Stocks · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
American Airlines Group Inc. AAL
$12.94 -1.45% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $8.57B
Next earnings report: Oct 22, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-0.49, down 162.8% year over year.
- Net debt is 10.3× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $58.34B, up 7.5% from a year earlier, accelerating from 3.3% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 49%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 7%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 13%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 45%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 25%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 34%
- Gross marginBottom 32%
- Operating marginBottom 30%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 27%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 4%
- Interest coverBottom 32%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 25%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 49%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 32%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 12%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 43%
- 6-month returnTop 29%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 43%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 39%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 7%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 29%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 37%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 50%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 49%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 25%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 4%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.3% | 7.5% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -64.8% | -162.8% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 20.8% | 21.0% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 3.8% | 1.7% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 2.9% | 0.5% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 7.5% | 3.3% | ↑ | Bottom 49% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -162.8% | -64.8% | ↓ | Bottom 7% |
| Gross margin | 21.0% | 20.8% | ↑ | Bottom 32% |
| Operating margin | 1.7% | 3.8% | ↓ | Bottom 30% |
| Net margin | -0.6% | 1.0% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 0.5% | 2.9% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 2.1% | — | Bottom 34% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 3.7% | — | Bottom 45% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -7.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -15.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 10.32×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.00%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -2.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 23, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +98.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -2.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $18.27
- Target vs current price
- +41.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 38
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 45%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | +400.0% | -8.3% | +0.3% | -6.3% | — |
| Apr 23, 2026 | +13.7% | +2.4% | -1.7% | +12.6% | +31.7% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | -57.9% | -7.0% | -6.0% | -9.7% | -21.1% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | +38.9% | +5.6% | +7.3% | +2.0% | +22.3% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | +21.8% | -9.6% | -9.2% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | +15.0% | +3.1% | +6.8% | +20.6% | +32.2% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | +120.5% | -8.7% | -7.1% | -15.0% | -49.3% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | +66.9% | -0.4% | +8.7% | +12.7% | +45.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $0.15 | $0.03 | +400.0% | $16.73B |
| Apr 23, 2026 | -$0.40 | -$0.46 | +13.7% | $13.91B |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $0.16 | $0.38 | -57.9% | $14.00B |
| Oct 23, 2025 | -$0.17 | -$0.28 | +38.9% | $13.69B |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.95 | $0.78 | +21.8% | $14.39B |
| Apr 24, 2025 | -$0.59 | -$0.69 | +15.0% | $12.55B |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $0.86 | $0.39 | +120.5% | $13.66B |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.30 | $0.18 | +66.9% | $13.65B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / EBITDA | 12.9× | — | — | Top 32% |
| EV / Sales | 0.74× | — | — | Top 12% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.33% | — | — | Top 49% |
| Earnings yield | -3.79% | — | — | Bottom 25% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.7× – 82.9× since Mar 31, 2023. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +14.8%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -162.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +248.0%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -8.6%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -7.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -6.6%
- RSI (14)
- 41.2
- Relative volume
- 1.04×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 43.1%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 35th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.48
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.45
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -28.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -51.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2021 | Apr 8, 2025 | -64.9% | 967 days | Not yet recovered |
| Mar 15, 2021 | Apr 22, 2021 | -20.3% | 27 days | 28 days (Jun 2, 2021) |
| Oct 9, 2020 | Oct 28, 2020 | -17.1% | 13 days | 8 days (Nov 9, 2020) |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Jan 11, 2021 | -16.6% | 20 days | 12 days (Jan 28, 2021) |
| Nov 9, 2020 | Nov 12, 2020 | -11.1% | 3 days | 7 days (Nov 23, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $8.57B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.49
- Revenue (TTM)
- $58.34B
- 52-week range
- $10.09 – $18.79
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.88B | $48.97B | $52.79B | $54.21B | $54.63B |
| Gross profit | $27.0M | $9.04B | $11.81B | $11.46B | $10.47B |
| Operating income | -$1.06B | $1.61B | $3.03B | $2.61B | $1.47B |
| Net income | -$1.99B | $127.0M | $822.0M | $846.0M | $111.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$3.09 | $0.19 | $1.14 | $1.24 | $0.17 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.65B | $13.66B | $12.55B | $14.39B | $13.69B | $14.00B | $13.91B | $16.73B |
| Net income | -$149.0M | $590.0M | -$473.0M | $599.0M | -$114.0M | $99.0M | -$382.0M | $71.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.23 | $0.82 | -$0.72 | $0.91 | -$0.17 | $0.15 | -$0.58 | $0.11 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $704.0M | $2.17B | $3.80B | $3.98B | $3.10B |
| Capital expenditure | -$208.0M | -$2.55B | -$2.60B | -$2.68B | -$3.78B |
| Free cash flow | $496.0M | -$373.0M | $1.21B | $1.30B | -$680.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $442.0M | -$21.0M | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $7.77B
- Total assets
- $64.23B
- Total liabilities
- $68.20B
- Total debt
- $35.73B
- Net debt
- $34.70B
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$3.97B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 23, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | $0.10 | Feb 19, 2020 |
| Nov 5, 2019 | $0.10 | Nov 20, 2019 |
| Aug 6, 2019 | $0.10 | Aug 21, 2019 |
| May 7, 2019 | $0.10 | May 22, 2019 |
| Feb 5, 2019 | $0.10 | Feb 20, 2019 |
| Nov 5, 2018 | $0.10 | Nov 20, 2018 |
| Aug 6, 2018 | $0.10 | Aug 21, 2018 |
| May 7, 2018 | $0.10 | May 22, 2018 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 91,609,119
- Days to cover
- 1.45
- Change vs previous report
- +21.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.