Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM
$80.45 +1.17% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $38.77B
Strong trendLow risk
Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $3.65, up 61.0% year over year.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 7 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +13.7%).
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 328 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth39Weak
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 30%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 12%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 16%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 8%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 20%
Quality19Very weak
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 36%
- Gross marginBottom 6%
- Operating marginBottom 28%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 41%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 16%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 20%
- Interest coverBottom 37%
Value60Neutral
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 42%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 36%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 20%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 16%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 17%
Momentum93Exceptional
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 11%
- 6-month returnTop 23%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 10%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 6%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 24%
Revisions48Neutral
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 34%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 14%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 30%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 17%
Stability89Strong
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 27%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 42%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 18%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 20%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -3.9% | -0.8% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -20.3% | 61.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 5.9% | 6.9% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 1.5% | 2.5% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 5.0% | 2.0% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -0.8% | -3.9% | ↑ | Bottom 30% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 61.0% | -20.3% | ↑ | Top 12% |
| Gross margin | 6.9% | 5.9% | ↑ | Bottom 6% |
| Operating margin | 2.5% | 1.5% | ↑ | Bottom 28% |
| Net margin | 2.2% | 1.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 2.0% | 5.0% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 4.9% | — | Bottom 36% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -7.5% | — | Bottom 8% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.58×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -1.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +26.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.05×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 2.58%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 2.58%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.2%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -3.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 7
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +13.7%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $88.00
- Target vs current price
- +9.4%
- Analysts with a rating
- 36
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 33%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +29.6% | +2.3% | +3.1% | +4.1% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +7.6% | +3.8% | +4.7% | +8.1% | +5.7% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | +9.2% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -0.1% | +9.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | +8.4% | +0.0% | -6.8% | +0.4% | +12.0% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | +13.8% | +6.0% | +7.2% | +14.1% | +12.9% |
| May 6, 2025 | +5.6% | +1.7% | +5.1% | -0.5% | +14.1% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | +2.7% | -5.1% | -7.9% | -8.4% | -4.5% |
| Nov 18, 2024 | -8.4% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -3.1% | -13.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.84 | $1.42 | +29.6% | $22.68B |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.71 | $0.66 | +7.6% | $20.49B |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $0.87 | $0.80 | +9.2% | $18.56B |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.92 | $0.85 | +8.4% | $20.37B |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $0.93 | $0.82 | +13.8% | $21.17B |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.70 | $0.66 | +5.6% | $20.18B |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $1.14 | $1.11 | +2.7% | $21.50B |
| Nov 18, 2024 | $1.09 | $1.19 | -8.4% | $19.94B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 22.0× | 14.1× | 81th | Top 42% |
| P/E (forward) | 14.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.7× | — | — | Top 20% |
| EV / Sales | 0.47× | — | — | Top 16% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.33% | — | — | Bottom 36% |
| Earnings yield | 4.54% | — | — | Top 42% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.9× – 35.5× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +35.8%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +61.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -13.9%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 328
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +3.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -1.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +8.1%
- RSI (14)
- 42.8
- Relative volume
- 0.95×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 28.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 69th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.15
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.08
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -8.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -45.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | Apr 8, 2025 | -57.5% | 744 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Jul 22, 2021 | -16.5% | 33 days | 115 days (Jan 4, 2022) |
| Oct 23, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -10.8% | 5 days | 45 days (Jan 6, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $38.77B
- P/E (TTM)
- 22.0
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $3.65
- Revenue (TTM)
- $82.10B
- Dividend yield
- 2.57%
- 52-week range
- $55.58 – $88.75
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $85.25B | $101.56B | $93.94B | $85.53B | $80.27B |
| Gross profit | $5.99B | $7.57B | $7.51B | $5.78B | $5.03B |
| Operating income | $2.99B | $4.21B | $4.06B | $2.07B | $1.42B |
| Net income | $2.71B | $4.34B | $3.48B | $1.80B | $1.08B |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.79 | $7.71 | $6.43 | $3.65 | $2.23 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.94B | $21.50B | $20.18B | $21.19B | $20.37B | $18.56B | $20.49B | $22.68B |
| Net income | $18.0M | $567.0M | $295.0M | $219.0M | $108.0M | $456.0M | $298.0M | $908.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.04 | $1.17 | $0.61 | $0.45 | $0.22 | $0.94 | $0.62 | $1.87 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $6.59B | $3.48B | $4.46B | $2.79B | $5.45B |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.17B | -$1.32B | -$1.49B | -$1.56B | -$1.25B |
| Free cash flow | $5.43B | $2.16B | $2.97B | $1.23B | $4.20B |
| Dividends paid | -$834.0M | -$899.0M | -$977.0M | -$985.0M | -$987.0M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | -$1.45B | -$2.67B | -$2.33B | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $9.61B
- Total assets
- $53.53B
- Total liabilities
- $29.66B
- Total debt
- $9.34B
- Net debt
- -$234.0M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $23.58B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | $0.52 | Sep 9, 2026 |
| May 20, 2026 | $0.52 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.52 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | $0.51 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | $0.51 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| May 21, 2025 | $0.51 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $0.51 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | $0.50 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 14,598,260
- Days to cover
- 3.98
- Change vs previous report
- +1.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Aug 30, 2001
- 21-for-20
- Aug 24, 2000
- 21-for-20
- Aug 19, 1999
- 21-for-20
- Aug 20, 1998
- 21-for-20
- Aug 14, 1997
- 21-for-20