Stocks · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
AerSale Corporation ASLE
$5.04 +0.80% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $238.2M
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Nov 5, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $-0.05, down 136.8% year over year.
- Net debt is 6.8× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 5%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 9%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 12%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 4%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 26%
- Gross marginTop 48%
- Operating marginBottom 26%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 5%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 10%
- Interest coverBottom 26%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 30%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 11%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 48%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 33%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 13%
- 6-month returnBottom 23%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 14%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 27%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 15%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 6%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 16%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 9%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 5%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 29%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 19%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 50%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 10%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.2% | -13.4% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 30.4% | 28.9% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 3.7% | 0.6% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 0.2% | -12.9% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -13.4% | 6.2% | ↓ | Bottom 5% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -136.8% | — | Bottom 9% | |
| Gross margin | 28.9% | 30.4% | ↓ | Top 48% |
| Operating margin | 0.6% | 3.7% | ↓ | Bottom 26% |
| Net margin | -0.7% | 1.9% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -12.9% | 0.2% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 0.1% | — | Bottom 26% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -6.4% | — | Bottom 12% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- 4.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 2.0%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +15.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 6.80×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 0.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -0.08%
- Shareholder yield
- -0.08%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.9%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -2.7%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 2 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $13.50
- Target vs current price
- +167.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 4
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 25%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -238.5% | -2.2% | -12.6% | -15.1% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | -177.8% | +0.3% | -11.4% | -13.1% | -11.2% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | +6.7% | -3.3% | -14.9% | -17.7% | -12.9% |
| Nov 6, 2025 | -60.0% | -3.6% | -17.5% | -7.6% | +3.6% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +300.0% | +0.8% | +43.5% | +38.5% | +21.8% |
| May 7, 2025 | -138.5% | +0.0% | -13.4% | -14.3% | -16.1% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | -10.0% | +1.4% | +17.2% | +9.8% | -15.5% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | -20.0% | -1.0% | -3.0% | +3.0% | +15.3% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -$0.09 | $0.07 | -238.5% | $70.9M |
| May 7, 2026 | -$0.07 | $0.09 | -177.8% | $70.6M |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $0.16 | $0.15 | +6.7% | $90.9M |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $0.04 | $0.10 | -60.0% | $71.2M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.20 | $0.05 | +300.0% | $107.4M |
| May 7, 2025 | -$0.05 | $0.13 | -138.5% | $65.8M |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $0.09 | $0.10 | -10.0% | $94.7M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.04 | $0.05 | -20.0% | $82.7M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 32.5× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 16.0× | — | — | Top 48% |
| EV / Sales | 1.36× | — | — | Top 33% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -16.42% | — | — | Bottom 11% |
| Earnings yield | -1.02% | — | — | Bottom 30% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 0.0× – 123.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -36.9%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -136.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -63.1%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.3%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -11.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -22.6%
- RSI (14)
- 28.9
- Relative volume
- 1.26×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 33.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 5th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.05
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.33
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -38.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -72.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2021 | Oct 10, 2024 | -80.9% | 739 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Mar 5, 2021 | -42.8% | 46 days | 142 days (Sep 27, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $238.2M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.05
- Revenue (TTM)
- $303.7M
- 52-week range
- $5.00 – $8.58
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $340.4M | $408.5M | $334.5M | $345.1M | $335.3M |
| Gross profit | $119.4M | $151.4M | $92.4M | $103.9M | $105.8M |
| Operating income | $56.7M | $55.0M | -$10.8M | $9.7M | $15.8M |
| Net income | $36.1M | $43.9M | -$5.6M | $5.9M | $8.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.76 | $0.83 | -$0.15 | $0.11 | $0.18 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $82.7M | $94.7M | $65.8M | $107.4M | $71.2M | $90.9M | $70.6M | $70.9M |
| Net income | $509,000 | $2.7M | -$5.3M | $8.6M | $1.3M | $5.4M | -$3.5M | -$5.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.01 | $0.05 | -$0.10 | $0.18 | $0.03 | $0.11 | -$0.07 | -$0.12 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $79.1M | -$113,000 | -$174.2M | $11.2M | -$23.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$3.9M | -$15.6M | -$11.4M | -$29.0M | -$6.1M |
| Free cash flow | $75.2M | -$15.7M | -$185.5M | -$17.8M | -$29.1M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $9.3M | -$22.2M | $566,000 | $531,000 | -$44.6M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $2.2M
- Total assets
- $687.1M
- Total liabilities
- $268.4M
- Total debt
- $177.9M
- Net debt
- $175.7M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $418.7M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,911,618
- Days to cover
- 7.15
- Change vs previous report
- +15.7%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.