Stocks · Technology · Communication Equipment
Arlo Technologies, Inc. ARLO
$12.78 +0.08% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $1.39B
High quality
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 6 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +33.8%).
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $587.1M, up 15.6% from a year earlier, accelerating from 10.8% a quarter earlier.
- Operating margin widened to 2.7% from -2.2% a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Technology sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
Growth62Neutral
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 41%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 49%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 38%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 20%
Quality81Strong
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 32%
- Gross marginBottom 44%
- Operating marginBottom 42%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 28%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 28%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 16%
Value67Positive
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 39%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 37%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 50%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 31%
Momentum24Very weak
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 27%
- 6-month returnBottom 20%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 29%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 41%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 26%
Revisions96Exceptional
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 18%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 32%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 23%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 32%
Stability75Positive
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 24%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 29%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 26%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 16%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.8% | 15.6% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 40.2% | 46.0% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | -2.2% | 2.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 11.2% | 11.4% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 15.6% | 10.8% | ↑ | Top 41% |
| Gross margin | 46.0% | 40.2% | ↑ | Bottom 44% |
| Operating margin | 2.7% | -2.2% | ↑ | Bottom 42% |
| Net margin | 5.2% | -1.4% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 11.4% | 11.2% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 8.3% | — | Top 32% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 2.6% | — | Bottom 38% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.56×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -12.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 12.2%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -12.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- -2.44×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 4.16%
- Shareholder yield
- 4.16%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +2.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +6.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 6
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +33.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +0.8%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $18.67
- Target vs current price
- +46.1%
- Analysts with a rating
- 11
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 82%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +43.5% | -2.9% | -12.6% | -18.1% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | +47.4% | +2.3% | -13.2% | -11.3% | +2.9% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | +37.5% | +3.6% | +26.3% | +23.6% | +6.9% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | +6.7% | -4.3% | -12.0% | -18.7% | -28.2% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | +6.3% | +2.0% | +7.1% | +13.3% | +17.6% |
| May 8, 2025 | +25.0% | +2.3% | +32.1% | +55.9% | +54.9% |
| Feb 27, 2025 | +0.0% | +0.3% | +3.4% | -9.8% | +14.2% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +10.0% | +3.3% | -2.6% | +8.2% | -2.1% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.28 | $0.20 | +43.5% | $155.9M |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.28 | $0.19 | +47.4% | $150.4M |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $0.22 | $0.16 | +37.5% | $141.3M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.16 | $0.15 | +6.7% | $139.5M |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.17 | $0.16 | +6.3% | $129.4M |
| May 8, 2025 | $0.15 | $0.12 | +25.0% | $119.1M |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.10 | $0.10 | +0.0% | $121.6M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.11 | $0.10 | +10.0% | $137.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 47.3× | — | — | Top 39% |
| P/E (forward) | 13.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 32.9× | — | — | Top 50% |
| EV / Sales | 2.20× | — | — | Top 31% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 4.82% | — | — | Top 37% |
| Earnings yield | 2.11% | — | — | Top 39% |
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.5%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.6%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -6.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -5.3%
- RSI (14)
- 44.1
- Relative volume
- 1.06×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 43.7%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 15th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.92
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.48
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -34.3%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -50.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | -72.2% | 201 days | 142 days (Jul 17, 2023) |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -50.8% | 182 days | 42 days (Jun 9, 2025) |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Aug 19, 2021 | -45.4% | 139 days | 87 days (Dec 22, 2021) |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Feb 12, 2026 | -42.2% | 75 days | Not yet recovered |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Nov 13, 2023 | -30.9% | 68 days | 74 days (Mar 1, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.39B
- P/E (TTM)
- 47.3
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.27
- Revenue (TTM)
- $587.1M
- 52-week range
- $11.05 – $19.94
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $435.1M | $490.4M | $491.2M | $510.9M | $529.3M |
| Gross profit | $108.0M | $136.0M | $167.6M | $187.5M | $232.8M |
| Operating income | -$60.1M | -$56.9M | -$24.9M | -$34.9M | $6.1M |
| Net income | -$56.0M | -$56.6M | -$22.0M | -$30.5M | $14.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.68 | -$0.65 | -$0.24 | -$0.31 | $0.14 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $137.7M | $121.6M | $119.1M | $129.4M | $139.5M | $141.3M | $150.4M | $155.9M |
| Net income | -$4.4M | -$4.9M | -$835,000 | $3.1M | $6.9M | $5.8M | $14.9M | $3.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.04 | -$0.05 | -$0.01 | $0.03 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $0.13 | $0.03 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$23.2M | -$46.0M | $38.3M | $51.3M | $78.7M |
| Capital expenditure | -$2.3M | -$2.0M | -$2.8M | -$2.7M | -$11.8M |
| Free cash flow | -$25.5M | -$48.0M | $35.5M | $48.6M | $66.9M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$13.2M | -$18.2M | -$23.6M | -$4.4M | -$45.6M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $141.1M
- Total assets
- $374.6M
- Total liabilities
- $216.1M
- Total debt
- $5.7M
- Net debt
- -$95.7M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $158.5M
As of Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 12,399,928
- Days to cover
- 8.47
- Change vs previous report
- +6.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.