Stocks · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
AeroVironment, Inc. AVAV
$140.82 +0.36% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $7.13B
Weak trendExpensive vs sectorHigh risk
Next earnings report: Dec 8, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $2.00B, up 84.4% from a year earlier, slowing from 140.9% a quarter earlier.
- Over the past year the stock returned -59.3%, behind the S&P 500 by 74.4 percentage points.
- The stock is 66% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 5%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 4%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 2%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 25%
- Gross marginBottom 45%
- Operating marginBottom 22%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 32%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 25%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 28%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 17%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 28%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 6%
- 6-month returnBottom 14%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 6%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 9%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 15%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 16%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 47%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 24%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 30%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 26%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 10%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 140.9% | 84.4% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 31.0% | 26.5% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -4.7% | -0.6% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | -17.7% | 0.1% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 84.4% | 140.9% | ↓ | Top 5% |
| Gross margin | 26.5% | 31.0% | ↓ | Bottom 45% |
| Operating margin | -0.6% | -4.7% | ↑ | Bottom 22% |
| Net margin | -14.5% | -4.1% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 0.1% | -17.7% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | -0.2% | — | Bottom 25% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 54.1% | — | Top 4% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -6.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -63.4 pp
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 13.59%
- Shareholder yield
- 13.59%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +6.3%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +23.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Aug 1, 2026 (filed Sep 10, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 3 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +35.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 7
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $220.33
- Target vs current price
- +56.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 30
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 60%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | +165.4% | -5.4% | +5.5% | — | — |
| Jun 29, 2026 | +26.0% | +0.8% | +28.2% | +11.8% | +13.2% |
| Mar 10, 2026 | -5.6% | -2.5% | -6.8% | -17.8% | -15.8% |
| Dec 9, 2025 | -43.3% | -0.4% | -16.7% | +12.7% | -18.6% |
| Sep 9, 2025 | -12.4% | -2.5% | +6.0% | +65.4% | +11.8% |
| Jun 24, 2025 | +16.7% | +1.1% | +49.0% | +37.3% | +42.3% |
| Mar 4, 2025 | -48.3% | -0.5% | -13.5% | -16.4% | +23.7% |
| Dec 4, 2024 | -34.7% | +2.0% | -20.4% | -19.0% | -26.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | $0.59 | $0.22 | +165.4% | $480.5M |
| Jun 29, 2026 | $1.84 | $1.46 | +26.0% | $641.6M |
| Mar 10, 2026 | $0.64 | $0.68 | -5.6% | $408.0M |
| Dec 9, 2025 | $0.44 | $0.78 | -43.3% | $472.5M |
| Sep 9, 2025 | $0.32 | $0.37 | -12.4% | $454.7M |
| Jun 24, 2025 | $1.61 | $1.38 | +16.7% | $275.1M |
| Mar 4, 2025 | $0.30 | $0.58 | -48.3% | $167.6M |
| Dec 4, 2024 | $0.47 | $0.72 | -34.7% | $188.5M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 42.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / Sales | 3.84× | — | — | Bottom 28% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 0.03% | — | — | Bottom 28% |
| Earnings yield | -4.13% | — | — | Bottom 25% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 80.1× – 151.6× since Apr 30, 2024. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.6%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -10.9%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -30.0%
- RSI (14)
- 37.9
- Relative volume
- 0.54×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 59.1%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 63th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 2.13
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.39
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -65.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -66.6%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | Jun 25, 2026 | -66.6% | 175 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 9, 2021 | Jan 28, 2022 | -61.0% | 245 days | 463 days (Dec 1, 2023) |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Apr 4, 2025 | -52.5% | 98 days | 56 days (Jun 26, 2025) |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Aug 5, 2024 | -25.2% | 32 days | 51 days (Oct 16, 2024) |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | -20.8% | 8 days | 37 days (May 9, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $7.13B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$5.82
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.00B
- 52-week range
- $135.20 – $417.86
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $445.7M | $540.5M | $716.7M | $820.6M | $1.98B |
| Gross profit | $141.2M | $173.5M | $283.9M | $322.9M | $500.6M |
| Operating income | -$9.9M | -$178.7M | $71.8M | $40.8M | -$70.3M |
| Net income | -$4.2M | -$176.2M | $59.7M | $43.6M | -$265.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.36 | -$6.94 | $2.18 | $1.55 | -$5.40 |
| Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | Q1 2027 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $188.5M | $167.6M | $275.1M | $454.7M | $472.5M | $408.0M | $641.6M | $480.5M |
| Net income | $7.5M | -$1.8M | $16.7M | -$67.4M | -$17.1M | -$243.8M | -$24.1M | -$5.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.27 | -$0.06 | $0.59 | -$1.44 | -$0.34 | -$4.90 | -$0.48 | -$0.10 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | -$9.6M | $11.4M | $15.3M | -$1.3M | -$78.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$22.3M | -$14.9M | -$24.5M | -$22.8M | -$86.2M |
| Free cash flow | -$31.9M | -$3.5M | -$9.2M | -$24.1M | -$164.6M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $2.8M | $104.6M | $88.4M | $855,000 | $967.1M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $580.2M
- Total assets
- $5.73B
- Total liabilities
- $1.33B
- Total debt
- $850.8M
- Net debt
- $572.4M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $4.40B
As of Aug 1, 2026 (filed Sep 10, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 4,515,776
- Days to cover
- 1.41
- Change vs previous report
- +4.9%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.