Stocks · Industrials · Agricultural - Machinery
AGCO Corporation AGCO
$114.61 +2.50% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $8.03B
Inexpensive vs sectorLow risk
Next earnings report: Oct 30, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $7.22, up 447.0% year over year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- The diluted share count fell 4.7% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 25%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 2%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 19%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 11%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 18%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 47%
- Gross marginBottom 41%
- Operating marginBottom 47%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 25%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 17%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 14%
- Interest coverTop 24%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 9%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 39%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 7%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 12%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 30%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 38%
- 6-month returnBottom 47%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 48%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 40%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 40%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 16%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 16%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 25%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 24%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 50%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 32%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 27%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 14%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -3.8% | 1.7% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 23.9% | 25.0% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 6.4% | 6.6% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 6.8% | 3.2% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 1.7% | -3.8% | ↑ | Bottom 25% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 447.0% | — | Top 2% | |
| Gross margin | 25.0% | 23.9% | ↑ | Bottom 41% |
| Operating margin | 6.6% | 6.4% | ↑ | Bottom 47% |
| Net margin | 5.2% | 1.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.2% | 6.8% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 6.5% | — | Top 47% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -7.3% | — | Bottom 11% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.11×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -0.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +0.4 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -0.44×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 11.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.06%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 7.47%
- Shareholder yield
- 8.53%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -4.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +34.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $131.00
- Target vs current price
- +14.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 29
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 41%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | -2.1% | -7.8% | -10.6% | -4.0% | — |
| May 5, 2026 | +114.0% | -5.5% | -2.0% | -2.4% | -11.7% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | +17.3% | +2.2% | +13.8% | +4.8% | -2.6% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | +7.1% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +6.2% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | +27.4% | +10.6% | +6.0% | +6.8% | +3.2% |
| May 1, 2025 | +1266.7% | +10.1% | +11.3% | +19.7% | +29.7% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | -2.0% | -5.1% | -5.6% | -6.3% | -7.9% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | -36.4% | -7.8% | -6.2% | +2.7% | +2.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.43 | $1.46 | -2.1% | $2.61B |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.94 | $0.44 | +114.0% | $2.34B |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $2.17 | $1.85 | +17.3% | $2.92B |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $1.35 | $1.26 | +7.1% | $2.48B |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.35 | $1.06 | +27.4% | $2.63B |
| May 1, 2025 | $0.41 | $0.03 | +1266.7% | $2.05B |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $1.97 | $2.01 | -2.0% | $2.89B |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.68 | $1.07 | -36.4% | $2.60B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 15.9× | 11.1× | 79th | Top 9% |
| P/E (forward) | 20.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.2× | — | — | Top 7% |
| EV / Sales | 0.73× | — | — | Top 12% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.12% | — | — | Top 39% |
| Earnings yield | 6.30% | — | — | Top 9% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 6.9× – 89.4× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +9.3%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +447.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -83.4%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 1
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +0.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -1.5%
- RSI (14)
- 45.7
- Relative volume
- 0.80×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 43.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 85th percentile · High for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.79
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.31
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -18.4%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -39.6%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | Apr 8, 2025 | -51.6% | 992 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 14, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -11.6% | 8 days | 4 days (Feb 2, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $8.03B
- P/E (TTM)
- 15.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $7.22
- Revenue (TTM)
- $10.35B
- Dividend yield
- 1.03%
- 52-week range
- $98.22 – $143.78
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.14B | $12.65B | $14.41B | $11.66B | $10.08B |
| Gross profit | $2.51B | $2.96B | $3.74B | $2.84B | $2.50B |
| Operating income | $1.01B | $1.32B | $1.73B | $977.2M | $698.7M |
| Net income | $897.0M | $889.6M | $1.17B | -$424.8M | $726.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | $11.85 | $11.88 | $15.64 | -$5.69 | $9.75 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.60B | $2.89B | $2.05B | $2.63B | $2.48B | $2.92B | $2.34B | $2.61B |
| Net income | $30.0M | -$255.7M | $10.5M | $314.8M | $305.7M | $95.5M | $55.0M | $77.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.40 | -$3.43 | $0.14 | $4.21 | $4.09 | $1.29 | $0.76 | $1.08 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $682.9M | $838.2M | $1.10B | $689.9M | $988.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$269.8M | -$388.3M | -$518.1M | -$393.3M | -$247.9M |
| Free cash flow | $413.1M | $449.9M | $585.0M | $296.6M | $740.2M |
| Dividends paid | -$358.5M | -$404.3M | -$457.4M | -$273.1M | -$86.5M |
| Net share buybacks | -$135.0M | -$20.6M | -$53.0M | -$22.0M | -$250.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $573.4M
- Total assets
- $11.88B
- Total liabilities
- $7.51B
- Total debt
- $111.9M
- Net debt
- -$461.5M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $4.08B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | $0.30 | Sep 15, 2026 |
| May 15, 2026 | $0.30 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $0.29 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | $0.29 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | $0.29 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| May 15, 2025 | $0.29 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $0.29 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | $0.29 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,481,853
- Days to cover
- 2.64
- Change vs previous report
- -4.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Feb 1, 1996
- 2-for-1
- Dec 16, 1994
- 3-for-2