Stocks · Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. AXTA
$32.20 +1.10% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $6.89B
Inexpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.62, down 20.2% year over year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $5.15B, down 0.9% from a year earlier.
- Operating margin narrowed to 13.2% from 14.8% a year earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 26%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 38%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 33%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 37%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 50%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 42%
- Gross marginTop 36%
- Operating marginTop 34%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 34%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 42%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 33%
- Interest coverBottom 49%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 26%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 21%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 25%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 49%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 24%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 36%
- 6-month returnTop 20%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 40%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 24%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 25%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 43%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 32%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 13%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 19%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 19%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 22%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 50%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 33%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -2.6% | -0.9% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -16.2% | -20.2% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 33.7% | 32.6% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 14.8% | 13.2% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 8.0% | 9.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -0.9% | -2.6% | ↑ | Bottom 26% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -20.2% | -16.2% | ↓ | Bottom 38% |
| Gross margin | 32.6% | 33.7% | ↓ | Top 36% |
| Operating margin | 13.2% | 14.8% | ↓ | Top 34% |
| Net margin | 6.8% | 8.6% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 9.6% | 8.0% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 7.4% | — | Top 42% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 1.6% | — | Top 37% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.01×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.6%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -2.5 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.68×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 1.55%
- Shareholder yield
- 1.55%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -1.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.2%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 7 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +6.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +2.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $36.67
- Target vs current price
- +13.9%
- Analysts with a rating
- 28
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 32%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +11.3% | +5.0% | +7.5% | +6.9% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +12.0% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +7.0% | +19.6% |
| Feb 10, 2026 | -1.7% | +0.6% | +2.2% | -15.0% | -16.5% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +4.7% | +2.2% | -3.3% | +1.8% | +15.7% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | +4.9% | -0.1% | -0.1% | +9.6% | -1.7% |
| May 7, 2025 | +9.3% | -4.7% | -0.7% | -7.9% | -16.4% |
| Feb 4, 2025 | +15.4% | +8.3% | +7.0% | -2.3% | -7.4% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | +15.7% | +8.2% | +8.5% | +14.9% | +4.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $0.72 | $0.65 | +11.3% | $1.35B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $0.56 | $0.50 | +12.0% | $1.25B |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $0.59 | $0.60 | -1.7% | $1.26B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $0.67 | $0.64 | +4.7% | $1.29B |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.64 | $0.61 | +4.9% | $1.30B |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.59 | $0.54 | +9.3% | $1.26B |
| Feb 4, 2025 | $0.60 | $0.52 | +15.4% | $1.31B |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $0.59 | $0.51 | +15.7% | $1.32B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 19.9× | 25.7× | 24th | Top 26% |
| P/E (forward) | 12.2× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 10.2× | — | — | Top 25% |
| EV / Sales | 1.81× | — | — | Top 49% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 7.18% | — | — | Top 21% |
| Earnings yield | 5.03% | — | — | Top 26% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 14.1× – 33.7× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +14.7%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -20.2%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +52.3%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 1
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.1%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -8.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +0.1%
- RSI (14)
- 38.6
- Relative volume
- 1.32×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 29.7%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 59th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.00
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.47
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -15.7%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -38.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | Mar 20, 2026 | -38.4% | 328 days | Not yet recovered |
| May 7, 2021 | Sep 30, 2022 | -37.5% | 353 days | 304 days (Dec 15, 2023) |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 27, 2021 | -13.8% | 10 days | 55 days (Apr 16, 2021) |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Feb 13, 2024 | -10.5% | 31 days | 30 days (Mar 27, 2024) |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | -10.3% | 14 days | 9 days (May 2, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $6.89B
- P/E (TTM)
- 19.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.62
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.15B
- 52-week range
- $24.94 – $38.61
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.42B | $4.88B | $5.18B | $5.28B | $5.12B |
| Gross profit | $1.43B | $1.42B | $1.62B | $1.80B | $1.67B |
| Operating income | $462.4M | $423.0M | $588.0M | $706.0M | $764.0M |
| Net income | $263.9M | $192.0M | $267.0M | $391.0M | $378.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.14 | $0.86 | $1.21 | $1.78 | $1.74 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.32B | $1.31B | $1.26B | $1.30B | $1.29B | $1.26B | $1.25B | $1.35B |
| Net income | $101.0M | $137.0M | $99.0M | $109.0M | $110.0M | $60.0M | $90.0M | $89.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.46 | $0.62 | $0.45 | $0.50 | $0.51 | $0.28 | $0.42 | $0.41 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $558.6M | $293.8M | $575.3M | $576.0M | $649.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$121.6M | -$150.9M | -$137.9M | -$140.0M | -$196.0M |
| Free cash flow | $437.0M | $142.9M | $437.4M | $436.0M | $453.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$229.4M | -$200.1M | -$50.0M | -$100.0M | -$168.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $633.0M
- Total assets
- $7.70B
- Total liabilities
- $5.13B
- Total debt
- $3.07B
- Net debt
- $2.44B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.52B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 29, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 7,960,927
- Days to cover
- 4.58
- Change vs previous report
- -16.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.