Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock AIRO
$6.59 +0.76% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $207.2M
Strong growthWeak trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Nov 13, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to -19.6% from -37.1% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 15.5% in a year.
- Over the past year the stock returned -66.3%, behind the S&P 500 by 81.3 percentage points.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 45%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 2%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 30%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 21%
- Gross marginTop 6%
- Operating marginBottom 11%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 6%
- Interest coverBottom 6%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 18%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 7%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 16%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 43%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 4%
- 6-month returnBottom 13%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 4%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 7%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 15%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 6%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 39%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 36%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 14%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 10%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 11%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 7%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.6% | 6.9% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 63.5% | 58.7% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -37.1% | -19.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 6.9% | 3.6% | ↑ | Bottom 45% |
| Gross margin | 58.7% | 63.5% | ↓ | Top 6% |
| Operating margin | -19.6% | -37.1% | ↑ | Bottom 11% |
| Net margin | -23.9% | -27.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -53.4% | — | — | |
| Return on invested capital | -2.9% | — | Bottom 21% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 74.6% | — | Top 2% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 3.3%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 21.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +86.3 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -29.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -28.97%
- Shareholder yield
- -28.97%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +15.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 13, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 5
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -3.2%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 1 of 5
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $13.00
- Target vs current price
- +97.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 3
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 67%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | +80.0% | +26.1% | +1.2% | -18.3% | — |
| May 14, 2026 | -71.0% | -15.5% | -23.6% | +8.0% | +7.8% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | -101.0% | -11.2% | +2.0% | -7.1% | -21.6% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | -380.0% | -20.8% | -38.4% | -33.3% | -27.8% |
| Aug 14, 2025 | +214.5% | +5.5% | +1.4% | -8.6% | -39.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | -$0.06 | -$0.30 | +80.0% | $43.2M |
| May 14, 2026 | -$0.49 | -$0.29 | -71.0% | $8.9M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | -$0.00 | $0.13 | -101.0% | $48.3M |
| Nov 14, 2025 | -$0.28 | $0.10 | -380.0% | $6.28B |
| Aug 14, 2025 | $0.30 | $0.10 | +214.5% | $24.6M |
| May 20, 2025 | -$0.12 | — | — | $11.8M |
| Feb 21, 2025 | -$0.03 | — | — | $39.7M |
| Sep 30, 2024 | -$1.16 | — | — | $23.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 1.79× | — | — | Top 43% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -27.47% | — | — | Bottom 7% |
| Earnings yield | -12.67% | — | — | Bottom 18% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -13.0%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -22.5%
- RSI (14)
- 37.4
- Relative volume
- 0.91×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 81.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 29th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.39
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.33
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -67.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -81.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2025 | May 19, 2026 | -81.1% | 232 days | Not yet recovered |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $207.2M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.83
- Revenue (TTM)
- $106.6M
- 52-week range
- $5.71 – $22.47
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.8M | $17.1M | $43.3M | $86.9M | $90.9M |
| Gross profit | $3.5M | $4.1M | $24.9M | $58.3M | $54.4M |
| Operating income | -$2.6M | -$27.0M | -$9.9M | -$17.4M | -$28.8M |
| Net income | -$20.5M | -$25.6M | -$32.5M | -$38.7M | -$4.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.82 | -$1.03 | -$1.30 | -$1.55 | -$0.17 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $23.7M | $39.7M | $11.8M | $24.6M | $6.3M | $48.3M | $8.9M | $43.2M |
| Net income | -$30.3M | -$754,183 | -$2.0M | $5.9M | -$8.0M | -$39,658 | -$15.5M | -$2.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.21 | -$0.03 | -$0.08 | $0.22 | -$0.28 | -$0.00 | -$0.49 | -$0.06 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$535,056 | -$5.3M | $22.1M | $21.5M | -$32.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$39,036 | -$78,812 | -$835,922 | -$789,131 | -$3.1M |
| Free cash flow | -$574,092 | -$5.4M | $21.3M | $20.7M | -$35.5M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $295,654 | $0 | $0 | $121.5M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $26.0M
- Total assets
- $757.0M
- Total liabilities
- $36.9M
- Total debt
- $9.8M
- Net debt
- -$16.2M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $720.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 13, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,125,956
- Days to cover
- 8.76
- Change vs previous report
- +4.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.