$33.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$2.67 | -$0.87 | -$0.52 | -$2.27 | -$1.47 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $80.5M | $83.8M | $76.9M | $76.2M | $78.8M | $83.0M | $60.7M | $66.0M |
| Net income | -$13.4M | -$43.7M | -$1.9M | $1.5M | -$4.3M | -$29.6M | -$725,000 | -$4.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.29 | -$1.36 | -$0.10 | -$0.01 | -$0.18 | -$1.17 | -$0.02 | -$0.10 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $14.5M | $52.1M | $32.7M | $11.7M | $28.3M |
| Capital expenditure | -$4.9M | -$16.1M | -$9.2M | -$4.7M | -$3.6M |
| Free cash flow | $9.6M | $35.9M | $23.5M | $7.0M | $24.7M |
| Dividends paid | -$10.6M | $0 | $0 | -$5.8M | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$31.5M | $0 | -$50.4M | $210,000 | $193,000 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $25.0M
- Total assets
- $309.8M
- Total liabilities
- $685.9M
- Total debt
- $519.7M
- Net debt
- $494.8M
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$321.4M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 10,312,316
- Days to cover
- 15.11
- Change vs previous report
- +11.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.