Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
B&G Foods, Inc. BGS
$2.69 -8.19% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $218.3M
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Nov 11, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Operating margin widened to 10.2% from -6.8% a year earlier.
- Net debt is 14.6× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 17%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 17%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 9%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 29%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 38%
- Gross marginBottom 25%
- Operating marginTop 35%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 40%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 3%
- Interest coverBottom 23%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 8%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 2%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 35%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 49%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 26%
- 6-month returnBottom 5%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 18%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 11%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 41%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 9%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 17%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 36%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 16%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 15%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 3%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -3.7% | -4.9% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 21.0% | 20.8% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | -6.8% | 10.2% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 6.7% | 3.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -4.9% | -3.7% | ↓ | Bottom 17% |
| Gross margin | 20.8% | 21.0% | ↓ | Bottom 25% |
| Operating margin | 10.2% | -6.8% | ↑ | Top 35% |
| Net margin | -4.0% | -12.0% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 3.6% | 6.7% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 4.9% | — | Bottom 38% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -5.4% | — | Bottom 9% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +15.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 14.56×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 27.95%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.09%
- Shareholder yield
- 28.03%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +1.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +3.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jul 4, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 3 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +11.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -3.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $4.33
- Target vs current price
- +61.0%
- Analysts with a rating
- 17
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 18%
- Consensus rating
- Hold
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | +8.4% | +0.3% | +1.5% | -2.9% | — |
| May 12, 2026 | +0.0% | -0.4% | -19.6% | -24.2% | -32.8% |
| Mar 3, 2026 | +0.0% | -2.5% | +7.7% | -1.5% | -19.9% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | +36.4% | +1.5% | +20.7% | +16.1% | +13.8% |
| Aug 4, 2025 | -42.9% | -0.7% | -1.7% | +8.9% | +4.1% |
| May 7, 2025 | -71.4% | -25.2% | -31.9% | -35.2% | -34.4% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | +3.3% | +1.3% | -1.5% | +1.5% | -37.5% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | -35.0% | +1.8% | -22.1% | -20.9% | -26.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +8.4% | $383.3M |
| May 12, 2026 | $0.08 | $0.08 | +0.0% | $408.9M |
| Mar 3, 2026 | $0.28 | $0.28 | +0.0% | $539.6M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.15 | $0.11 | +36.4% | $439.3M |
| Aug 4, 2025 | $0.04 | $0.07 | -42.9% | $424.4M |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.04 | $0.14 | -71.4% | $425.4M |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $0.31 | $0.30 | +3.3% | $551.6M |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $0.13 | $0.20 | -35.0% | $461.1M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 4.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 16.2× | — | — | Bottom 35% |
| EV / Sales | 1.24× | — | — | Top 49% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 29.27% | — | — | Top 2% |
| Earnings yield | -33.09% | — | — | Bottom 8% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 16.6× – 42.7× since Jul 3, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -8.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -3.3%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -19.3%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -37.5%
- RSI (14)
- 28.9
- Relative volume
- 1.20×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 42.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 39th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.11
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.03
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -54.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -77.4%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | Oct 2, 2026 | -93.5% | 1427 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 22, 2020 | Jan 12, 2021 | -14.0% | 13 days | 8 days (Jan 25, 2021) |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Nov 18, 2020 | -10.7% | 24 days | 16 days (Dec 11, 2020) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $218.3M
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$0.89
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.77B
- Dividend yield
- 21.19%
- 52-week range
- $2.68 – $6.38
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.06B | $2.16B | $2.06B | $1.93B | $1.83B |
| Gross profit | $437.0M | $409.6M | $455.5M | $421.9M | $382.1M |
| Operating income | $196.1M | $98.6M | $80.4M | -$177.3M | $198.2M |
| Net income | $67.4M | -$11.4M | -$66.2M | -$251.3M | -$43.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.02 | -$0.16 | -$0.89 | -$3.18 | -$0.54 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $461.1M | $551.6M | $425.4M | $424.4M | $439.3M | $539.6M | $408.9M | $383.3M |
| Net income | $7.5M | -$222.4M | $835,000 | -$9.8M | -$19.1M | -$15.2M | -$32.5M | -$4.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.09 | -$2.81 | $0.01 | -$0.12 | -$0.24 | -$0.19 | -$0.41 | -$0.05 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $93.9M | $6.0M | $247.8M | $130.9M | $101.4M |
| Capital expenditure | -$43.6M | -$22.3M | -$25.7M | -$27.3M | -$30.6M |
| Free cash flow | $50.3M | -$16.3M | $222.1M | $103.7M | $70.7M |
| Dividends paid | -$122.9M | -$133.4M | -$56.0M | -$60.0M | -$60.6M |
| Net share buybacks | $110.2M | $65.2M | $73.8M | -$615,000 | $0 |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $591.6M
- Total assets
- $3.36B
- Total liabilities
- $2.96B
- Total debt
- $2.58B
- Net debt
- $1.98B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $395.1M
As of Jul 4, 2026 (filed Aug 12, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $0.10 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $0.10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $0.19 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $0.19 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $0.19 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $0.19 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Mar 31, 2025 | $0.19 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | $0.19 | Jan 30, 2025 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 13,281,459
- Days to cover
- 6.34
- Change vs previous report
- -1.1%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.