Stocks · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
Boise Cascade Company BCC
$74.99 +0.39% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $2.64B
Next earnings report: Nov 2, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $2.95, down 56.7% year over year.
- The shares trade at 25.4× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- The diluted share count fell 6.8% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 22%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 24%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 22%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 43%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 45%
- Gross marginBottom 25%
- Operating marginBottom 29%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 21%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 47%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 36%
- Interest coverTop 41%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 37%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 41%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 23%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 2%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 6%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 35%
- 6-month returnTop 34%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 42%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 26%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 42%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 19%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 21%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 15%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 39%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 41%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 38%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 35%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 36%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -3.8% | -1.5% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -63.0% | -56.7% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 18.2% | 15.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 5.3% | 2.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -0.2% | 1.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -1.5% | -3.8% | ↑ | Bottom 22% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -56.7% | -63.0% | ↑ | Bottom 24% |
| Gross margin | 15.2% | 18.2% | ↓ | Bottom 25% |
| Operating margin | 2.5% | 5.3% | ↓ | Bottom 29% |
| Net margin | 1.6% | 4.0% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 1.6% | -0.2% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 4.3% | — | Bottom 45% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -8.6% | — | Bottom 22% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.61×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -5.0%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.2%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +12.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.78×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 6.7×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.30%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 7.78%
- Shareholder yield
- 9.08%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -6.8%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -4.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 4 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +27.8%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $94.50
- Target vs current price
- +26.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 12
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 33%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | +32.5% | +8.7% | +13.4% | +3.1% | — |
| May 4, 2026 | +16.3% | -4.9% | -9.5% | -12.5% | -0.6% |
| Feb 23, 2026 | +62.5% | -1.9% | +0.7% | -16.8% | -17.7% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | +0.0% | -3.1% | +0.2% | +6.6% | +13.9% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | -3.0% | -0.8% | -1.5% | +4.4% | -12.4% |
| May 5, 2025 | -22.1% | -3.8% | -7.8% | -11.5% | -11.7% |
| Feb 20, 2025 | -2.2% | -1.5% | -12.0% | -15.2% | -23.1% |
| Nov 4, 2024 | +0.4% | +0.0% | +6.0% | +9.9% | -6.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | $1.63 | $1.23 | +32.5% | $1.83B |
| May 4, 2026 | $0.50 | $0.43 | +16.3% | $1.50B |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.26 | $0.16 | +62.5% | $1.46B |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.58 | $0.58 | +0.0% | $1.67B |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $1.64 | $1.69 | -3.0% | $1.74B |
| May 5, 2025 | $1.06 | $1.36 | -22.1% | $1.54B |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $1.78 | $1.82 | -2.2% | $1.57B |
| Nov 4, 2024 | $2.33 | $2.32 | +0.4% | $1.71B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 25.4× | 10.8× | 95th | Top 37% |
| P/E (forward) | 19.1× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 9.7× | — | — | Top 23% |
| EV / Sales | 0.44× | — | — | Top 2% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.91% | — | — | Top 41% |
| Earnings yield | 3.93% | — | — | Top 37% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 2.9× – 28.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -3.1%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -56.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +131.7%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.0%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -5.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -3.0%
- RSI (14)
- 43.2
- Relative volume
- 0.86×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 38.3%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 47th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.85
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.36
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -17.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -57.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | May 19, 2026 | -57.3% | 536 days | Not yet recovered |
| May 10, 2021 | Jul 19, 2021 | -36.7% | 48 days | 137 days (Feb 1, 2022) |
| May 4, 2022 | Sep 26, 2022 | -34.9% | 99 days | 189 days (Jun 28, 2023) |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Feb 23, 2022 | -22.4% | 4 days | 49 days (May 4, 2022) |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Oct 25, 2023 | -19.8% | 56 days | 14 days (Nov 14, 2023) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $2.64B
- P/E (TTM)
- 25.4
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.95
- Revenue (TTM)
- $6.46B
- Dividend yield
- 1.19%
- 52-week range
- $65.00 – $91.97
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.93B | $8.39B | $6.84B | $6.72B | $6.40B |
| Gross profit | $1.63B | $1.91B | $1.43B | $1.33B | $895.7M |
| Operating income | $971.8M | $1.16B | $624.4M | $490.0M | $179.7M |
| Net income | $712.5M | $857.7M | $483.7M | $376.4M | $132.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | $17.97 | $21.56 | $12.12 | $9.57 | $3.52 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.71B | $1.57B | $1.54B | $1.74B | $1.67B | $1.46B | $1.50B | $1.83B |
| Net income | $91.0M | $68.9M | $40.3M | $62.0M | $21.8M | $8.7M | $17.8M | $57.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.33 | $1.78 | $1.06 | $1.64 | $0.58 | $0.24 | $0.50 | $1.63 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $667.0M | $1.04B | $687.5M | $438.3M | $254.1M |
| Capital expenditure | -$106.5M | -$114.1M | -$215.4M | -$229.6M | -$241.4M |
| Free cash flow | $560.5M | $927.1M | $472.0M | $208.8M | $12.7M |
| Dividends paid | -$213.7M | -$159.6M | -$346.5M | -$228.8M | -$34.6M |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | -$6.4M | -$194.9M | -$183.1M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $304.8M
- Total assets
- $3.39B
- Total liabilities
- $1.36B
- Total debt
- $536.6M
- Net debt
- $231.8M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.03B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 3, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | $0.23 | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | $0.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.22 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | $0.22 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Sep 2, 2025 | $0.22 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Jun 2, 2025 | $0.21 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $0.21 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Dec 2, 2024 | $0.21 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 1,617,596
- Days to cover
- 5.41
- Change vs previous report
- +6.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.