Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. BJ
$94.96 +0.64% Close, Oct 2, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $12.12B
Strong growthLow risk
Next earnings report: Nov 20, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 13 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +8.1%).
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $22.81B, up 9.1% from a year earlier, accelerating from 5.9% a quarter earlier.
- The diluted share count fell 3.6% in a year, mainly through buybacks.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 26%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 43%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 33%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 46%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 18%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 24%
- Gross marginBottom 22%
- Operating marginBottom 37%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 42%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 46%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 42%
- Interest coverTop 22%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 36%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 26%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 48%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 24%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 34%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 39%
- 6-month returnTop 46%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 33%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 11%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 5%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 45%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 6%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 48%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 30%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 34%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 17%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 1%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 42%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 5.9% | 9.1% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 1.2% | 4.8% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 18.7% | 18.2% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 4.0% | 3.9% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 1.4% | 1.6% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 9.1% | 5.9% | ↑ | Top 26% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 4.8% | 1.2% | ↑ | Top 43% |
| Gross margin | 18.2% | 18.7% | ↓ | Bottom 22% |
| Operating margin | 3.9% | 4.0% | ↓ | Bottom 37% |
| Net margin | 2.6% | 2.8% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 1.6% | 1.4% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 11.9% | — | Top 24% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 3.6% | — | Top 46% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.87×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -6.5%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.2%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +4.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.34×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 19.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 4.62%
- Shareholder yield
- 4.62%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -3.6%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Aug 1, 2026 (filed Aug 25, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 13
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +8.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +1.0%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $110.00
- Target vs current price
- +15.8%
- Analysts with a rating
- 27
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 48%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | +16.2% | +5.6% | -0.9% | +0.8% | — |
| May 22, 2026 | +6.8% | -8.2% | -9.7% | -11.2% | -1.8% |
| Mar 5, 2026 | +2.8% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -5.4% | -14.7% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | +6.4% | +1.1% | -1.5% | +4.5% | +9.5% |
| Aug 22, 2025 | +4.6% | -8.5% | -8.8% | -9.5% | -11.1% |
| May 22, 2025 | +23.4% | -1.3% | -5.5% | -6.1% | -10.7% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | +5.9% | +12.2% | +8.5% | +14.9% | +13.1% |
| Nov 21, 2024 | +29.7% | +8.3% | +12.9% | +9.7% | +20.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | $1.36 | $1.17 | +16.2% | $6.23B |
| May 22, 2026 | $1.10 | $1.03 | +6.8% | $5.66B |
| Mar 5, 2026 | $0.96 | $0.93 | +2.8% | $5.58B |
| Nov 21, 2025 | $1.16 | $1.09 | +6.4% | $5.35B |
| Aug 22, 2025 | $1.14 | $1.09 | +4.6% | $5.38B |
| May 22, 2025 | $1.14 | $0.92 | +23.4% | $5.15B |
| Mar 6, 2025 | $0.93 | $0.88 | +5.9% | $5.28B |
| Nov 21, 2024 | $1.18 | $0.91 | +29.7% | $5.10B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 20.8× | 20.4× | 57th | Top 36% |
| P/E (forward) | 20.1× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 12.7× | — | — | Bottom 48% |
| EV / Sales | 0.65× | — | — | Top 24% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 3.00% | — | — | Bottom 26% |
| Earnings yield | 4.81% | — | — | Top 36% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 16.3× – 27.3× since Jul 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +4.6%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +4.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- -7.0%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 2
- Days above the 200-day average
- 2
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +1.2%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +1.5%
- RSI (14)
- 54.3
- Relative volume
- 1.37×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 30.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 65th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- -0.32
- Correlation with S&P 500
- -0.17
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -7.6%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -30.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | Jun 22, 2026 | -30.1% | 297 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 18, 2021 | May 20, 2022 | -27.3% | 126 days | 61 days (Aug 18, 2022) |
| Nov 10, 2022 | Jun 16, 2023 | -23.7% | 149 days | 232 days (May 20, 2024) |
| Jan 27, 2021 | Mar 4, 2021 | -21.8% | 25 days | 95 days (Jul 20, 2021) |
| Nov 19, 2020 | Dec 28, 2020 | -16.8% | 25 days | 19 days (Jan 26, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $12.12B
- P/E (TTM)
- 20.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $4.57
- Revenue (TTM)
- $22.81B
- 52-week range
- $83.21 – $105.78
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.67B | $19.32B | $19.97B | $20.50B | $21.46B |
| Gross profit | $3.08B | $3.43B | $3.64B | $3.76B | $4.00B |
| Operating income | $617.3M | $738.0M | $800.4M | $772.2M | $846.0M |
| Net income | $426.7M | $513.2M | $523.7M | $534.4M | $578.4M |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.09 | $3.76 | $3.88 | $4.00 | $4.38 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.10B | $5.28B | $5.15B | $5.38B | $5.35B | $5.58B | $5.66B | $6.23B |
| Net income | $155.7M | $122.7M | $149.8M | $150.7M | $152.1M | $125.9M | $142.7M | $173.9M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.17 | $0.92 | $1.13 | $1.14 | $1.15 | $0.96 | $1.10 | $1.36 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $831.7M | $788.2M | $718.9M | $900.9M | $1.03B |
| Capital expenditure | -$304.5M | -$370.5M | -$467.1M | -$588.0M | -$699.1M |
| Free cash flow | $527.1M | $417.6M | $251.8M | $312.9M | $331.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$25,000 | -$25,000 | -$25,000 | -$25,000 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$194.3M | -$172.3M | -$155.2M | -$219.6M | -$281.8M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $30.0M
- Total assets
- $7.99B
- Total liabilities
- $5.79B
- Total debt
- $2.77B
- Net debt
- $2.74B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.20B
As of Aug 1, 2026 (filed Aug 25, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 9,796,907
- Days to cover
- 6.39
- Change vs previous report
- +7.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.