Stocks · Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty
Aemetis, Inc. AMTX
$1.72 -0.58% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $121.0M
Weak trendExpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to -5.0% from -19.5% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 22.9% in a year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 40%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 26%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 8%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 22%
- Gross marginBottom 18%
- Operating marginBottom 15%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 9%
- Interest coverBottom 25%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 3%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 1%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 19%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 44%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 19%
- 6-month returnBottom 5%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 20%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 14%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 26%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 28%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 50%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 27%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 17%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 10%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 17%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -7.6% | 3.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | -3.0% | 10.4% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -19.5% | -5.0% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -17.8% | -24.5% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 3.0% | -7.6% | ↑ | Bottom 40% |
| Gross margin | 10.4% | -3.0% | ↑ | Bottom 18% |
| Operating margin | -5.0% | -19.5% | ↑ | Bottom 15% |
| Net margin | -26.1% | -36.7% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -24.5% | -17.8% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -4.2% | — | Bottom 22% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -6.8% | — | Bottom 26% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -15.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 2.9%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -17.2 pp
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -0.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -25.15%
- Shareholder yield
- -25.15%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +22.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +24.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +13.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +3.6%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $3.17
- Target vs current price
- +84.3%
- Analysts with a rating
- 7
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 71%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +55.3% | +5.2% | +12.9% | +22.6% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | -22.2% | -3.7% | -31.8% | -24.1% | -53.1% |
| Mar 12, 2026 | +70.0% | +24.7% | +77.9% | +55.8% | +46.1% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | -48.0% | -14.6% | +0.0% | -20.9% | -17.5% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | -17.1% | -5.8% | +7.0% | -5.4% | -16.7% |
| May 8, 2025 | -20.5% | +4.6% | +19.2% | +32.3% | +114.6% |
| Mar 13, 2025 | +21.7% | -10.2% | +13.0% | -1.7% | +10.2% |
| Nov 12, 2024 | +19.1% | +28.7% | +5.3% | -13.9% | -40.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -$0.13 | -$0.29 | +55.3% | $62.7M |
| May 7, 2026 | -$0.33 | -$0.27 | -22.2% | $54.6M |
| Mar 12, 2026 | -$0.08 | -$0.27 | +70.0% | $53.7M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | -$0.37 | -$0.25 | -48.0% | $59.2M |
| Aug 7, 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.35 | -17.1% | $52.2M |
| May 8, 2025 | -$0.47 | -$0.39 | -20.5% | $42.9M |
| Mar 13, 2025 | -$0.36 | -$0.46 | +21.7% | $47.0M |
| Nov 12, 2024 | -$0.38 | -$0.47 | +19.1% | $81.4M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV / Sales | 2.35× | — | — | Bottom 44% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -46.63% | — | — | Bottom 1% |
| Earnings yield | -52.97% | — | — | Bottom 3% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +5.7%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.5%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -4.5%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -12.8%
- RSI (14)
- 42.1
- Relative volume
- 0.57×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 80.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 20th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.63
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.10
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -53.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -79.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | May 6, 2025 | -95.2% | 1024 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Nov 19, 2020 | -59.2% | 21 days | 43 days (Jan 25, 2021) |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Mar 5, 2021 | -30.1% | 2 days | 5 days (Mar 12, 2021) |
| Jan 25, 2021 | Jan 29, 2021 | -23.1% | 4 days | 11 days (Feb 16, 2021) |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Feb 18, 2021 | -13.5% | 2 days | 4 days (Feb 24, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $121.0M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.91
- Revenue (TTM)
- $230.2M
- 52-week range
- $1.30 – $3.80
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $211.9M | $256.5M | $186.7M | $267.6M | $208.0M |
| Gross profit | $7.9M | -$5.5M | $2.0M | -$580,000 | -$768,000 |
| Operating income | -$15.8M | -$34.4M | -$37.4M | -$40.4M | -$37.2M |
| Net income | -$47.1M | -$107.8M | -$46.4M | -$87.5M | -$77.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.54 | -$3.12 | -$1.22 | -$1.91 | -$1.28 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $81.4M | $47.0M | $42.9M | $52.2M | $59.2M | $53.7M | $54.6M | $62.7M |
| Net income | -$17.9M | -$16.2M | -$24.5M | -$23.4M | -$23.7M | -$5.3M | -$21.7M | -$9.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.38 | -$0.36 | -$0.47 | -$0.41 | -$0.37 | -$0.08 | -$0.33 | -$0.13 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$20.6M | -$22.9M | $13.8M | -$32.9M | $3.3M |
| Capital expenditure | -$26.7M | -$39.2M | -$33.1M | -$20.3M | -$26.0M |
| Free cash flow | -$47.3M | -$62.0M | -$19.3M | -$53.2M | -$22.7M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $104.6M | $12.0M | $21.7M | $31.8M | $28.3M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $973,000
- Total assets
- $289.2M
- Total liabilities
- $611.3M
- Total debt
- $419.9M
- Net debt
- $418.9M
- Shareholders’ equity
- -$322.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 9,213,400
- Days to cover
- 13.45
- Change vs previous report
- +5.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 15, 2016
- 4-for-1
- May 15, 2014
- 1-for-10