Stocks · Industrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

ATI Inc. ATI

$192.42 +0.67% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $26.26B

High qualityStrong trendExpensive vs sector

Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Over the past year the stock returned +131.8%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 116.7 percentage points.
  2. Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 7 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +13.5%).
  3. The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 358 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth69Positive

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 36%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 38%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 13%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 43%
  • Revenue growth accelerationTop 45%
Quality80Strong

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 18%
  • Gross marginBottom 37%
  • Operating marginTop 22%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 42%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 35%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 43%
  • Interest coverTop 31%
Value19Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 42%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 38%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 28%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 14%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 25%
Momentum89Strong

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthTop 1%
  • 6-month returnTop 20%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 3%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 41%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Top 27%
Revisions83Strong

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 30%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 17%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 33%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 48%
Stability48Neutral

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 49%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 29%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 15%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 43%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)2.9%4.6%↑
EPS growth (YoY)9.8%18.4%↑
Gross margin21.4%23.4%↑
Operating margin14.7%15.3%↑
FCF margin5.2%11.2%↑

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)4.6%2.9%↑Bottom 36%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)18.4%9.8%↑Top 38%
Gross margin23.4%21.4%↑Bottom 37%
Operating margin15.3%14.7%↑Top 22%
Net margin10.1%9.3%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin11.2%5.2%↑—
Return on invested capital12.6%—Top 18%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR6.1%—Top 43%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.69×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-5.7%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.6%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
-30.6 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
1.54×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
7.4×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
0.00%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
1.06%
Shareholder yield
1.06%
Share count change, 1 year
-4.9%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
-3.2%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
7
Beats in the last 8 reports
7 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+13.5%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+3.0%
Positive 20 days after report
4 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$248.00
Target vs current price
+28.9%
Analysts with a rating
31
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
68%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 6, 2026+19.4%+8.9%+12.3%-1.7%—
Apr 30, 2026+14.0%+6.3%+12.9%+16.6%+31.7%
Feb 3, 2026+4.5%+5.4%+11.4%+28.9%+20.1%
Oct 28, 2025+16.0%+7.4%+7.5%+6.5%+34.7%
Jul 31, 2025+2.8%-18.4%-21.0%-18.5%-5.0%
May 1, 2025+24.1%+14.5%+28.3%+46.7%+75.7%
Feb 4, 2025+31.7%+9.9%+9.1%-3.0%-6.2%
Oct 29, 2024-9.1%-10.1%-15.4%-4.9%-11.0%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 6, 2026$1.23$1.03+19.4%$1.26B
Apr 30, 2026$1.00$0.88+14.0%$1.15B
Feb 3, 2026$0.93$0.89+4.5%$1.18B
Oct 28, 2025$0.85$0.73+16.0%$1.13B
Jul 31, 2025$0.74$0.72+2.8%$1.14B
May 1, 2025$0.72$0.58+24.1%$1.14B
Feb 4, 2025$0.79$0.60+31.7%$1.17B
Oct 29, 2024$0.60$0.66-9.1%$1.05B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)56.4×22.7×82thBottom 42%
P/E (forward)38.1×———
EV / EBITDA30.3×——Bottom 28%
EV / Sales5.87×——Bottom 14%
Free-cash-flow yield2.00%——Bottom 38%
Earnings yield1.77%——Bottom 42%

P/E over the past five years

Range 11.0× – 248.4× since Sep 30, 2022. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
+131.8%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+18.4%
Change in P/E multiple
+145.2%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✓ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✓ Price above 200-day average
  • ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✓ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
358
50-day average slope (20 days)
+0.1%
200-day average slope (20 days)
+5.8%
Distance from 50-day average
-4.9%
Distance from 200-day average
+15.2%
RSI (14)
48.1
Relative volume
0.88×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
42.8%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
63th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
1.81
Correlation with S&P 500
0.58
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-17.0%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-38.0%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
May 27, 2021Dec 1, 2021-43.3%130 days59 days (Feb 25, 2022)
Jul 31, 2024Apr 8, 2025-38.0%172 days19 days (May 6, 2025)
Apr 14, 2022Jul 6, 2022-30.9%55 days25 days (Aug 10, 2022)
Jul 31, 2023Oct 20, 2023-25.4%58 days87 days (Feb 27, 2024)
Jul 28, 2025Aug 20, 2025-25.3%17 days48 days (Oct 28, 2025)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$26.26B
P/E (TTM)
56.4
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$3.41
Revenue (TTM)
$4.72B
52-week range
$79.29 – $243.57
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$2.80B$3.84B$4.17B$4.36B$4.59B
Gross profit$334.0M$714.2M$826.3M$913.5M$999.8M
Operating income$117.6M$316.1M$466.4M$608.9M$634.7M
Net income$184.6M$323.5M$410.8M$367.8M$404.3M
EPS (diluted)$1.31$2.23$2.81$2.55$2.85
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$1.05B$1.17B$1.14B$1.14B$1.13B$1.18B$1.15B$1.26B
Net income$82.7M$137.1M$97.0M$100.7M$110.0M$96.6M$118.2M$151.0M
EPS (diluted)$0.57$0.94$0.67$0.70$0.78$0.69$0.85$1.09
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$16.1M$224.9M$85.9M$407.2M$614.3M
Capital expenditure-$152.6M-$130.9M-$200.7M-$239.1M-$280.6M
Free cash flow-$136.5M$94.0M-$114.8M$168.1M$333.7M
Dividends paid$0$0$0$0$0
Net share buybacks-$4.8M-$145.6M-$96.4M-$286.0M-$504.1M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$783.0M
Total assets
$5.74B
Total liabilities
$3.74B
Total debt
$2.19B
Net debt
$1.41B
Shareholders’ equity
$1.88B

As of Jun 28, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Aug 16, 2016$0.08Sep 8, 2016
May 25, 2016$0.08Jun 9, 2016
Mar 9, 2016$0.08Mar 24, 2016
Dec 17, 2015$0.08Dec 30, 2015
Aug 17, 2015$0.18Sep 16, 2015
May 22, 2015$0.18Jun 17, 2015
Mar 9, 2015$0.18Mar 25, 2015
Dec 12, 2014$0.18Dec 24, 2014

Short interest

Shares sold short
4,335,143
Days to cover
2.79
Change vs previous report
+17.1%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Nov 30, 1999
1-for-2
Jul 2, 1993
2-for-1
Jul 3, 1990
3-for-2