Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Mission Produce, Inc. AVO
$12.81 -0.08% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.13B
Expensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Dec 17, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.03, up 263.2% year over year.
- The diluted share count rose 16.6% in a year.
- Net debt is 7.0× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 14%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 3%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 6%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 21%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 11%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 20%
- Gross marginBottom 10%
- Operating marginBottom 33%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 10%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 19%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 11%
- Interest coverBottom 40%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 27%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 14%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 23%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 47%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 19%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 36%
- 6-month returnBottom 41%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 31%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 29%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 36%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 13%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 47%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 35%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 25%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 46%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 11%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -10.5% | -6.2% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 11.3% | 11.4% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 4.6% | 3.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 0.9% | -0.2% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -6.2% | -10.5% | ↑ | Bottom 14% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 263.2% | — | Top 3% | |
| Gross margin | 11.4% | 11.3% | ↑ | Bottom 10% |
| Operating margin | 3.2% | 4.6% | ↓ | Bottom 33% |
| Net margin | 0.1% | 2.7% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -0.2% | 0.9% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 0.7% | — | Bottom 20% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 10.0% | — | Top 21% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -2.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +71.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 7.00×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 3.9×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.88%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.88%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +16.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +5.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jul 31, 2026 (filed Sep 8, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +12.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 7
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $16.00
- Target vs current price
- +24.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 6
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 83%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | +56.5% | +1.5% | +1.0% | — | — |
| Jun 8, 2026 | -85.7% | -1.1% | +9.6% | +31.6% | +25.4% |
| Mar 12, 2026 | +42.9% | -0.7% | -6.2% | +10.4% | -23.3% |
| Dec 18, 2025 | +34.8% | -0.1% | -10.5% | -5.3% | -7.5% |
| Sep 8, 2025 | +100.0% | +1.9% | +0.9% | -4.0% | -4.1% |
| Jun 5, 2025 | +300.0% | -0.8% | +8.9% | +14.2% | +18.2% |
| Mar 10, 2025 | +900.0% | -1.3% | -15.6% | -15.6% | -7.0% |
| Dec 19, 2024 | +250.0% | -2.2% | +14.7% | -1.5% | -19.6% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | $0.18 | $0.12 | +56.5% | $450.0M |
| Jun 8, 2026 | $0.01 | $0.07 | -85.7% | $290.9M |
| Mar 12, 2026 | $0.10 | $0.07 | +42.9% | $278.6M |
| Dec 18, 2025 | $0.31 | $0.23 | +34.8% | $319.0M |
| Sep 8, 2025 | $0.26 | $0.13 | +100.0% | $357.7M |
| Jun 5, 2025 | $0.12 | $0.03 | +300.0% | $380.3M |
| Mar 10, 2025 | $0.10 | $0.01 | +900.0% | $334.2M |
| Dec 19, 2024 | $0.28 | $0.08 | +250.0% | $354.4M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 405.4× | 36.7× | 79th | Bottom 27% |
| P/E (forward) | 20.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 23.8× | — | — | Bottom 23% |
| EV / Sales | 1.20× | — | — | Top 47% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.20% | — | — | Bottom 14% |
| Earnings yield | 0.25% | — | — | Bottom 27% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 24.8× – 496.2× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +6.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +263.2%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -17.9%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.7%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -0.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -0.8%
- RSI (14)
- 48.4
- Relative volume
- 0.84×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 31.0%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 29th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.42
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.17
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -16.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -34.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2021 | Nov 30, 2023 | -62.7% | 622 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 12, 2021 | Mar 30, 2021 | -16.7% | 31 days | 47 days (Jun 7, 2021) |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Oct 7, 2020 | -14.1% | 4 days | 23 days (Nov 9, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.13B
- P/E (TTM)
- 405.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.03
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.34B
- 52-week range
- $10.07 – $15.53
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $891.7M | $1.05B | $953.9M | $1.23B | $1.39B |
| Gross profit | $124.5M | $89.8M | $83.3M | $152.5M | $160.7M |
| Operating income | $60.9M | -$37.2M | $6.9M | $65.7M | $65.2M |
| Net income | $44.9M | -$34.6M | -$2.8M | $36.7M | $37.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.63 | -$0.49 | -$0.04 | $0.52 | $0.53 |
| Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $354.4M | $334.2M | $380.3M | $357.7M | $319.0M | $278.6M | $290.9M | $450.0M |
| Net income | $17.3M | $3.9M | $3.1M | $14.7M | $16.0M | -$700,000 | -$7.2M | -$6.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.30 | $0.06 | $0.04 | $0.21 | $0.22 | -$0.01 | -$0.10 | -$0.08 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $47.0M | $35.2M | $29.2M | $93.4M | $88.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$73.4M | -$61.2M | -$49.8M | -$32.2M | -$51.4M |
| Free cash flow | -$26.4M | -$26.0M | -$20.6M | $61.2M | $37.2M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $200,000 | $100,000 | -$500,000 | -$800,000 | -$5.8M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $47.1M
- Total assets
- $1.61B
- Total liabilities
- $807.0M
- Total debt
- $518.6M
- Net debt
- $471.5M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $764.0M
As of Jul 31, 2026 (filed Sep 8, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 5,097,254
- Days to cover
- 6.41
- Change vs previous report
- +4.0%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.