Stocks · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
ADT Inc. ADT
$6.25 +0.32% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $5.00B
High qualityInexpensive vs sectorLow risk
Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count fell 11.3% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
- At 8.9× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 8 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +8.0%).
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 25%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 45%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 37%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 28%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 21%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 48%
- Gross marginTop 11%
- Operating marginTop 5%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 7%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 19%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 37%
- Interest coverBottom 46%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 3%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 1%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 2%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 43%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 6%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 27%
- 6-month returnBottom 38%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 18%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 41%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 15%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 42%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 14%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 32%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 37%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 16%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 15%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 19%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 37%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.3% | 2.1% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 19.0% | 6.1% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 49.8% | 51.4% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 25.7% | 25.0% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 29.3% | 36.4% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 2.1% | 3.3% | ↓ | Bottom 25% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 6.1% | 19.0% | ↓ | Bottom 45% |
| Gross margin | 51.4% | 49.8% | ↑ | Top 11% |
| Operating margin | 25.0% | 25.7% | ↓ | Top 5% |
| Net margin | 12.0% | 12.3% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 36.4% | 29.3% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 6.3% | — | Top 48% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -0.3% | — | Bottom 28% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -9.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -15.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.77×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 3.62%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 13.90%
- Shareholder yield
- 17.51%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -11.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -6.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 8
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +8.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.7%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $7.63
- Target vs current price
- +22.1%
- Analysts with a rating
- 17
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 47%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | +3.1% | +1.3% | +3.9% | +0.4% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +9.5% | +5.0% | -2.6% | -5.0% | -0.3% |
| Mar 2, 2026 | +15.0% | -11.2% | -18.3% | -19.5% | -13.6% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | +4.5% | -8.1% | -7.5% | -7.6% | -9.0% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | +21.1% | +2.8% | -0.8% | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | +5.0% | -2.0% | +1.4% | +7.0% | +6.6% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | +5.3% | +7.8% | +2.3% | +8.5% | +8.2% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | +25.0% | +17.6% | +6.5% | +9.1% | +5.1% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.23 | $0.22 | +3.1% | $1.31B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.23 | $0.21 | +9.5% | $1.28B |
| Mar 2, 2026 | $0.23 | $0.20 | +15.0% | $1.28B |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.23 | $0.22 | +4.5% | $1.30B |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.23 | $0.19 | +21.1% | $1.29B |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.21 | $0.20 | +5.0% | $1.27B |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.20 | $0.19 | +5.3% | $1.26B |
| Oct 24, 2024 | $0.20 | $0.16 | +25.0% | $1.24B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 8.9× | 23.5× | 0th | Top 3% |
| P/E (forward) | 6.8× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 4.6× | — | — | Top 2% |
| EV / Sales | 2.46× | — | — | Bottom 43% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 37.63% | — | — | Top 1% |
| Earnings yield | 11.20% | — | — | Top 3% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 10.7× – 216.1× since Dec 31, 2022. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -28.0%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +6.1%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -18.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.9%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -12.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -13.2%
- RSI (14)
- 29.5
- Relative volume
- 0.63×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 27.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 21th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.70
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.36
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -29.3%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -31.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2021 | May 4, 2023 | -55.9% | 477 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Mar 4, 2021 | -33.0% | 6 days | 56 days (May 24, 2021) |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -21.7% | 17 days | 24 days (Dec 4, 2020) |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Feb 1, 2021 | -13.4% | 3 days | 16 days (Feb 24, 2021) |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | -10.1% | 12 days | 7 days (Jan 8, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $5.00B
- P/E (TTM)
- 8.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.70
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.16B
- Dividend yield
- 3.52%
- 52-week range
- $6.03 – $8.89
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.31B | $5.17B | $4.65B | $4.90B | $5.13B |
| Gross profit | $1.72B | $2.20B | $2.38B | $2.48B | $2.53B |
| Operating income | $53.1M | $689.2M | $1.22B | $1.23B | $1.33B |
| Net income | -$340.8M | $132.7M | -$167.0M | $501.1M | $596.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.41 | $0.19 | -$0.17 | $0.52 | $0.67 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.24B | $1.26B | $1.27B | $1.29B | $1.30B | $1.28B | $1.28B | $1.31B |
| Net income | $127.2M | $190.0M | $140.2M | $165.2M | $145.1M | $145.0M | $168.0M | $161.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.13 | $0.20 | $0.15 | $0.18 | $0.16 | $0.16 | $0.19 | $0.19 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.65B | $1.89B | $1.66B | $1.88B | $1.89B |
| Capital expenditure | -$863.0M | -$912.0M | -$806.9M | -$687.0M | -$572.0M |
| Free cash flow | $787.0M | $976.0M | $850.8M | $1.20B | $1.31B |
| Dividends paid | -$116.3M | -$127.1M | -$128.6M | -$182.3M | -$187.0M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | -$20.0M | $0 | -$240.6M | -$607.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $4.0M
- Total assets
- $15.74B
- Total liabilities
- $12.26B
- Total debt
- $7.69B
- Net debt
- $7.68B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.48B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | $0.06 | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | $0.06 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | $0.06 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | $0.06 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | $0.06 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | $0.06 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | $0.06 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | $0.06 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 24,262,728
- Days to cover
- 3.76
- Change vs previous report
- -5.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.