Stocks · Financial Services · Asset Management

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. BCSF

$11.05 -0.36% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $716.8M

Weak trend

Next earnings report: Nov 9, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. The shares trade at 11.1× trailing earnings, higher than 90% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
  2. Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.99, down 42.3% year over year.
  3. Net debt is 12.8× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Financial Services sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.

Growth7Very weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 16%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 15%
  • FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 15%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 38%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 43%
Quality61Neutral

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalTop 34%
  • Gross marginTop 47%
  • Operating marginTop 5%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 49%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Top 46%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 9%
  • Interest coverTop 40%
Value38Weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldTop 25%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldTop 34%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 42%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 9%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 14%
Momentum8Very weak

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 13%
  • 6-month returnBottom 9%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 14%
  • Distance from 52-week highBottom 19%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 9%
Revisions18Very weak

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 31%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 43%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 8%
  • Upside to consensus price targetBottom 48%
Stability22Very weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 46%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 24%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 49%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 9%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)-5.1%-6.1%↓
EPS growth (YoY)-36.5%-42.3%↓
Gross margin61.2%66.6%↑
Operating margin54.6%56.7%↑
FCF margin54.6%38.7%↓

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)-6.1%-5.1%↓Bottom 16%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)-42.3%-36.5%↓Bottom 15%
Gross margin66.6%61.2%↑Top 47%
Operating margin56.7%54.6%↑Top 5%
Net margin33.2%52.4%↓—
Free-cash-flow margin38.7%54.6%↓—
Return on invested capital4.0%—Top 34%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR12.3%—Bottom 38%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
1.17×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-0.4%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.0%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
+51.2 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
12.82×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
1.4×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
13.30%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
0.00%
Shareholder yield
13.30%
Share count change, 1 year
+0.0%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+0.2%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
1
Beats in the last 8 reports
6 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+0.5%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
-1.1%
Positive 20 days after report
4 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$12.67
Target vs current price
+14.7%
Analysts with a rating
8
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
13%
Consensus rating
Hold

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Aug 10, 2026+4.3%-1.2%-4.3%-9.8%—
May 11, 2026-4.5%-2.6%-2.2%-5.9%-7.2%
Feb 26, 2026+2.2%-3.9%-3.9%-6.5%+0.2%
Nov 10, 2025+0.0%+0.2%+0.0%+4.3%-5.6%
Aug 5, 2025+9.3%+0.5%+2.9%+6.3%-1.8%
May 5, 2025+4.2%-1.2%-1.9%+1.0%-3.2%
Feb 27, 2025+6.1%-0.9%-5.2%-9.9%-18.3%
Nov 5, 2024+6.0%+0.2%+3.4%+4.3%+10.7%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Aug 10, 2026$0.44$0.42+4.3%$62.3M
May 11, 2026$0.42$0.44-4.5%$66.2M
Feb 26, 2026$0.46$0.45+2.2%$68.2M
Nov 10, 2025$0.45$0.45+0.0%$42.7M
Aug 5, 2025$0.47$0.43+9.3%$73.7M
May 5, 2025$0.50$0.48+4.2%$52.0M
Feb 27, 2025$0.52$0.49+6.1%$27.1M
Nov 5, 2024$0.53$0.50+6.0%$55.7M

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)11.1×8.4×90thTop 25%
P/E (forward)6.7×———
EV / EBITDA19.4×——Bottom 42%
EV / Sales10.92×——Bottom 9%
Free-cash-flow yield10.40%——Top 34%
Earnings yield8.98%——Top 25%

P/E over the past five years

Range 5.9× – 13.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-21.1%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
-42.3%
Change in P/E multiple
+52.1%

Most of the move came from earnings growth.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✓ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-4.4%
200-day average slope (20 days)
-2.3%
Distance from 50-day average
-7.4%
Distance from 200-day average
-13.6%
RSI (14)
35.8
Relative volume
0.96×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
21.4%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
60th percentile · Normal for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.69
Correlation with S&P 500
0.50
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-24.3%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-42.1%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Feb 28, 2025Sep 30, 2026-42.1%398 daysNot yet recovered
Apr 20, 2022May 4, 2023-31.3%261 days93 days (Sep 18, 2023)
Sep 28, 2020Oct 28, 2020-16.9%22 days9 days (Nov 10, 2020)
Sep 19, 2023Oct 25, 2023-12.2%26 days129 days (May 1, 2024)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$716.8M
P/E (TTM)
11.1
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$0.99
Revenue (TTM)
$192.6M
Dividend yield
16.83%
52-week range
$10.95 – $14.70
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$175.4M$168.8M$218.0M$212.9M$239.2M
Gross profit$124.1M$116.5M$138.0M$138.2M$183.9M
Operating income$119.9M$106.3M$126.7M$123.9M$180.9M
Net income$119.8M$105.5M$123.4M$119.4M$98.8M
EPS (diluted)$1.86$1.63$1.91$1.85$1.52
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$55.7M$48.0M$52.0M$49.4M$42.7M$51.0M$53.6M$45.3M
Net income$33.1M$22.1M$28.5M$23.7M$18.7M$27.8M$3.4M$14.1M
EPS (diluted)$0.51$0.34$0.50$0.37$0.29$0.43$0.05$0.22
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$54.5M$114.2M$125.9M$112.6M$29.5M
Capital expenditure$0$0$0$0$0
Free cash flow$54.5M$114.2M$125.9M$112.6M$29.5M
Dividends paid-$87.8M-$87.8M-$99.4M-$114.3M-$145.8M
Net share buybacks$0$0$0$0$5.5M

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$115.7M
Total assets
$2.62B
Total liabilities
$1.54B
Total debt
$1.50B
Net debt
$1.39B
Shareholders’ equity
$1.08B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 10, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Sep 15, 2026$0.42Sep 29, 2026
Jun 15, 2026$0.42Jun 29, 2026
Mar 16, 2026$0.42Mar 30, 2026
Dec 31, 2025$0.15Jan 26, 2026
Dec 16, 2025$0.45Dec 30, 2025
Sep 16, 2025$0.45Sep 30, 2025
Jun 16, 2025$0.45Jun 30, 2025
Mar 17, 2025$0.45Mar 31, 2025

Short interest

Shares sold short
1,650,718
Days to cover
3.09
Change vs previous report
+10.1%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

May 12, 2020
1,019-for-1,000